Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 78-61

18-18 19-15 24-6 17-22

Position#7

Record2-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game61.1

Allowed / game77.2

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Perth Lynx W

Position#8

Record4-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.6

Allowed / game78.3

NBL WRound 11

Women2014-15

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth Lynx W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

94-91 OT

A01/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

33-76

-43

H09/11

NBL W

Sydney W

59-78

-19

H15/11

NBL W

Townsville W

53-71

-18

H21/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

61-78

-17

A22/11

NBL W

Sydney W

54-66

-12

A28/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

60-76

-16

A29/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

55-81

-26

A06/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

59-73

-14

H12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

70-73

-3

H19/12

NBL W

17-23

14-13

26-26

20-15

10-19

4-30

7-12

12-15

7-21

28-20

13-24

11-13

15-17

13-21

10-16

21-17

15-22

10-19

15-20

17-9

14-20

11-17

12-20

22-15

16-21

6-19

16-21

4-24

16-24

21-17

14-16

14-22

14-18

20-19

11-14

19-24

22-11

14-21

15-17

136.1Avg total

59.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	61.1	77.2	138.3	-16.2	15%
Season at home (6)	57.0	72.3	129.3	-15.3	17%
Season away (7)	64.6	81.4	146.0	-16.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	59.8	76.3	136.1	-16.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	59.6	73.8	133.4	-14.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	66.2	76.5	142.8	-10.3	25%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	64.9	73.3	138.1	-8.4	29%
vs Weaker (3)	78.3	65.3	143.7	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

72-61

+11

H07/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

54-64

-10

A09/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

70-68

H15/11

NBL W

Sydney W

79-77

H22/11

NBL W

Townsville W

46-83

-37

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

80-97

-17

A05/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

84-87 OT

-3

A06/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

77-86

-9

H12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

70-83

-13

H20/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

70-83

-13

A03/01

NBL W

18-14

21-17

14-15

19-15

11-21

20-17

11-12

12-14

16-15

21-25

14-15

19-13

16-20

25-16

23-27

15-14

9-20

14-15

12-20

11-28

21-24

21-20

20-29

18-24

8-21

17-14

12-16

32-18

24-21

16-19

17-28

20-18

19-15

18-31

14-15

19-22

8-24

19-19

23-20

20-20

149.1Avg total

70.2Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	69.6	78.3	147.9	-8.7	31%
Season at home (7)	73.3	73.0	146.3	+0.3	57%
Season away (6)	65.3	84.5	149.8	-19.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.2	78.9	149.1	-8.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	87.2	163.4	-11.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	60.0	80.6	140.6	-20.6	10%
vs Similar ◀ (1)	92.0	68.0	160.0	+24.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WPerth Lynx W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	19.6	36.9	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	19.1	33.7	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.9	20.9	38.7	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.0	21.1	36.1	-6.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	21.4	38.2	-4.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	12.9	20.8	33.7	-7.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	14.7	21.3	36.0	-6.7	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.8	35.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	15.8	32.9	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.6	18.5	36.0	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	16.1	17.9	34.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	12.7	31.0	+5.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.7	37.2	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	20.2	35.7	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

31-36

-5

A01/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

14-49

-35

H09/11

NBL W

Sydney W

35-41

-6

H15/11

NBL W

Townsville W

30-34

-4

H21/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

36-39

-3

A22/11

NBL W

Sydney W

31-29

A28/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

38-36

A29/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

20-48

-28

A06/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

28-40

-12

H12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

41-35

H19/12

NBL W

69.1Avg total

30.4Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	37.3	72.8	-1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.4	35.4	69.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.4	38.7	69.1	-8.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	37.6	69.2	-6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.3	37.5	72.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.0	38.7	72.7	-4.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

39-31

H07/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

31-38

-7

A09/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-40

-3

H15/11

NBL W

Sydney W

41-36

H22/11

NBL W

Townsville W

23-35

-12

A29/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

42-44

-2

A05/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

25-35

-10

A06/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

40-40

H12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-46

-9

H20/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

27-43

-16

A03/01

NBL W

73.0Avg total

34.2Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.5	41.8	73.3	-10.2	10%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.2	42.4	76.7	-8.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.4	41.0	69.4	-12.6	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	38.8	73.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	41.6	75.8	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	31.0	42.0	72.9	-11.0	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	48.0	36.0	84.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.0	18.7	33.6	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.1	18.8	32.9	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	19.5	33.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	18.6	33.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	14.7	19.9	34.5	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	13.9	17.6	31.4	-3.7	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	13.0	32.7	+6.7	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	13.2	19.2	32.4	-5.9	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	12.9	18.6	31.6	-5.7	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	13.6	19.8	33.4	-6.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	12.7	19.2	32.0	-6.5	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	28.0	17.0	45.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	18.2	34.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	18.1	33.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	16.7	30.3	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	17.6	31.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.4	18.5	33.9	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	18.6	34.5	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.5	17.3	33.8	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.1	20.1	35.2	-5.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.1	36.9	68.0	-5.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.7	36.9	69.6	-4.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	29.6	36.9	66.5	-7.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	36.2	63.9	-8.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	36.2	64.2	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	30.1	38.4	68.5	-8.3	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	30.9	34.6	65.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	32.3	70.7	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.1	37.8	66.9	-8.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.4	35.9	65.4	-6.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	39.9	68.6	-11.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	38.3	72.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)	28.6	38.0	66.6	-9.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	44.0	32.0	76.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Perth Lynx W wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	92-68
08/02/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	57-70
03/11/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	93-41
05/10/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	65-69
22/12/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	64-77
08/12/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	85-48
27/10/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	65-75
13/01/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	51-84
17/12/11	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	57-78
08/10/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	97-70

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/14	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	70-73
12/12/14	H	Geelong United W	59-73
06/12/14	A	Bendigo W	55-81
29/11/14	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	60-76
28/11/14	A	Sydney W	54-66
22/11/14	A	Geelong United W	61-78
21/11/14	H	Townsville W	53-71
15/11/14	H	Sydney W	59-78
09/11/14	H	Bendigo W	33-76
01/11/14	A	Sydney W	94-91 OT

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/15	A	Bendigo W	70-83
20/12/14	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	70-83
12/12/14	H	Dandenong W	77-86
06/12/14	A	Geelong United W	84-87 OT
05/12/14	A	Dandenong W	80-97
29/11/14	A	Townsville W	46-83
22/11/14	H	Sydney W	79-77
15/11/14	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	70-68
09/11/14	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	54-64
07/11/14	H	Bendigo W	72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	15%
Home	LLLLL	17%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	15%	17%	14%
Points / game	61.1	57.0	64.6
Allowed / game	77.2	72.3	81.4
Point differential	-16.2	-15.3	-16.9
Avg total	138.3	129.3	146.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	31%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	31%	57%	0%
Points / game	69.6	73.3	65.3
Allowed / game	78.3	73.0	84.5
Point differential	-8.7	+0.3	-19.2
Avg total	147.9	146.3	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Townsville W	13	11	2	85%	84.2	65.4	+18.8
2	Bendigo W	14	10	4	71%	76.3	66.6	+9.7
3	Geelong United W	15	8	7	53%	72.0	72.6	-0.6
4	Sydney W	14	7	7	50%	77.6	76.9	+0.6
5	Dandenong W	14	7	7	50%	79.1	80.1	-1.0
6	Canberra C. Acad. W	14	6	8	43%	71.0	74.1	-3.1
7	Perth Lynx W	13	4	9	31%	69.6	78.3	-8.7
8	Adelaide Lightning W	13	2	11	15%	61.1	77.2	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	18	19	24	17	78
Perth Lynx W	18	15	6	22	61

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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