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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 88-70
23-7 20-21 28-19 17-23
Position#1
Record21-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game69.7
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game86.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
17 Mar 2024
ZAL97
PZV77
01 Oct 2023
ZAL78
PZV68
11 Dec 2022
ZAL84
PZV61
06 Feb 2022
ZAL99
PZV70
12 May 2021
ZAL81
PZV74
30 Apr 2021
ZAL107
PZV83
09 Feb 2021
ZAL95
PZV76
18 Jan 2021
ZAL103
PZV77
15 Apr 2020
ZAL v PZV
upcoming
25 Sep 2019
ZAL81
PZV47
16 Mar 2019
ZAL88
PZV70
22 Sep 2018
ZAL103
PZV66
28 Jan 2018
ZAL91
PZV80
25 Sep 2017
ZAL106
PZV64
02 Apr 2017
ZAL94
PZV70
21 Nov 2016
ZAL98
PZV84
02 May 2016
ZAL95
PZV81
26 Apr 2016
ZAL102
PZV66
10 Apr 2016
ZAL93
PZV88
01 Nov 2015
ZAL103
PZV74
08 Feb 2015
ZAL81
PZV79
01 Dec 2014
ZAL82
PZV78
30 Apr 2014
ZAL83
PZV73
20 Oct 2013
ZAL83
PZV57
20 Oct 2011
ZAL91
PZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
91avg 105
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
96-67
96
67
+29
no box
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
99avg 105
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
113avg 105
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
99avg 105
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
131avg 105
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
85-59
85
59
+26
no box
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 105
H14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-17
19-11
8-27
30-15
23-16
24-18
19-18
20-23
18-22
24-15
10-18
25-23
27-20
17-18
21-14
20-18
19-18
21-26
24-14
12-17
13-23
27-19
21-21
15-23
22-25
19-16
15-17
25-10
21-17
31-18
21-19
18-17
24-14
21-10
22-18
22-20
26-15
21-18
16-26
155.1Avg total
81.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.069.7155.7+16.488%
Season at home (11)85.768.4154.1+17.491%
Season away (13)86.370.8157.1+15.585%
Last 10 (10)81.873.3155.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)82.472.6155.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.080.3146.3-14.30%
vs Similar (10)77.677.4155.0+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.871.6157.5+14.282%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A22/12
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A29/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H05/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A12/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
no box
H19/01
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
A27/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
103-89
103
89
+14
no box
A02/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
no box
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
H02/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
104-99
104
99
+5
no box
H09/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
29-18
19-16
26-18
21-23
27-23
15-23
19-20
26-17
17-12
33-25
16-13
15-18
17-21
17-17
31-21
19-24
21-27
36-21
14-18
22-23
17-21
29-14
23-24
26-21
27-19
30-20
20-29
23-23
19-27
26-12
23-14
26-29
20-26
14-24
23-20
29-16
29-23
24-26
22-34
178.4Avg total
92.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.586.8171.3-2.258%
Season at home (12)86.188.5174.6-2.458%
Season away (12)83.085.1168.1-2.158%
Last 10 (10)92.286.2178.4+6.080%
Last 5 (5)94.489.0183.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.490.3170.7-9.933%
vs Similar (7)87.185.4172.6+1.771%
vs Weaker (5)89.277.6166.8+11.6100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H14/03
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
41.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.875.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.675.7+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.974.8-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.278.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.275.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.742.373.0-11.70%-
vs Similar (10)36.838.575.3-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.734.875.5+5.971%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A22/12
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A29/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A12/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H19/01
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A02/02
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H02/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H09/03
LKL
87.8Avg total
44.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.185.0-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.643.583.1-3.931%-
Last 30 away (14)42.544.887.3-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)47.645.693.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.544.984.4-5.422%-
vs Similar (7)39.344.183.4-4.914%-
vs Weaker (5)48.441.289.6+7.280%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.3
50.2%
55.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.76.5
38.9%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.8
81.2%
73.8%13.8
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
25/11/18Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas68-109
22/09/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes103-66
05/05/18Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas76-85
28/01/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes91-80
03/12/17Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas51-75
25/09/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes106-64
02/04/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes94-70
16/01/17Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas56-63
21/11/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes98-84
05/10/16Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas82-86
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/19HBayern85-79
10/03/19ARytas85-59
07/03/19HGran Canaria98-64
03/03/19ANeptunas71-81
28/02/19ABaskonia73-80
22/02/19HBuducnost84-76
10/02/19AAlytaus Dzukija90-75
07/02/19ABarcelona72-78
03/02/19HSkycop96-67
31/01/19AKhimki M.64-74
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/19HLietkabelis104-99
02/03/19HRytas83-99
09/02/19ASiauliai91-76
02/02/19ANeptunas103-89
27/01/19ASkycop91-82
19/01/19HAlytaus Dzukija110-107 OT
12/01/19ANeptunas80-77
05/01/19HNevezis92-67
29/12/18ARytas82-89
22/12/18AAlytaus Dzukija86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %88%91%85%
Points / game86.085.786.3
Allowed / game69.768.470.8
Point differential+16.4+17.4+15.5
Avg total155.7154.1157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game84.586.183.0
Allowed / game86.888.585.1
Point differential-2.2-2.4-2.1
Avg total171.3174.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2421388%86.069.7+16.4
2 Neptunas2419579%87.079.4+7.6
3 Rytas2418675%84.777.2+7.5
4 Lietkabelis24141058%82.279.9+2.3
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes24141058%84.586.8-2.2
6 Juventus24101442%81.081.5-0.5
7 Skycop2481633%77.485.8-8.3
8 Alytaus Dzukija2371630%79.282.1-3.0
9 Siauliai2552020%80.988.9-8.0
10 Nevezis2442017%73.685.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2320281788
Pieno Zvaigzdes721192370
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