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Xinjiang vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 116-97
34-27 26-20 24-26 32-24
Position#5
Record21-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game102.5
vs
Position#16
Record7-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game106.4
ChinaCBARound 32· Hongshan Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xinjiang v Guangzhou
21 Dec 2026
XINJ v GUAN
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
XINJ94
GUAN76
18 Jan 2025
XINJ116
GUAN97
21 Apr 2024
XINJ113
GUAN86
19 Apr 2024
XINJ108
GUAN91
22 Dec 2023
XINJ110
GUAN98
08 Dec 2022
XINJ108
GUAN96
10 Nov 2021
XINJ102
GUAN117
13 Apr 2021
XINJ94
GUAN105
04 Dec 2020
XINJ90
GUAN93
23 Jul 2020
XINJ103
GUAN87
03 Jan 2019
XINJ100
GUAN89
02 Jan 2018
XINJ128
GUAN120
11 Jan 2017
XINJ135
GUAN109
01 Jan 2016
XINJ132
GUAN123
14 Dec 2014
XINJ101
GUAN116
05 Feb 2014
XINJ109
GUAN101
09 Jan 2013
XINJ108
GUAN101
29 Jan 2012
XINJ103
GUAN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 105
A24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
89-115
89
115
-26
85avg 105
A28/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
108-97
108
97
+11
104avg 105
H30/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
107-111
107
111
-4
104avg 105
H01/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
100-94
100
94
+6
107avg 105
A03/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
110-115
110
115
-5
106avg 105
A05/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
124-99
124
99
+25
133avg 105
H08/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
104-113
104
113
-9
107avg 105
H10/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
106-113
106
113
-7
98avg 105
A12/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
92-82
92
82
+10
83avg 105
A14/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
30-27
20-19
20-33
21-33
24-27
29-32
15-23
27-24
22-28
30-21
29-24
28-32
26-23
23-23
30-33
20-31
30-18
26-14
24-31
41-26
32-28
26-20
11-41
30-27
39-24
27-26
28-22
31-28
32-29
22-33
19-23
28-34
30-24
25-26
23-29
27-21
21-18
28-16
16-27
207.2Avg total
104.0Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)110.4102.5212.9+7.970%
Season at home (17)117.9106.1224.1+11.888%
Season away (13)100.597.8198.4+2.746%
Last 10 (10)104.0103.2207.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)107.2104.4211.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.099.0197.0-1.050%
vs Similar (14)108.9105.0213.9+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)107.594.0201.5+13.579%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 89
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
93avg 89
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 89
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 89
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 89
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 89
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 89
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 89
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 89
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 89
H16/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
21-28
24-19
24-26
29-26
16-26
20-24
20-19
29-23
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
189.3Avg total
88.2Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)96.7106.4203.2-9.723%
Season at home (16)97.6108.1205.7-10.419%
Season away (15)95.8104.7200.5-8.927%
Last 10 (10)88.2101.1189.3-12.910%
Last 5 (5)87.4102.4189.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)91.8107.7199.6-15.96%
vs Similar (12)100.195.8195.8+4.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -4.7-4.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -4.7-4.7
XinjiangGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A28/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H01/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A03/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A05/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H08/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H10/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A12/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
CBA
108.5Avg total
56.9Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.649.9106.5+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.452.8111.1+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.646.6101.2+7.986%-
Last 10 (10)56.951.6108.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)62.251.8114.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.543.092.5+6.550%-
vs Similar (14)57.452.0109.4+5.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)56.948.8105.6+8.193%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
95.4Avg total
46.9Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.351.0100.3-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.350.9101.2-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)48.351.199.4-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.948.595.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.447.699.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.052.5101.5-3.539%-
vs Similar (12)49.848.798.5+1.258%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.524.4
50.3%
52.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
35.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws23.219.2
82.8%
76.3%19.2
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.723.0
48.2%
52.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
76.3%16.9
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WLLWLWLWLW
Guangzhou
LLLWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#16
+0.2
Net rating
-14.3
108.1
Offensive rating
96.2
107.9
Defensive rating
110.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
23.4%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
31.9%
78.3%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 96.2Defence107.9 · 110.6Shooting51.5% · 48.1%3-point %35.6% · 31.9%Ball care17.8% · 23.4%Off. rebounds28.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Xinjiang wins
4
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
26/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang71-93
24/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-83
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
08/12/22Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-96
10/11/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou102-117
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AJiangsu Dragons92-82
12/01/25ANanjing Tongxi106-113
10/01/25HFujian104-113
08/01/25HNanjing Tongxi124-99
05/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu110-115
03/01/25ASichuan100-94
01/01/25HShandong107-111
30/12/24HBeijing108-97
28/12/24ALiaoning89-115
24/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters100-93
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114
30/12/24ANingbo Rockets85-92
28/12/24ASichuan98-99
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWWLWL88%
AwayLWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %70%88%46%
Points / game110.4117.9100.5
Allowed / game102.5106.197.8
Point differential+7.9+11.8+2.7
Avg total212.9224.1198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %23%19%27%
Points / game96.797.695.8
Allowed / game106.4108.1104.7
Point differential-9.7-10.4-8.9
Avg total203.2205.7200.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3228488%104.291.8+12.5
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3124777%115.5108.5+7.0
3 Xinjiang3021970%110.4102.5+7.9
4 Liaoning32221069%105.798.3+7.4
5 Shandong32221069%104.999.7+5.3
6 Qingdao32221069%104.9100.1+4.8
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou32211166%112.4104.3+8.1
8 Guangdong32211166%104.398.3+6.0
9 Beijing31201165%100.896.6+4.2
10 Shanghai29171259%111.7105.0+6.7
11 Beijing Royal Fighters31171455%105.9100.8+5.1
12 Nanjing Tongxi32161650%106.2107.5-1.3
13 Shenzhen32112134%104.7107.2-2.4
14 Jilin32112134%102.1111.0-8.9
15 Tianjin3292328%101.5111.3-9.9
16 Sichuan3282425%102.2110.4-8.2
17 Ningbo Rockets3282425%102.1113.8-11.6
18 Guangzhou3172423%96.7106.4-9.7
19 Fujian3152616%102.9115.3-12.3
20 Jiangsu Dragons3252716%93.8103.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang34262432116
Guangzhou2720262497
← all games of the day
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