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Oldenburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 58-79
14-20 12-18 19-19 13-22
Position#8
Record5-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game75.1
GermanyBBLRound 10· Gro
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Oldenburg v Chemnitz
14 Mar 2027
OLD v CHE
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
OLD89
CHE72
11 May 2025
OLD104
CHE94
03 Dec 2023
OLD58
CHE79
03 Jan 2023
OLD83
CHE81
13 Mar 2022
OLD92
CHE87
04 Dec 2020
OLD119
CHE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
73avg 78
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 78
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
89avg 78
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 78
A01/11
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
99-63
99
63
+36
97avg 78
A04/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
no box
H11/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 78
A15/11
Champions League
Vechta
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 78
H18/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
84-93
84
93
-9
78avg 78
A26/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
W
81-64
81
64
+17
76avg 78
H28/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
20-21
17-20
22-17
28-17
20-25
23-29
23-18
24-21
29-27
25-14
14-21
22-18
17-30
27-17
17-20
15-14
25-20
33-15
26-14
16-23
25-24
28-21
18-19
24-11
17-36
18-21
24-20
16-23
18-18
13-20
20-24
23-32
22-26
20-12
19-23
23-20
25-14
13-18
20-12
169.3Avg total
86.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.283.6170.8+3.756%
Season at home (4)83.084.8167.8-1.850%
Season away (5)90.682.6173.2+8.060%
Last 10 (10)86.083.3169.3+2.740%
Last 5 (5)81.885.6167.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.384.0166.3-1.733%
vs Similar (12)84.185.3169.4-1.242%
vs Weaker (14)87.681.7169.4+5.957%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 80
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 80
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 80
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 80
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 80
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 80
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 80
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
88-61
88
61
+27
94avg 80
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
H24/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
12-20
29-28
21-9
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
23-19
30-17
26-19
27-13
19-19
22-17
34-14
22-25
22-22
20-12
25-21
18-20
20-11
31-18
16-17
21-15
26-18
19-22
27-21
24-26
157.0Avg total
87.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.675.1162.7+12.489%
Season at home (5)88.273.8162.0+14.4100%
Season away (4)86.876.8163.5+10.075%
Last 10 (10)87.669.4157.0+18.2100%
Last 5 (5)94.473.2167.6+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.586.8164.3-9.317%
vs Similar (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.871.7159.5+16.295%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
OldenburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/10
Champions League
Rostock
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/10
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A27/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/11
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H11/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A15/11
Champions League
Vechta
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H18/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A26/11
BBL
Oostende
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/11
Champions League
86.2Avg total
42.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.940.583.4+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.188.1+0.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.786.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.487.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.740.382.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (12)41.843.084.8-1.233%-
vs Weaker (14)45.941.187.1+4.879%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/11
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/11
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/11
BBL
74.9Avg total
41.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.282.0+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.683.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.980.2+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.433.574.9+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.435.081.4+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.245.287.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.836.379.1+6.568%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.6
50.3%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.9
77.6%
76.0%14.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
54.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.1
39.5%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
76.0%13.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
WLLLLWLWWL
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
+23.5
113.4
Offensive rating
114.7
113.5
Defensive rating
91.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
39.5%
62.8%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 114.7Defence113.5 · 91.2Shooting51.9% · 55.4%3-point %36.0% · 39.5%Ball care18.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds37.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Oldenburg wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Chemnitz v Oldenburg89-91
03/01/23Oldenburg v Chemnitz83-81
13/03/22Oldenburg v Chemnitz92-87
25/09/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg79-78
26/03/21Chemnitz v Oldenburg92-98 OT
04/12/20Oldenburg v Chemnitz119-73
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HOostende81-64
26/11/23ATubingen84-93
18/11/23HVechta67-85
15/11/23AOostende83-88
11/11/23HUlm94-98 OT
04/11/23ACrailsheim Merlins99-63
01/11/23AKarsiyaka83-85
27/10/23ABamberg92-83
20/10/23HRostock94-89
17/10/23HStrasbourg83-85 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HHamburg96-87
22/11/23HDen Bosch88-61
17/11/23HRostock85-75
15/11/23HSpojnia Stargard97-75
12/11/23ATubingen106-68
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
25/10/23ASpojnia Stargard84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game87.283.090.6
Allowed / game83.684.882.6
Point differential+3.7-1.8+8.0
Avg total170.8167.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game87.688.286.8
Allowed / game75.173.876.8
Point differential+12.4+14.4+10.0
Avg total162.7162.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz98189%87.675.1+12.4
2 Ulm108280%92.789.2+3.5
3 Ludwigsburg107370%89.079.4+9.6
4 Bonn107370%90.682.7+7.9
5 Alba Berlin96367%93.783.7+10.0
6 Bayern96367%86.478.3+8.1
7 Vechta106460%88.380.0+8.3
8 Hamburg106460%86.589.0-2.5
9 Wurzburg95456%78.873.1+5.7
10 Oldenburg95456%87.283.6+3.7
11 Rostock104640%92.394.7-2.4
12 Bamberg104640%89.492.7-3.3
13 Syntainics MBC103730%84.387.2-2.9
14 Basketball Braunschweig103730%82.988.9-6.0
15 Tubingen103730%84.994.1-9.2
16 Gottingen92722%88.2100.1-11.9
17 Heidelberg102820%82.292.5-10.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins102820%77.595.4-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg1412191358
Chemnitz2018192279
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