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Adelaide Lightning W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 64-77
19-25 16-23 15-12 14-17
Position#7
Record6-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.3
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Southside W 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record10-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.4
AustraliaNBL WRound 17· Adelaide Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W
08 Feb 2026
ADEL64
SOUT77
20 Dec 2024
ADEL82
SOUT72
30 Dec 2023
ADEL62
SOUT87
18 Nov 2023
ADEL67
SOUT56
28 Jan 2023
ADEL72
SOUT73
03 Dec 2022
ADEL91
SOUT72
19 Mar 2022
ADEL79
SOUT87
23 Jan 2022
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
29 Nov 2020
ADEL79
SOUT110
22 Feb 2020
ADEL79
SOUT82
05 Jan 2020
ADEL104
SOUT93
01 Dec 2019
ADEL85
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southside W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
64avg 65
H21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 65
A28/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
67avg 65
A02/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
68avg 65
H04/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 65
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 65
H13/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
A17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
61-67
61
67
-6
54avg 65
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
90avg 65
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 65
A31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
17-30
20-25
16-23
15-18
23-23
15-17
19-27
19-27
21-24
12-22
23-20
17-24
10-20
15-23
27-16
12-20
18-18
15-21
20-21
23-23
23-13
12-13
18-16
20-22
21-22
9-19
8-19
11-15
13-21
17-16
20-15
24-16
22-32
16-21
23-9
20-17
18-25
24-13
15-27
154.4Avg total
72.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.282.3156.5-8.127%
Season at home (10)75.880.0155.8-4.240%
Season away (12)72.884.2157.0-11.317%
Last 10 (10)72.082.4154.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)71.474.8146.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.284.0154.2-13.86%
vs Similar (12)78.179.9158.0-1.850%
vs Weaker (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 78
H28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
113-94
113
94
+19
118avg 78
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
94-52
94
52
+42
100avg 78
H03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
81avg 78
H11/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 78
A21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 78
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-111
79
111
-32
72avg 78
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 78
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 78
A03/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
23-23
17-15
27-19
26-19
34-24
26-25
27-26
32-6
23-12
23-16
16-18
23-26
15-24
20-18
26-22
22-20
22-21
19-9
19-8
18-20
27-26
20-25
23-27
16-25
20-18
16-12
23-23
19-22
13-34
16-33
31-22
17-20
25-18
13-24
27-15
20-26
24-18
20-16
18-15
166.9Avg total
86.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.879.4159.2+0.445%
Season at home (12)81.075.2156.2+5.858%
Season away (10)78.484.5162.9-6.130%
Last 10 (10)86.480.5166.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)81.287.8169.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.987.6164.5-10.79%
vs Similar (6)76.880.3157.2-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.873.6155.5+8.269%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
Adelaide Lightning WSouthside W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A02/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H04/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H20/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A24/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/01
NBL W
81.7Avg total
37.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.582.1-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.943.582.5-4.638%-
Last 30 away (17)38.443.481.8-5.012%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.181.7-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.280.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.144.481.5-7.212%-
vs Similar (12)40.542.082.5-1.542%-
vs Weaker (1)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
55-18
55
18
+37
H03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/02
NBL W
85.4Avg total
43.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.3-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.179.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.783.2-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.785.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.544.582.1-7.027%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.378.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.838.281.9+5.662%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.7
46.3%
47.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
32.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws12.19.7
80.2%
73.3%9.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
47.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
32.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.6
67.5%
73.3%10.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LWLLWLLLLL
Southside W
WWLLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#4
-10.8
Net rating
+2.9
89.1
Offensive rating
100.6
99.9
Defensive rating
97.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
35.1%
66.8%
Assist %
72.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 100.6Defence99.9 · 97.7Shooting49.4% · 56.2%3-point %35.6% · 35.1%Ball care20.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Southside W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
6
Southside W wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W82-77
17/01/26Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W82-58
28/12/25Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W85-72
09/02/25Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W84-78
20/12/24Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W82-72
06/12/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W71-97
24/02/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W60-74
30/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W62-87
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ASouthside W77-82
24/01/26AGeelong Venom W85-78
20/01/26HCanberra Capitals W61-67
17/01/26ASouthside W58-82
13/01/26HSydney W76-65
10/01/26APerth Lynx W65-80
04/01/26HTownsville W69-83
02/01/26APerth Lynx W75-93
28/12/25ASouthside W72-85
21/12/25HPerth Lynx W82-109
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26ACanberra Capitals W82-75
31/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W82-77
27/01/26HPerth Lynx W79-111
24/01/26ATownsville W75-78
21/01/26ABendigo W88-98
17/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W82-58
11/01/26HTownsville W84-90
03/01/26HGeelong Venom W94-52
30/12/25ASydney W113-94
28/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game74.275.872.8
Allowed / game82.380.084.2
Point differential-8.1-4.2-11.3
Avg total156.5155.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Southside W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%58%30%
Points / game79.881.078.4
Allowed / game79.475.284.5
Point differential+0.4+5.8-6.1
Avg total159.2156.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2218482%85.072.0+13.0
2 Perth Lynx W2318578%84.774.8+9.9
3 Bendigo W2216673%77.171.5+5.5
4 Southside W22101245%79.879.4+0.4
5 Canberra Capitals W2391439%71.977.8-5.9
6 Geelong Venom W2371630%76.581.0-4.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W2261627%74.282.3-8.1
8 Sydney W2361726%76.286.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1916151464
Southside W2523121777
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