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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-76
17-25 17-26 26-19 29-6
Position#3
Record13-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#13
Record11-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
126-74
126
74
+52
136avg 83
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
71avg 83
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
111-90
111
90
+21
118avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
96-84
96
84
+12
95avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 83
A12/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
A15/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 83
A17/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 83
H20/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
24-15
36-18
33-17
13-16
19-20
23-17
25-16
27-20
29-9
22-25
18-18
30-23
24-19
25-24
32-24
28-21
20-17
29-25
23-18
23-13
26-25
26-25
21-21
32-22
18-23
26-15
27-20
21-18
17-12
12-29
23-23
13-22
25-26
19-22
20-21
25-14
13-16
23-27
17-15
173.5Avg total
94.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.582.5169.1+4.059%
Season at home (10)96.082.5178.5+13.580%
Season away (12)78.782.6161.2-3.942%
Last 10 (10)94.079.5173.5+14.580%
Last 5 (5)85.481.8167.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)81.383.6164.9-2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.876.8171.6+17.989%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 81
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 81
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 81
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 81
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
25-13
16-19
20-19
16-17
20-17
27-17
21-28
18-36
21-19
29-22
18-22
24-22
174.1Avg total
89.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.277.8155.0-0.650%
Season at home (12)75.275.1150.3+0.258%
Season away (10)79.581.0160.5-1.540%
Last 10 (10)89.484.7174.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)81.484.0165.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
vs Similar (11)76.980.1157.0-3.236%
vs Weaker (13)94.274.3168.5+19.892%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A15/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/01
Basket League
83.5Avg total
46.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.483.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.037.384.3+9.775%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.883.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.037.583.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.340.281.5+1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.238.985.1+7.274%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
86.9Avg total
47.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.036.280.2+7.870%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.234.077.2+9.283%-
Last 30 away (12)45.239.584.7+5.750%-
Last 10 (10)47.339.686.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.481.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.735.778.3+7.083%-
vs Similar (11)40.137.577.5+2.645%-
vs Weaker (13)47.835.483.2+12.585%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.322.7
62.5%
54.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.3
41.7%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.314.2
66.7%
78.0%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.4
58.4%
54.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.014.0
42.4%
36.2%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
78.0%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#13
+20.4
Net rating
+5.9
125.7
Offensive rating
122.1
105.2
Defensive rating
116.1
62.5%
Effective FG%
61.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.7%
3-point %
42.4%
64.1%
Assist %
68.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence125.7 · 122.1Defence105.2 · 116.1Shooting62.5% · 61.2%3-point %41.7% · 42.4%Ball care16.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds34.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HOlympiacos78-72
17/01/25ABaskonia77-91
15/01/25ABarcelona73-82
12/01/25AAEK Athens103-80
09/01/25HPartizan96-84
05/01/25HPAOK100-81
03/01/25HVirtus Bologna111-90
29/12/24HAS Karditsas96-72
27/12/24ABayern80-69
22/12/24HAris126-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HSiauliai92-85
17/01/25AFenerbahce86-98
15/01/25HVirtus Bologna77-68
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%80%42%
Points / game86.596.078.7
Allowed / game82.582.582.6
Point differential+4.0+13.5-3.9
Avg total169.1178.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%58%40%
Points / game77.275.279.5
Allowed / game77.875.181.0
Point differential-0.6+0.2-1.5
Avg total155.0150.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2216673%88.082.0+6.0
2 Fenerbahce2114767%80.780.0+0.7
3 Monaco2213959%87.583.1+4.5
4 Panathinaikos2213959%86.582.5+4.0
5 Barcelona2213959%86.283.5+2.6
6 Paris2213959%85.884.8+1.0
7 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
8 Real Madrid22121055%86.082.9+3.2
9 Bayern22121055%85.488.2-2.8
10 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
11 Olimpia Milano23121152%86.085.8+0.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas22111150%77.277.8-0.6
13 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2291341%80.181.6-1.5
16 Virtus Bologna2271532%80.784.1-3.4
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2361726%84.889.8-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1717262989
Zalgiris Kaunas252619676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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