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Bayern vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 87-64
21-14 21-20 23-15 22-15
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game76.2
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game70.7
GermanyBBLRound 5· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Wurzburg
31 Jan 2027
BAY v WUR
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
BAY98
WUR79
27 Oct 2024
BAY70
WUR69
31 May 2024
BAY99
WUR75
29 May 2024
BAY91
WUR76
29 Oct 2023
BAY87
WUR64
27 Nov 2022
BAY83
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
59-98
59
98
-39
48avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-62
97
62
+35
99avg 73
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 73
H27/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
11-27
16-16
13-27
19-28
29-17
25-15
11-15
32-15
20-19
18-22
9-14
20-21
157.0Avg total
80.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.576.2163.8+11.275%
Season at home (2)93.083.0176.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)82.069.5151.5+12.550%
Last 10 (10)80.476.6157.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)80.075.4155.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.083.0152.0-14.00%
vs Similar (8)80.583.5164.0-3.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.273.6156.9+9.681%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 68
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 68
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 68
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 68
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 68
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 68
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 68
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 68
H21/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
22-16
19-13
20-29
18-24
19-21
19-17
22-19
26-22
18-30
15-20
15-20
16-20
19-17
19-24
23-25
12-19
25-22
15-17
21-19
22-17
25-21
22-23
24-20
17-12
20-24
33-15
18-7
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
20-21
12-23
19-17
21-15
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
156.4Avg total
77.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.370.7148.0+6.767%
Season at home (2)72.077.0149.0-5.050%
Season away (1)88.058.0146.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.778.7156.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)79.473.8153.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.480.1149.5-10.825%
vs Similar (17)79.881.8161.6-2.041%
vs Weaker (4)91.876.5168.2+15.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
BayernWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A20/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A22/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/10
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
42.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.880.1+2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.183.6+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.638.476.0-0.921%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.082.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.681.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.241.275.4-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.141.080.1-1.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.837.180.9+6.656%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
79.8Avg total
38.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.5+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.483.7-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.079.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.941.478.2-4.538%-
vs Similar (17)39.742.682.3-2.929%-
vs Weaker (4)45.043.588.5+1.575%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.115.0
82.9%
76.0%15.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
54.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.4
73.1%
76.0%14.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLWWLWWLW
Wurzburg
WLLWWLLLLL
#1
League position
#4
+5.4
Net rating
-0.8
112.2
Offensive rating
104.7
106.9
Defensive rating
105.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
34.9%
54.5%
Assist %
47.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 104.7Defence106.9 · 105.5Shooting51.0% · 50.9%3-point %32.1% · 34.9%Ball care17.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds36.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HFenerbahce67-76
22/10/23ACrailsheim Merlins97-62
20/10/23ABarcelona59-98
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
14/10/23HUlm72-76
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78
01/10/23AHamburg88-58
23/09/23APS Karlsruhe93-81
04/05/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-77
01/05/23AFrankfurt77-86
27/04/23HGottingen74-92
22/04/23ALudwigsburg78-81
18/04/23HOldenburg78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.593.082.0
Allowed / game76.283.069.5
Point differential+11.2+10.0+12.5
Avg total163.8176.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game77.372.088.0
Allowed / game70.777.058.0
Point differential+6.7-5.0+30.0
Avg total148.0149.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
2 Vechta54180%93.083.6+9.4
3 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
4 Ulm54180%90.686.8+3.8
5 Alba Berlin43175%96.584.0+12.5
6 Bayern43175%87.576.2+11.2
7 Wurzburg32167%77.370.7+6.7
8 Ludwigsburg42250%85.577.0+8.5
9 Bonn42250%86.582.8+3.8
10 Gottingen21150%86.590.5-4.0
11 Basketball Braunschweig52340%84.686.0-1.4
12 Hamburg52340%78.084.8-6.8
13 Rostock31233%97.397.3+0.0
14 Tubingen41325%82.093.0-11.0
15 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
16 Crailsheim Merlins41325%81.599.5-18.0
17 Heidelberg51420%88.895.2-6.4
18 Syntainics MBC5050%77.689.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2121232287
Wurzburg1420151564
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