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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-93
17-23 28-20 18-31 19-19
Position#10
Record3-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#2
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Utenos arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
74-105
74
105
-31
68avg 79
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
54avg 79
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
96avg 79
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
66avg 79
H10/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
87avg 79
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
103avg 79
H16/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
83avg 79
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
66avg 79
A30/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
72avg 79
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
90avg 79
A08/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-30
20-23
20-30
9-20
22-20
10-21
26-23
26-29
28-21
30-22
18-30
24-22
27-19
17-23
11-16
29-22
14-26
23-21
23-24
27-17
25-22
24-28
25-21
18-16
25-21
24-30
20-23
15-19
22-13
16-20
21-11
18-23
24-18
22-16
18-28
26-28
23-23
23-13
26-29
175.6Avg total
86.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.090.2178.2-2.233%
Season at home (4)93.291.0184.2+2.250%
Season away (5)83.889.6173.4-5.820%
Last 10 (10)86.189.5175.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)88.483.8172.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.588.1165.6-10.625%
vs Similar (12)86.384.1170.4+2.250%
vs Weaker (9)88.881.3170.1+7.467%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 82
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 82
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 82
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 82
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 82
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 82
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 82
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 82
A07/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
178.8Avg total
90.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.489.8186.2+6.756%
Season at home (5)101.889.4191.2+12.460%
Season away (4)89.890.2180.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)90.188.7178.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)87.091.0178.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.887.5171.3-3.646%
vs Similar (4)88.890.2179.0-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.792.2185.9+1.538%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H10/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H16/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/12
LKL
86.7Avg total
43.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.785.2-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.143.688.8+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.882.0-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.186.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.084.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.442.981.2-4.538%-
vs Similar (12)43.742.386.0+1.358%-
vs Weaker (9)45.242.787.9+2.656%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
86.5Avg total
43.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.086.1+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.984.9+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.187.2+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.586.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.048.088.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.442.282.5-1.846%-
vs Similar (4)48.042.290.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.541.888.3+4.877%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.3
54.7%
55.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.6
33.5%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.115.5
70.1%
74.4%15.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.8
34.7%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.517.1
76.0%
74.4%17.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLWLWLLLLL
Neptunas
LWLLWWLWWW
#10
League position
#2
-5.2
Net rating
+1.8
111.3
Offensive rating
114.2
116.6
Defensive rating
112.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
34.7%
58.6%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 114.2Defence116.6 · 112.4Shooting53.1% · 54.2%3-point %33.5% · 34.7%Ball care17.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.2% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Juventus wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Neptunas v Juventus63-74
30/10/24Neptunas v Juventus105-74
06/10/24Juventus v Neptunas92-99
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AJonava98-93
03/12/24HMazeikiai82-85
30/11/24ANeptunas74-63
27/11/24AJonava87-90
16/11/24HSiauliai101-88
13/11/24ANevezis89-93
10/11/24HJonava79-80
06/11/24HSiauliai110-114 OT
03/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas67-84
30/10/24ANeptunas74-105
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game88.093.283.8
Allowed / game90.291.089.6
Point differential-2.2+2.2-5.8
Avg total178.2184.2173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game96.4101.889.8
Allowed / game89.889.490.2
Point differential+6.7+12.4-0.5
Avg total186.2191.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jonava106460%91.286.9+4.3
2 Siauliai106460%96.796.5+0.2
3 Neptunas95456%96.489.8+6.7
4 Nevezis105550%91.089.7+1.3
5 Mazeikiai104640%79.689.4-9.8
6 Juventus93633%88.090.2-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1728181982
Neptunas2320311993
← all games of the day
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