PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 92-85
17-27 25-17 24-28 26-13
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game71.0
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.5
AustraliaNBL W· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2023-24
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W
10 Jan 2026
PERT80
ADEL65
02 Jan 2026
PERT93
ADEL75
05 Jan 2025
PERT94
ADEL76
07 Jan 2024
PERT84
ADEL68
11 Nov 2023
PERT92
ADEL85
30 Dec 2022
PERT82
ADEL72
09 Mar 2022
PERT84
ADEL73
07 Mar 2022
PERT104
ADEL79
15 Nov 2020
PERT69
ADEL74
26 Oct 2019
PERT86
ADEL90
19 Jan 2019
PERT81
ADEL82
13 Oct 2018
PERT66
ADEL78
15 Dec 2017
PERT99
ADEL82
18 Dec 2016
PERT102
ADEL52
30 Oct 2016
PERT95
ADEL63
24 Jan 2016
PERT76
ADEL67
20 Nov 2015
PERT93
ADEL85
18 Oct 2014
PERT92
ADEL68
08 Feb 2014
PERT57
ADEL70
22 Dec 2012
PERT64
ADEL77
27 Oct 2012
PERT65
ADEL75
13 Jan 2012
PERT51
ADEL84
17 Dec 2011
PERT57
ADEL78
20 Nov 2010
PERT68
ADEL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H04/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
108-82
108
82
+26
no box
A16/02
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
83-102
83
102
-19
no box
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
H25/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A02/03
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
107-94
107
94
+13
no box
A04/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H12/03
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
78avg 78
H03/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-31
22-11
21-27
17-20
25-18
22-25
27-32
18-25
34-24
31-24
25-9
16-35
22-24
23-21
22-22
25-20
28-20
25-19
21-19
25-20
32-18
25-27
15-28
30-21
26-23
23-29
28-21
19-21
18-27
20-16
11-17
22-27
21-26
21-15
20-23
20-13
18-16
18-18
29-24
178.1Avg total
90.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.387.8178.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)88.286.0174.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.691.2173.9-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.281.2164.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (14)87.977.5165.4+10.486%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
no box
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
82-108
82
108
-26
no box
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
no box
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
53avg 62
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 62
A05/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
7-23
21-21
16-13
15-17
15-21
18-30
15-24
21-16
21-21
15-21
15-15
25-23
8-22
24-18
28-22
25-18
24-34
24-31
9-25
14-27
27-10
19-12
18-23
23-32
23-26
28-15
17-28
20-25
18-32
27-25
28-15
24-13
11-13
13-25
12-17
31-20
27-23
12-16
12-20
165.2Avg total
77.9Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.073.5144.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.987.3165.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)80.883.4164.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.385.5160.8-10.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.978.1156.0-0.329%
vs Weaker (5)83.883.0166.8+0.860%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL W
Southside W
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H25/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A02/03
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A04/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H12/03
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H03/11
NBL W
90.5Avg total
45.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.786.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.841.384.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)45.344.189.4+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.190.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.848.190.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.543.486.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker (14)45.139.284.3+5.979%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A24/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H02/03
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H01/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A05/11
NBL W
84.8Avg total
40.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.639.478.0-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.744.686.4-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.584.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.742.482.2-2.728%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.641.181.7-0.643%-
vs Weaker (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.021.0
60.0%
47.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.09.0
25.0%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
74.3%16.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.5
47.0%
47.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.0
24.5%
32.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
74.3%13.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
WLLWWWLWLL
Adelaide Lightning W
WLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#7
+22.3
Net rating
-3.2
105.3
Offensive rating
88.3
83.0
Defensive rating
91.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
43.2%
37.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
23.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.0%
3-point %
24.5%
50.0%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 88.3Defence83.0 · 91.5Shooting48.6% · 43.2%3-point %25.0% · 24.5%Ball care17.1% · 23.7%Off. rebounds28.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth Lynx W wins
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W93-97
16/02/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W82-108
30/12/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W82-72
09/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W84-73
07/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W104-79
02/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W88-86
06/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W78-80
15/11/20Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W69-74
30/01/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W75-74
06/12/19Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W79-69
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HSydney W85-71
12/03/23HTownsville W84-91
09/03/23ATownsville W68-81
04/03/23ACanberra Capitals W107-94
02/03/23AAdelaide Lightning W97-93
25/02/23HBendigo W99-78
19/02/23ASouthside W83-102
16/02/23AAdelaide Lightning W108-82
04/02/23HTownsville W91-95
01/02/23HTownsville W81-91
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ACanberra Capitals W82-79
01/11/23HGeelong United W60-68
02/03/23HPerth Lynx W93-97
24/02/23ASydney W91-101
18/02/23ACanberra Capitals W78-72
16/02/23HPerth Lynx W82-108
02/02/23ACanberra Capitals W90-97 OT
28/01/23HSouthside W72-73
20/01/23ATownsville W63-92
14/01/23HBendigo W68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.060.082.0
Allowed / game73.568.079.0
Point differential-2.5-8.0+3.0
Avg total144.5128.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W110100%85.071.0+14.0
2 Geelong United W220100%72.565.0+7.5
3 Southside W32167%83.076.7+6.3
4 Townsville W21150%83.577.5+6.0
5 Adelaide Lightning W21150%71.073.5-2.5
6 Sydney W21150%69.573.5-4.0
7 Bendigo W2020%71.080.5-9.5
8 Canberra Capitals W2020%79.093.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W1725242692
Adelaide Lightning W2717281385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.