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Zwolle vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 83-87 (OT)
16-18 27-22 20-23 12-12 8-12
Position#14
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#13
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game90.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 6· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zwolle v Leuven Bears
27 Dec 2026
ZWO v LEUV
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ZWO83
LEUV87
16 Mar 2025
ZWO76
LEUV71
29 Apr 2022
ZWO57
LEUV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 72
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
78-104
78
104
-26
59avg 72
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
57avg 72
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 72
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
88avg 72
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 72
H05/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
66-70
66
70
-4
48avg 72
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 72
H19/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 72
A25/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
16-21
20-19
20-19
17-22
25-21
21-32
15-29
13-30
18-23
9-23
27-10
23-22
16-31
15-21
17-29
20-25
24-19
17-14
20-25
16-21
28-16
22-12
22-19
19-23
20-17
15-20
17-19
22-22
15-12
13-21
16-15
24-23
16-21
14-29
25-18
34-18
17-27
18-18
26-18
162.4Avg total
77.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.877.8157.6+2.040%
Season at home (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Season away (3)83.073.0156.0+10.067%
Last 10 (10)77.684.8162.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)79.877.8157.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.885.2163.1-7.416%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.785.8162.5-9.217%
vs Weaker (5)91.078.0169.0+13.080%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
W
75-73
75
73
+2
69avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
92-58
92
58
+34
90avg 73
A10/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 73
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 73
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 73
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 73
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
52-104
52
104
-52
40avg 73
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
59avg 73
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
93avg 73
H25/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
14-18
21-18
20-19
23-19
22-12
28-12
19-15
20-27
24-21
18-19
20-19
20-20
27-24
29-24
14-15
20-23
13-24
17-27
29-13
13-19
18-14
19-10
19-28
22-27
23-19
14-16
23-20
16-24
13-27
12-25
11-28
25-11
13-24
17-31
20-18
11-17
31-28
21-15
20-23
164.2Avg total
80.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.490.0167.4-12.620%
Season at home (3)81.098.3179.3-17.333%
Season away (2)72.077.5149.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)80.583.7164.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.490.0167.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.280.8147.0-14.717%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.880.2163.0+2.746%
vs Weaker (11)85.473.8159.2+11.573%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
ZwolleLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/05
DBL
Rotterdam
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H19/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A25/10
BNXT League
84.5Avg total
40.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.182.2-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.441.780.1-3.321%-
Last 30 away (16)41.542.483.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.884.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.542.782.3-3.232%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (5)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A10/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/10
BNXT League
80.4Avg total
38.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.379.1+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.783.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.975.1-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.680.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.240.373.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.341.882.2-1.538%-
vs Weaker (11)42.735.878.5+6.964%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
54.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
72.4%13.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.0
54.6%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.715.7
66.2%
72.4%15.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
WLLLWLLLLL
Leuven Bears
WLLLLLWLWW
#14
League position
#13
-7.0
Net rating
-4.3
103.8
Offensive rating
106.5
110.8
Defensive rating
110.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.9%
3-point %
32.5%
60.6%
Assist %
54.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 106.5Defence110.8 · 110.7Shooting49.9% · 52.3%3-point %30.9% · 32.5%Ball care16.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Zwolle v Leuven Bears76-71
18/01/25Leuven Bears v Zwolle104-77
29/04/22Zwolle v Leuven Bears57-82
26/03/22Leuven Bears v Zwolle87-61
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AOkapi Aalst95-81
19/10/25HBrussels Basketball79-91
11/10/25AMechelen66-70
05/10/25HDen Bosch71-79
28/09/25ARotterdam88-68
15/05/25HLeiden81-83
13/05/25ALeiden71-103
10/05/25AKortrijk67-86
07/05/25ADonar Groningen78-104
04/05/25HBelfius Mons80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HLWD Basket100-96 OT
17/10/25ALimburg75-84
11/10/25HAntwerp Giants52-104
04/10/25HSpirou Charleroi91-95 OT
26/09/25AKortrijk69-71
17/05/25AKortrijk79-87
15/05/25HKortrijk90-83
13/05/25AKortrijk82-86
10/05/25ABAL Weert92-58
03/05/25HDonar Groningen75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game79.875.083.0
Allowed / game77.885.073.0
Point differential+2.0-10.0+10.0
Avg total157.6160.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game77.481.072.0
Allowed / game90.098.377.5
Point differential-12.6-17.3-5.5
Avg total167.4179.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %40%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen550100%86.271.0+15.2
2 Oostende660100%90.076.7+13.3
3 Leiden65183%92.776.2+16.5
4 Antwerp Giants54180%92.467.8+24.6
5 Den Bosch54180%88.481.6+6.8
6 Okapi Aalst75271%91.385.6+5.7
7 Donar Groningen64267%83.575.2+8.3
8 Belfius Mons64267%90.090.7-0.7
9 Limburg53260%87.279.2+8.0
10 Brussels Basketball63350%87.386.7+0.7
11 Spirou Charleroi63350%82.391.0-8.7
12 Zwolle52340%79.877.8+2.0
13 Kortrijk62433%81.388.7-7.3
14 Leuven Bears51420%77.490.0-12.6
15 LWD Basket6060%89.2100.8-11.7
16 Den Helder5050%75.088.8-13.8
17 Rotterdam6060%71.792.7-21.0
18 BAL Weert6060%66.788.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Zwolle16272012883
Leuven Bears182223121287
← all games of the day
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