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Crailsheim Merlins vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-98
19-28 25-19 32-21 20-30
Position#17
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game73.6
GermanyBBLRound 12· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Wurzburg
23 Dec 2023
CME96
WUR98
15 Apr 2023
CME85
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 71
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 71
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 71
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 71
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
46avg 71
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 71
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
49avg 71
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 71
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 71
A18/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
16-18
20-24
12-25
10-29
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
29-25
18-23
21-19
19-27
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
174.7Avg total
77.7Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.495.5173.9-17.218%
Season at home (5)76.690.8167.4-14.240%
Season away (6)79.899.5179.3-19.70%
Last 10 (10)77.797.0174.7-19.310%
Last 5 (5)81.092.8173.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.892.8171.6-14.112%
vs Similar (12)82.586.2168.8-3.833%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 68
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 68
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 68
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
48avg 68
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
60avg 68
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 68
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 68
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 68
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 68
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 68
H16/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
20-21
12-23
19-17
21-15
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
14-21
20-21
15-23
15-22
20-16
19-16
12-12
17-26
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
34-16
12-11
24-23
27-28
154.4Avg total
79.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.673.6154.2+7.060%
Season at home (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
Season away (4)81.867.8149.5+14.075%
Last 10 (10)79.075.4154.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)88.473.4161.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.079.7142.7-16.70%
vs Similar (17)81.881.1162.9+0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.669.8158.4+18.8100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Crailsheim MerlinsWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
85.8Avg total
38.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.183.7-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.642.381.9-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.985.4-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.347.585.8-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.286.0-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.445.483.8-7.119%-
vs Similar (12)41.842.584.3-0.742%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
BBL
75.8Avg total
39.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.379.4-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.179.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.779.2-4.221%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.275.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.475.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.441.173.6-8.714%-
vs Similar (17)40.641.281.8-0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.636.678.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.8
50.8%
54.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
35.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
76.0%12.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.4
49.0%
54.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.6
34.3%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
76.0%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLLLLLLL
Wurzburg
WWWLWLLWLL
#17
League position
#4
-24.2
Net rating
+5.7
99.2
Offensive rating
106.4
123.4
Defensive rating
100.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
34.3%
52.0%
Assist %
53.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 106.4Defence123.4 · 100.7Shooting49.6% · 50.1%3-point %31.8% · 34.3%Ball care20.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Crailsheim Merlins v Wurzburg85-86
26/12/22Wurzburg v Crailsheim Merlins87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
25/11/23AUlm87-94
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93
11/11/23AVechta58-96
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HBonn97-78
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54
04/11/23HChemnitz68-70
29/10/23ABayern64-87
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
14/10/23HUlm72-76
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game78.476.679.8
Allowed / game95.590.899.5
Point differential-17.2-14.2-19.7
Avg total173.9167.4179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game80.679.881.8
Allowed / game73.677.567.8
Point differential+7.0+2.3+14.0
Avg total154.2157.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1211192%86.873.6+13.2
2 Ulm129375%92.189.7+2.4
3 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
4 Bayern107370%87.378.5+8.8
5 Hamburg117464%87.288.7-1.5
6 Wurzburg106460%80.673.6+7.0
7 Ludwigsburg127558%87.579.8+7.7
8 Vechta127558%87.880.6+7.2
9 Bonn127558%88.383.7+4.7
10 Oldenburg126650%84.882.7+2.1
11 Rostock115645%93.193.2-0.1
12 Bamberg125742%90.292.8-2.5
13 Basketball Braunschweig135838%82.388.3-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC124833%82.986.6-3.7
15 Tubingen124833%86.293.9-7.8
16 Gottingen102820%88.099.1-11.1
17 Crailsheim Merlins112918%78.495.5-17.2
18 Heidelberg1221017%81.793.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1925322096
Wurzburg2819213098
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