PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Adelaide Lightning W vs Sydney W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Postponed
Position#4
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game67.0
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Sydney W
Australia
Position#8
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game78.2
AustraliaNBL W
Women2021-22
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W
13 Jan 2026
ADEL76
SYDN65
09 Nov 2025
ADEL88
SYDN71
20 Nov 2024
ADEL78
SYDN54
05 Jan 2024
ADEL74
SYDN67
06 Dec 2023
ADEL64
SYDN66
12 Jan 2023
ADEL77
SYDN81
19 Nov 2022
ADEL87
SYDN67
05 Mar 2022
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
28 Nov 2020
ADEL75
SYDN53
11 Oct 2019
ADEL89
SYDN79
04 Jan 2019
ADEL110
SYDN61
21 Dec 2018
ADEL95
SYDN52
06 Oct 2017
ADEL91
SYDN80
12 Jan 2017
ADEL74
SYDN77
29 Dec 2016
ADEL72
SYDN89
17 Oct 2015
ADEL71
SYDN88
06 Feb 2015
ADEL72
SYDN60
15 Nov 2014
ADEL59
SYDN78
26 Jan 2014
ADEL68
SYDN71
08 Feb 2013
ADEL98
SYDN73
13 Oct 2012
ADEL86
SYDN60
14 Oct 2011
ADEL65
SYDN70
29 Jan 2011
ADEL55
SYDN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A20/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H05/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
14-21
13-21
18-3
19-25
24-23
21-21
24-17
19-11
13-6
24-16
21-19
14-8
10-13
20-16
15-22
17-18
23-15
16-25
11-22
20-13
9-19
17-24
16-18
24-24
27-22
17-16
17-10
32-2
14-26
19-23
19-26
19-19
18-15
22-9
14-13
20-13
21-13
19-15
18-16
142.4Avg total
75.2Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.967.0141.9+7.975%
Season at home (6)69.870.0139.8-0.250%
Season away (6)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.267.2142.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)76.467.2143.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.283.5152.7-14.436%
vs Similar (8)73.974.4148.2-0.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)74.967.2142.1+7.782%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
52-77
52
77
-25
H20/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A28/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H30/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H06/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A12/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A20/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H26/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
16-19
20-17
27-19
11-19
6-13
16-24
19-21
24-23
19-13
27-25
11-25
25-10
20-23
20-17
18-22
11-21
16-22
12-31
15-12
21-18
23-15
20-16
6-24
24-18
14-28
16-27
12-13
19-29
15-14
12-22
17-19
20-18
18-24
15-25
23-18
19-19
15-18
9-22
13-14
148.3Avg total
67.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.878.2143.9-12.48%
Season at home (7)65.376.6141.9-11.30%
Season away (5)66.480.4146.8-14.020%
Last 10 (10)67.880.5148.3-12.710%
Last 5 (5)66.280.2146.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.279.7146.0-13.55%
vs Similar (3)74.774.7149.3+0.033%
vs Weaker (6)74.364.5138.8+9.883%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Adelaide Lightning WSydney W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H30/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A20/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A28/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H30/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H05/03
NBL W
69.1Avg total
37.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.574.5-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.937.974.8-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)35.139.174.2-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.469.1+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.274.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.143.977.0-10.827%-
vs Similar (8)39.040.079.0-1.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.632.068.6+4.664%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H20/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A28/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A20/02
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H26/02
NBL W
74.2Avg total
35.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.873.3-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.036.372.3-0.359%-
Last 30 away (13)34.839.874.5-5.015%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.274.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.139.473.6-5.329%-
vs Similar (3)42.735.378.0+7.3100%-
vs Weaker (6)36.533.369.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Adelaide Lightning W wins
2
Sydney W wins
DateGameScore
26/02/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W56-73
20/01/22Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W52-77
13/12/20Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W86-60
28/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W75-53
29/12/19Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W72-80
08/12/19Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W81-69
11/10/19Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W89-79
04/01/19Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W110-61
21/12/18Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W95-52
05/12/18Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W72-82
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HTownsville W78-57
26/02/22ASydney W73-56
24/02/22ABendigo W84-77
19/02/22ASouthside W85-72
05/02/22HBendigo W62-74
30/01/22HCanberra Capitals W67-80
28/01/22ATownsville W73-65 OT
20/01/22ASydney W77-52
02/01/22HPerth Lynx W88-86
30/12/21HGeelong United W65-53
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HAdelaide Lightning W56-73
20/02/22AGeelong United W76-85
12/02/22ATownsville W63-84
06/02/22HTownsville W66-86
30/01/22HSouthside W70-73
28/01/22ACanberra Capitals W54-86
25/01/22ABendigo W83-72
23/01/22HPerth Lynx W81-86
20/01/22HAdelaide Lightning W52-77
22/12/21HGeelong United W77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game74.969.880.0
Allowed / game67.070.064.0
Point differential+7.9-0.2+16.0
Avg total141.9139.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%17%
Sydney W
NBL W 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%0%20%
Points / game65.865.366.4
Allowed / game78.276.680.4
Point differential-12.4-11.3-14.0
Avg total143.9141.9146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W97278%85.977.9+8.0
2 Adelaide Lightning W129375%74.967.0+7.9
3 Geelong United W1410471%75.969.2+6.6
4 Canberra Capitals W139469%74.866.1+8.7
5 Townsville W146843%68.871.7-2.9
6 Bendigo W135838%74.880.3-5.5
7 Southside W1331023%70.579.1-8.5
8 Sydney W121118%65.878.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.