Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 63-75

18-25 12-23 16-15 17-12

Position#8

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game62.7

Allowed / game78.0

Adelaide Lightning W

Perth Lynx W 🏆

Position#2

Record5-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game76.3

NBL WRound 6

Women2016-17

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth Lynx W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SEQ Stars W

81-89

-8

H05/02

NBL W

Geelong United W

88-62

+26

A13/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

92-78

+14

A14/02

NBL W

Townsville W

57-64

-7

H20/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

63-77 OT

-14

A08/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

69-75

-6

A09/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

64-70

-6

A14/10

NBL W

Townsville W

56-85

-29

A16/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

61-66

-5

H21/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

63-95

-32

A30/10

NBL W

22-21

20-20

22-16

17-32

32-21

21-16

20-15

15-10

31-22

23-20

19-13

19-23

21-16

18-14

8-18

10-16

21-12

10-18

12-16

18-15

18-25

19-17

14-11

18-22

10-15

13-14

17-19

24-22

10-22

9-24

19-23

18-16

8-15

17-22

11-13

25-16

16-23

12-30

14-23

21-19

145.5Avg total

69.4Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	62.7	78.0	140.7	-15.3	0%
Season at home (1)	61.0	66.0	127.0	-5.0	0%
Season away (5)	63.0	80.4	143.4	-17.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	76.1	145.5	-6.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	62.6	78.2	140.8	-15.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	68.8	79.5	148.3	-10.8	21%
vs Similar (3)	76.7	67.7	144.3	+9.0	67%
vs Weaker (3)	79.3	73.7	153.0	+5.7	100%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

91-72

+19

A28/02

NBL W

Townsville W

57-73

-16

H12/03

NBL W

Townsville W

70-80

-10

A18/03

NBL W

Sydney W

93-90

A07/10

NBL W

Townsville W

62-84

-22

A09/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

88-85

A15/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

74-94

-20

A16/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

65-59

H22/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

95-63

+32

H30/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

90-59

+31

H06/11

NBL W

26-20

27-18

23-17

15-17

18-18

16-20

16-7

7-28

17-20

19-25

25-12

9-23

26-26

21-21

23-21

23-22

18-19

16-22

14-27

14-16

27-25

19-22

17-21

25-17

16-26

26-26

19-21

13-21

12-19

12-11

23-16

18-13

23-16

30-12

23-14

19-21

30-12

29-22

14-14

17-11

154.4Avg total

78.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	81.0	76.3	157.3	+4.7	71%
Season at home (3)	83.3	60.3	143.7	+23.0	100%
Season away (4)	79.2	88.2	167.5	-9.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	75.9	154.4	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	72.0	154.4	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.3	77.0	152.3	-1.7	33%
vs Similar (7)	76.4	77.9	154.3	-1.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	81.5	70.5	152.0	+10.9	76%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WPerth Lynx W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	19.5	36.8	-2.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.4	20.0	32.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.7	20.3	46.0	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	12.7	35.0	+9.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	16.9	36.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	21.4	40.9	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+3.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.5	35.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	21.4	35.4	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	16.3	32.3	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.9	36.6	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.6	41.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.9	18.1	37.9	+1.8	53%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SEQ Stars W

42-41

H05/02

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-37

+16

A13/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

54-42

+12

A14/02

NBL W

Townsville W

39-30

H20/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

31-30

A08/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-42

-5

A09/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

23-29

-6

A14/10

NBL W

Townsville W

19-46

-27

A16/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

25-37

-12

H21/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

28-53

-25

A30/10

NBL W

73.8Avg total

35.1Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	39.0	74.8	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.9	37.2	72.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	40.5	76.9	-4.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	38.7	73.8	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	41.4	67.8	-15.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.6	40.1	74.7	-5.5	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.7	36.7	78.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	33.0	72.3	+6.3	33%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

53-38

+15

A28/02

NBL W

Townsville W

34-38

-4

H12/03

NBL W

Townsville W

36-45

-9

A18/03

NBL W

Sydney W

47-47

A07/10

NBL W

Townsville W

34-41

-7

A09/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

46-47

-1

A15/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

42-52

-10

A16/10

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

24-30

-6

H22/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

53-28

+25

H30/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

59-34

+25

H06/11

NBL W

82.8Avg total

42.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	33.9	72.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.2	83.0	+6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	37.3	75.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	40.1	79.1	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.8	36.0	77.8	+5.8	65%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.2	18.6	33.8	-3.4	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	16.7	32.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	17.8	32.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.6	19.6	36.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	17.7	40.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	41%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.4	36.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	17.5	34.5	-0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.8	46%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	14.0	30.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	18.9	34.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.5	22.0	36.5	-7.5	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	16.1	36.4	+4.1	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.2	36.2	68.3	-4.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.8	39.8	76.5	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	35.8	69.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.8	73.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.1	38.8	72.9	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.0	31.0	66.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	40.7	80.7	-0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	36.3	75.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	35.9	71.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	33.8	71.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.2	39.7	76.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.4	37.7	75.1	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.7	34.5	74.2	+5.2	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Perth Lynx W wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/16	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	95-63
24/01/16	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	76-67
20/11/15	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	93-85
08/11/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	52-65
01/02/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	71-58
04/01/15	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	78-61
18/10/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	92-68
08/02/14	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	57-70
03/11/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	93-41
05/10/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	65-69

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/16	A	Perth Lynx W	63-95
21/10/16	H	Geelong United W	61-66
16/10/16	A	Townsville W	56-85
14/10/16	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	64-70
09/10/16	A	Geelong United W	69-75
08/10/16	A	Bendigo W	63-77 OT
20/02/16	H	Townsville W	57-64
14/02/16	A	Bendigo W	92-78
13/02/16	A	Geelong United W	88-62
05/02/16	H	SEQ Stars W	81-89

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/16	H	Geelong United W	90-59
30/10/16	H	Adelaide Lightning W	95-63
22/10/16	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	65-59
16/10/16	A	Dandenong W	74-94
15/10/16	A	Geelong United W	88-85
09/10/16	A	Townsville W	62-84
07/10/16	A	Sydney W	93-90
18/03/16	A	Townsville W	70-80
12/03/16	H	Townsville W	57-73
28/02/16	A	Townsville W	91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	1	5
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	62.7	61.0	63.0
Allowed / game	78.0	66.0	80.4
Point differential	-15.3	-5.0	-17.4
Avg total	140.7	127.0	143.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	17%	0%	20%

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	71%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	100%	50%
Points / game	81.0	83.3	79.2
Allowed / game	76.3	60.3	88.2
Point differential	+4.7	+23.0	-9.0
Avg total	157.3	143.7	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	7	5	2	71%	81.0	76.3	+4.7
2	Bendigo W	8	5	3	62%	72.4	66.0	+6.4
3	Dandenong W	8	5	3	62%	75.9	71.8	+4.1
4	Townsville W	7	4	3	57%	74.3	72.1	+2.1
5	Sydney W	6	3	3	50%	80.5	79.8	+0.7
6	Canberra C. Acad. W	8	4	4	50%	69.4	69.6	-0.2
7	Geelong United W	8	3	5	38%	69.1	74.4	-5.2
8	Adelaide Lightning W	6	0	6	0%	62.7	78.0	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	18	12	16	17	63
Perth Lynx W	25	23	15	12	75

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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