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Xavier vs Creighton Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game55.8
Xavier
USA
vs
Creighton
USA
Position#160
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xavier v Creighton
22 Dec 2026
XAVI v CREI
upcoming
17 Dec 2025
XAVI57
CREI98
01 Mar 2025
XAVI83
CREI61
10 Feb 2024
XAVI71
CREI78
10 Mar 2023
XAVI82
CREI60
11 Jan 2023
XAVI90
CREI87
15 Jan 2022
XAVI80
CREI73
27 Feb 2021
XAVI77
CREI69
11 Jan 2020
XAVI65
CREI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
97-52
97
52
+45
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
50-47
38-39
53-45
32-33
36-44
32-44
46-47
38-38
51-49
30-50
38-43
51-16
46-36
34-25
42-28
43-20
57-35
41-31
40-32
158.1Avg total
83.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.555.8144.2+32.8100%
Season at home (3)91.053.3144.3+37.7100%
Season away (1)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.274.9158.1+8.360%
Last 5 (5)84.463.2147.6+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.584.0160.5-7.523%
vs Similar (12)81.081.8162.8-0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.059.4149.4+30.6100%
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#260
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#162
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
42-39
45-45
46-39
27-42
25-39
38-30
33-42
37-39
39-40
32-36
44-23
26-33
35-39
33-39
43-22
54-17
29-38
40-40
42-49
146.9Avg total
73.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
Season at home (2)79.558.0137.5+21.5100%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.773.2146.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)75.667.2142.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.876.1140.9-11.327%
vs Similar (16)81.475.8157.2+5.756%
vs Weaker (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +0.8+0.8
XavierCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.274.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.033.972.9+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.341.475.7-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.371.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.828.468.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.240.476.5-4.231%-
vs Similar (12)35.538.874.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.625.067.6+17.6100%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#260
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#217
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#162
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.472.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.436.775.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)33.535.969.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.272.1-0.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.437.566.9-8.29%-
vs Similar (16)39.936.476.2+3.575%-
vs Weaker (3)42.332.074.3+10.333%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Xavier wins
6
Creighton wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Creighton v Xavier94-93
17/12/25Xavier v Creighton57-98
01/03/25Xavier v Creighton83-61
30/01/25Creighton v Xavier86-77
10/02/24Xavier v Creighton71-78
24/01/24Creighton v Xavier85-78
11/03/23Xavier v Creighton82-60
28/01/23Creighton v Xavier84-67
12/01/23Xavier v Creighton90-87
29/01/22Creighton v Xavier64-74
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMississippi St.81-63
11/11/26HDetroit100-55
07/11/26HEastern Michigan76-53
03/11/26HMount St. Mary's97-52
12/03/26AUconn68-93
11/03/26AMarquette89-87
07/03/26AVillanova78-91
04/03/26HSeton Hall68-77
28/02/26HGeorgetown91-84
26/02/26AProvidence84-94
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AKansas State82-89
06/11/26HLe Moyne83-55
03/11/26HUMKC76-61
12/03/26ASeton Hall61-72
04/03/26AButler76-59
28/02/26HProvidence76-79
26/02/26HDePaul71-72
21/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-81
19/02/26AUconn91-84
14/02/26HVillanova69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.591.081.0
Allowed / game55.853.363.0
Point differential+32.8+37.7+18.0
Avg total144.2144.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Creighton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.379.582.0
Allowed / game68.358.089.0
Point differential+12.0+21.5-7.0
Avg total148.7137.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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