PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-97
20-20 27-33 28-14 28-30
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game90.1
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9
Domestic2022
Meetings · Zadar v FMP Beograd
14 Apr 2026
ZAD76
FBE65
21 Mar 2025
ZAD99
FBE71
28 Mar 2024
ZAD72
FBE75
02 Dec 2022
ZAD103
FBE97
06 Feb 2022
ZAD83
FBE80
12 Mar 2021
ZAD63
FBE76
21 Dec 2018
ZAD79
FBE85
15 Jan 2018
ZAD83
FBE77
30 Sep 2016
ZAD78
FBE76
21 Nov 2009
ZAD90
FBE69
29 Nov 2008
ZAD88
FBE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
A23/10
ABA League
Split
#10
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 72
H28/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#8
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
A04/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
95avg 72
A07/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H16/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
94avg 72
H19/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
67avg 72
A26/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A28/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-17
23-27
20-17
21-18
16-13
17-21
20-24
24-11
22-22
19-17
27-21
19-14
22-19
28-18
22-21
17-16
30-20
24-26
26-25
27-19
25-22
23-25
23-30
18-15
17-15
24-16
20-17
26-15
26-28
29-27
22-34
14-21
20-27
21-22
24-27
19-25
23-12
22-12
21-21
171.8Avg total
89.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.290.1181.4+1.150%
Season at home (4)92.284.2176.5+8.050%
Season away (4)90.296.0186.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)89.182.7171.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)88.886.0174.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.399.0192.3-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.375.7153.1+1.653%
vs Weaker (12)86.376.6162.9+9.875%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Opava
#47
W
92-76
92
76
+16
84avg 75
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
no box
A25/09
Champions League
Mega Basket
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 75
H03/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
22avg 75
A08/10
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 75
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 75
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 75
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 75
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 75
H27/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-24
27-19
22-16
19-21
17-21
21-15
17-17
27-17
19-20
17-19
27-20
22-17
18-20
25-28
20-19
21-23
25-16
26-17
18-17
25-24
15-27
22-17
15-15
21-31
32-15
18-16
25-29
20-24
23-16
27-19
20-26
33-24
22-29
24-13
22-31
24-15
17-30
23-16
25-16
172.2Avg total
89.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.883.2173.0+6.588%
Season at home (5)93.282.8176.0+10.4100%
Season away (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)89.283.0172.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)90.686.6177.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.484.3159.7-8.90%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.081.3161.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (11)87.880.9168.7+6.973%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
ZadarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A23/10
ABA League
Split
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A04/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A07/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/11
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A26/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/11
Premijer liga
79.7Avg total
42.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.177.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.178.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.179.7+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.882.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.044.090.0+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.938.575.5-1.633%-
vs Weaker (12)41.037.378.3+3.767%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Mega Basket
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/10
ABA League
Split
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/11
ABA League
87.4Avg total
44.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.3-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.342.582.9-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.187.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.244.682.8-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.041.782.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker (11)43.541.284.6+2.355%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
55.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.6
34.1%
35.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.917.6
73.6%
75.8%17.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.9
40.9%
35.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
75.8%17.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLLWWWWWLW
FMP Beograd
WWWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#5
-3.4
Net rating
+10.8
112.1
Offensive rating
118.4
115.5
Defensive rating
107.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
40.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.1%
3-point %
40.9%
65.4%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 118.4Defence115.5 · 107.6Shooting52.3% · 57.8%3-point %34.1% · 40.9%Ball care16.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 40.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zadar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zadar wins
6
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
23/10/17FMP Beograd v Zadar91-76
16/12/16FMP Beograd v Zadar94-77
30/09/16Zadar v FMP Beograd78-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/22AZabok85-70
26/11/22ACedevita Olimpija79-97
19/11/22HBuducnost103-104
16/11/22HGorica79-63
07/11/22ACrvena zvezda98-96
04/11/22ADinamo Zagreb97-87
02/11/22HCedevita Junior91-72
30/10/22HDubrava92-71
28/10/22HSplit74-76
23/10/22ABorac Mozzart93-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HIgokea89-77
18/11/22HMZT Skopje101-97
06/11/22ACedevita Olimpija90-85
29/10/22HBuducnost96-91
24/10/22ACrvena zvezda77-83
17/10/22HSplit90-73
08/10/22ABorac Mozzart85-84
03/10/22HMega Basket90-76
25/09/22ABakken Bears82-88 OT
23/09/22AOpava92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.292.290.2
Allowed / game90.184.296.0
Point differential+1.1+8.0-5.8
Avg total181.4176.5186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game89.893.284.0
Allowed / game83.282.884.0
Point differential+6.5+10.4+0.0
Avg total173.0176.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan87188%87.674.6+13.0
2 FMP Beograd87188%89.883.2+6.5
3 Crvena zvezda76186%84.772.0+12.7
4 Cedevita Olimpija75271%89.679.1+10.4
5 Buducnost85362%90.180.8+9.4
6 Zadar84450%91.290.1+1.1
7 Igokea84450%82.683.0-0.4
8 Studentski Centar84450%82.988.1-5.2
9 Mornar Bar83538%85.287.8-2.5
10 Cibona83538%80.892.4-11.6
11 Mega Basket82625%86.989.0-2.1
12 MZT Skopje82625%80.089.6-9.6
13 Split82625%73.484.8-11.4
14 Borac Mozzart81712%81.989.2-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar20272828103
FMP Beograd2033143097
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.