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Mazeikiai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 82-88
17-19 24-15 21-33 20-21
Position#10
Record3-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game94.9
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game73.0
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Apr 2025
MAZ80
ZAL105
26 Jan 2025
MAZ82
ZAL88
14 May 2024
MAZ58
ZAL76
09 Oct 2023
MAZ69
ZAL73
13 Apr 2015
MAZ65
ZAL96
23 Dec 2014
MAZ47
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-101
46
101
-55
31avg 72
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 72
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
68avg 72
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 72
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
87avg 72
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 72
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 72
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 72
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 72
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
101avg 72
A11/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-26
13-26
12-24
13-25
21-19
19-21
21-19
28-26
19-16
23-29
20-23
21-25
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
18-23
16-30
21-17
32-23
10-15
19-11
15-22
34-28
22-14
22-22
19-12
30-39
19-20
23-25
23-21
29-29
19-22
13-17
19-17
21-27
24-30
18-24
21-21
31-19
173.2Avg total
83.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.394.9178.3-11.620%
Season at home (8)82.192.2174.4-10.125%
Season away (7)84.798.0182.7-13.314%
Last 10 (10)83.489.8173.2-6.450%
Last 5 (5)88.888.8177.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)79.892.2172.0-12.424%
vs Similar (1)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 81
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 81
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 81
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 81
A23/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
25-13
16-19
20-19
16-17
20-17
27-17
21-28
18-36
21-19
29-22
18-22
24-22
25-17
26-17
19-26
6-29
171.1Avg total
86.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.573.0164.5+18.587%
Season at home (7)88.067.3155.3+20.7100%
Season away (8)94.678.0172.6+16.675%
Last 10 (10)86.384.8171.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)83.885.2169.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.780.3158.0-2.643%
vs Similar (10)76.881.8158.6-5.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.274.3168.5+19.892%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
MazeikiaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A11/01
LKL
79.9Avg total
36.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.245.684.9-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.543.182.7-3.633%-
Last 30 away (15)38.948.187.1-9.213%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.279.9-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)39.245.484.7-6.224%-
vs Similar (1)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/01
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
46.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.580.7+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.134.677.7+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)45.639.184.7+6.554%-
Last 10 (10)46.738.585.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.284.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.935.479.3+8.486%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.878.5+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.835.483.2+12.585%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.6
51.4%
55.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.9
37.8%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
75.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.616.7
58.4%
55.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.7
40.7%
35.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
75.0%13.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
WLLWWLWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWLWLWL
#10
League position
#1
-7.3
Net rating
+1.5
109.0
Offensive rating
119.0
116.4
Defensive rating
117.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
59.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.8%
3-point %
40.7%
61.1%
Assist %
68.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 119.0Defence116.4 · 117.5Shooting53.9% · 59.8%3-point %37.8% · 40.7%Ball care19.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai101-46
14/05/24Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas58-76
12/05/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai97-61
29/04/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai95-68
28/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai103-75
09/10/23Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas69-73
13/04/15Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas65-96
26/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai76-52
23/12/14Mazeikiai v Zalgiris Kaunas47-95
24/11/14Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai98-79
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ASiauliai107-103 OT
05/01/25HJonava72-83
29/12/24ABC Wolves94-95
14/12/24HLietkabelis93-87
11/12/24HJonava78-76
07/12/24ANevezis87-93
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
30/11/24HRytas83-93
27/11/24HNevezis89-85
17/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas46-101
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25APanathinaikos76-89
20/01/25HSiauliai92-85
17/01/25AFenerbahce86-98
15/01/25HVirtus Bologna77-68
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW20%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game83.382.184.7
Allowed / game94.992.298.0
Point differential-11.6-10.1-13.3
Avg total178.3174.4182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game91.588.094.6
Allowed / game73.067.378.0
Point differential+18.5+20.7+16.6
Avg total164.5155.3172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1513287%91.573.0+18.5
2 Rytas1613381%89.881.8+8.0
3 BC Wolves1511473%92.188.1+4.0
4 Lietkabelis168850%82.181.3+0.8
5 Juventus157847%82.985.7-2.8
6 Jonava167944%86.890.2-3.4
7 Siauliai156940%93.398.3-5.0
8 Neptunas1661038%82.987.8-4.8
9 Nevezis1531220%86.089.7-3.7
10 Mazeikiai1531220%83.394.9-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1724212082
Zalgiris Kaunas1915332188
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