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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-67
22-18 27-12 19-16 26-21
Position#9
Record12-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#16
Record4-23
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2018
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Darussafaka
22 Mar 2019
ZAL94
DAR67
04 Nov 2016
ZAL80
DAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H14/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H16/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-22
24-15
10-18
25-23
27-20
17-18
21-14
20-18
19-18
21-26
24-14
12-17
13-23
27-19
21-21
15-23
22-25
19-16
15-17
25-10
21-17
31-18
21-19
18-17
24-14
21-10
22-18
22-20
26-15
21-18
16-26
23-7
20-21
28-19
17-23
19-23
17-22
21-14
28-24
157.6Avg total
83.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.079.0158.0-0.144%
Season at home (14)80.979.1160.1+1.850%
Season away (13)76.878.9155.8-2.138%
Last 10 (10)83.174.5157.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)88.271.0159.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.080.3146.3-14.30%
vs Similar (10)77.877.9155.7-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.671.8156.4+12.882%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-21
25-20
17-30
17-25
23-22
18-22
27-23
12-26
23-20
13-27
27-24
10-18
13-20
18-19
17-20
21-22
17-24
14-14
20-20
17-20
20-26
16-20
14-25
25-19
26-20
16-18
26-21
18-15
12-22
17-23
17-24
16-20
16-27
22-17
27-23
17-23
31-23
15-19
28-20
162.5Avg total
76.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.385.0159.3-10.815%
Season at home (14)76.781.8158.5-5.129%
Season away (13)71.688.5160.2-16.90%
Last 10 (10)76.486.1162.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)79.285.0164.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.484.1157.5-10.618%
vs Similar (9)76.378.9155.2-2.633%
vs Weaker (4)81.274.5155.8+6.850%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Zalgiris KaunasDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H14/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H16/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
78.4Avg total
40.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.375.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.435.475.7+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)35.839.074.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.878.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.276.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.742.373.0-11.70%-
vs Similar (10)36.439.976.3-3.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.134.974.9+5.271%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#14
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/03
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
37.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.278.0-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.341.982.1-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)33.740.774.4-7.025%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.280.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.143.679.6-7.524%-
vs Similar (9)37.738.976.6-1.233%-
vs Weaker (4)37.836.574.2+1.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.3
50.5%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.56.9
39.4%
37.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.615.3
82.3%
76.7%15.3
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.1
49.2%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
37.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.213.2
81.5%
76.7%13.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWL
Darussafaka
WLLWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#16
+1.9
Net rating
-14.6
110.1
Offensive rating
99.5
108.2
Defensive rating
114.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.4%
3-point %
31.4%
65.4%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 99.5Defence108.2 · 114.1Shooting53.1% · 48.5%3-point %39.4% · 31.4%Ball care17.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-83
16/03/19HPieno Zvaigzdes88-70
14/03/19HBayern85-79
10/03/19ARytas85-59
07/03/19HGran Canaria98-64
03/03/19ANeptunas71-81
28/02/19ABaskonia73-80
22/02/19HBuducnost84-76
10/02/19AAlytaus Dzukija90-75
07/02/19ABarcelona72-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19HKhimki M.91-85
17/03/19AIstanbul BB81-87
14/03/19AGran Canaria64-84
10/03/19HKarsiyaka93-78
07/03/19HPanathinaikos67-91
03/03/19ATofas72-80
28/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-77
22/02/19HFenerbahce75-97
11/02/19ABahcesehir Kol.85-92
08/02/19AOlimpia Milano78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game79.080.976.8
Allowed / game79.079.178.9
Point differential-0.1+1.8-2.1
Avg total158.0160.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %11%7%15%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game74.376.771.6
Allowed / game85.081.888.5
Point differential-10.8-5.1-16.9
Avg total159.3158.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)29% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2823582%83.975.3+8.6
2 CSKA Moscow2822679%87.280.6+6.5
3 Real Madrid2721678%86.777.4+9.3
4 Anadolu Efes28181064%84.279.2+5.0
5 Barcelona28161257%78.376.2+2.1
6 Baskonia27141352%81.578.9+2.6
7 Olimpia Milano27141352%87.085.7+1.3
8 Panathinaikos27141352%79.079.0+0.1
9 Olympiacos28141450%77.577.2+0.3
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%79.079.0-0.1
11 Bayern28131546%78.680.5-1.9
12 Zalgiris Kaunas27121544%79.079.0-0.1
13 Khimki M.2891932%78.581.9-3.3
14 Gran Canaria2882029%78.687.8-9.2
15 Buducnost2862221%74.384.6-10.3
16 Darussafaka2742315%74.385.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2227192694
Darussafaka1812162167
← all games of the day
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