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Zadar vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-79
29-16 28-19 20-20 21-24
Position#9
Record6-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game89.9
Zadar 🏆
vs
MZT Skopje
Position#15
Record2-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2022
Meetings · Zadar v MZT Skopje
16 Dec 2022
ZAD98
MSK79
17 Apr 2019
ZAD83
MSK89
29 Dec 2017
ZAD105
MSK80
16 Oct 2016
ZAD71
MSK65
12 Feb 2016
ZAD84
MSK72
27 Dec 2014
ZAD74
MSK69
16 Nov 2013
ZAD72
MSK70
24 Nov 2012
ZAD68
MSK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
A04/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
95avg 73
A07/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H16/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
94avg 73
H19/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
67avg 73
A26/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A28/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#5
W
103-97
103
97
+6
no box
H02/12
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H04/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 73
A09/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A11/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
30-20
24-26
26-25
27-19
25-22
23-25
23-30
18-15
17-15
24-16
20-17
26-15
26-28
29-27
22-34
14-21
20-27
21-22
24-27
19-25
23-12
22-12
21-21
20-20
27-33
28-14
28-30
27-22
20-14
13-17
30-13
16-16
22-29
25-13
21-23
22-23
15-17
25-15
14-22
173.2Avg total
89.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.789.9181.6+1.860%
Season at home (5)94.486.8181.2+7.660%
Season away (5)89.093.0182.0-4.060%
Last 10 (10)89.483.8173.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)87.678.2165.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.399.0192.3-5.733%
vs Similar (16)78.575.8154.3+2.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.375.2161.5+11.182%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
67avg 73
H04/11
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
A15/11
Prva Liga
FMP Beograd
#5
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 73
A18/11
ABA League
Kumanovo
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H22/11
Prva Liga
Mega Basket
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 73
H27/11
ABA League
Cair 2030
#9
W
106-61
106
61
+45
no box
H29/11
Prva Liga
Igokea
#7
L
90-96
90
96
-6
86avg 73
A04/12
ABA League
Tikvesh
#6
W
77-51
77
51
+26
no box
H06/12
Prva Liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 73
H10/12
ABA League
Kozuv
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A12/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-22
10-23
20-27
32-19
29-19
27-10
14-18
24-33
29-22
13-24
31-22
17-17
19-13
28-15
22-27
25-21
15-17
28-23
26-21
30-21
23-11
29-11
24-18
21-26
26-30
23-16
20-24
17-15
21-12
20-10
19-14
19-26
16-24
21-14
17-17
21-14
22-26
31-12
14-26
167.2Avg total
89.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.389.4169.7-9.120%
Season at home (5)82.085.6167.6-3.640%
Season away (5)78.693.2171.8-14.60%
Last 10 (10)89.078.2167.2+10.860%
Last 5 (5)86.873.4160.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.191.4171.6-11.314%
vs Similar (3)80.784.7165.3-4.033%
vs Weaker (20)87.369.8157.1+17.590%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
ZadarMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A04/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A07/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A26/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/12
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/12
Premijer liga
84.0Avg total
43.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.979.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.237.179.3+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.840.679.3-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.984.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.284.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.044.090.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (16)37.939.277.2-1.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.437.179.5+5.373%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H04/11
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A15/11
Prva Liga
FMP Beograd
#5
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A18/11
ABA League
Kumanovo
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H22/11
Prva Liga
Mega Basket
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/11
ABA League
Cair 2030
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H29/11
Prva Liga
Igokea
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A04/12
ABA League
Tikvesh
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H06/12
Prva Liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H10/12
ABA League
Kozuv
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
Prva Liga
86.3Avg total
45.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.683.0+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.981.1+5.480%-
Last 30 away (15)43.641.384.9+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.086.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.345.682.9-8.314%-
vs Similar (3)43.046.789.7-3.767%-
vs Weaker (20)45.636.582.1+9.290%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.317.2
55.0%
55.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.8
33.3%
35.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws25.619.5
76.2%
75.8%19.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.4
54.5%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
35.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
75.8%13.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LWWWWLLWWW
MZT Skopje
WLWLWWWLWL
#9
League position
#15
-3.0
Net rating
-8.9
112.4
Offensive rating
112.8
115.4
Defensive rating
121.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
37.0%
65.7%
Assist %
60.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 112.8Defence115.4 · 121.7Shooting52.4% · 54.9%3-point %33.3% · 37.0%Ball care16.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zadar wins
3
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
23/04/19MZT Skopje v Zadar77-78
17/04/19Zadar v MZT Skopje83-89
29/12/17Zadar v MZT Skopje105-80
09/10/17MZT Skopje v Zadar80-85
13/01/17MZT Skopje v Zadar92-65
16/10/16Zadar v MZT Skopje71-65
12/02/16Zadar v MZT Skopje84-72
23/11/15MZT Skopje v Zadar60-72
27/12/14Zadar v MZT Skopje74-69
07/10/14MZT Skopje v Zadar72-58
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AGKK Sibenka76-77
09/12/22AIgokea84-81
04/12/22HAlkar90-66
02/12/22HFMP Beograd103-97
28/11/22AZabok85-70
26/11/22ACedevita Olimpija79-97
19/11/22HBuducnost103-104
16/11/22HGorica79-63
07/11/22ACrvena zvezda98-96
04/11/22ADinamo Zagreb97-87
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/22AKozuv88-78
10/12/22HBorac Mozzart73-81
06/12/22HTikvesh77-51
04/12/22AIgokea90-96
29/11/22HCair 2030106-61
27/11/22HMega Basket94-82
22/11/22HKumanovo86-72
18/11/22AFMP Beograd97-101
15/11/22AStrumica102-66
04/11/22HMornar Bar77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game91.794.489.0
Allowed / game89.986.893.0
Point differential+1.8+7.6-4.0
Avg total181.6181.2182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.382.078.6
Allowed / game89.485.693.2
Point differential-9.1-3.6-14.6
Avg total169.7167.6171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda98189%86.473.0+13.4
2 Partizan108280%88.175.1+13.0
3 FMP Beograd108280%92.684.4+8.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija97278%88.278.4+9.8
5 Buducnost106460%88.682.8+5.8
6 Zadar106460%91.789.9+1.8
7 Igokea105550%83.883.8+0.0
8 Mornar Bar104640%86.388.3-2.0
9 Studentski Centar104640%81.588.5-7.0
10 Mega Basket103730%85.686.5-0.9
11 Cibona103730%79.994.0-14.1
12 Borac Mozzart113827%81.887.5-5.6
13 Split113827%76.686.1-9.5
14 MZT Skopje102820%80.389.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2928202198
MZT Skopje1619202479
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