Adelaide Lightning W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 77-81

23-15 26-17 12-30 16-19

Position#7

Record4-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game82.8

Adelaide Lightning W

Sydney W 🏆

Position#6

Record3-8

FormLLWWL

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game78.0

NBL W

Women2022-23

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

81-85

-4

A13/11

NBL W

Sydney W

87-67

+20

H19/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

90-80

+10

H30/11

NBL W

Southside W

91-72

+19

H03/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

75-84

-9

A10/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

64-89

-25

H18/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

100-106 OT

100

106

-6

A22/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

66-78

-12

H28/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

72-82

-10

A30/12

NBL W

Townsville W

93-68

+25

H05/01

NBL W

27-25

14-20

21-18

19-22

24-15

23-12

14-19

26-21

24-22

10-17

24-14

32-27

17-26

21-14

28-15

25-17

20-23

18-24

19-18

18-19

23-20

17-25

9-28

15-16

33-20

16-21

23-30

19-20

18-21

12-16

21-20

15-21

24-17

13-21

12-23

23-21

23-24

25-19

17-14

28-11

163.0Avg total

81.9Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.4	82.8	165.2	-0.4	33%
Season at home (6)	81.8	75.7	157.5	+6.2	67%
Season away (6)	83.0	90.0	173.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	81.1	163.0	+0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	84.6	163.6	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	75.9	82.7	158.5	-6.8	27%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	77.3	70.2	147.5	+7.2	50%
vs Weaker (9)	77.9	68.9	146.8	+9.0	78%

This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

72-80

-8

A16/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

67-87

-20

A19/11

NBL W

Southside W

75-82

-7

A01/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

60-77

-17

H04/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

92-80

+12

A10/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

75-85

-10

A14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

63-73

-10

H16/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

87-72

+15

H23/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

81-70

+11

H30/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

64-75

-11

A07/01

NBL W

18-19

17-20

19-14

18-27

15-24

12-23

19-14

21-26

16-16

15-18

30-23

14-25

15-17

24-16

9-24

12-20

27-23

21-17

26-23

18-17

23-23

16-25

20-15

16-22

25-16

14-16

11-20

13-21

23-18

19-22

21-20

24-12

17-18

19-16

21-14

24-22

17-7

13-32

18-21

16-15

151.7Avg total

73.6Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	72.1	78.0	150.1	-5.9	27%
Season at home (4)	72.8	73.0	145.8	-0.2	50%
Season away (7)	71.7	80.9	152.6	-9.1	14%
Last 10 (10)	73.6	78.1	151.7	-4.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	75.0	149.0	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	66.7	77.5	144.2	-10.8	13%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	68.3	75.3	143.7	-7.0	33%
vs Weaker (4)	86.5	70.5	157.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WSydney W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	14.9	35.6	+5.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.5	36.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.2	48%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.1	36.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.7	35.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.9	35.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.3	21.5	38.8	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.1	16.4	32.6	-0.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.2	21.4	36.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.8	19.9	35.7	-4.0	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

41-45

-4

A13/11

NBL W

Sydney W

47-27

+20

H19/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

34-39

-5

H30/11

NBL W

Southside W

38-40

-2

H03/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

38-47

-9

A10/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

40-45

-5

H18/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

49-41

A22/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

30-37

-7

H28/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

37-38

-1

A30/12

NBL W

Townsville W

48-43

H05/01

NBL W

80.4Avg total

40.2Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.5	76.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	38.9	79.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.9	42.1	81.9	-2.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.7	35.5	76.2	+5.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	36.8	31.3	68.1	+5.4	67%	-

This opponent (Sydney W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

35-39

-4

A16/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

27-47

-20

A19/11

NBL W

Southside W

31-34

-3

A01/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

39-33

H04/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

48-40

A10/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

39-48

-9

A14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

39-32

H16/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

42-40

H23/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

36-34

H30/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

30-39

-9

A07/01

NBL W

75.2Avg total

36.6Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	37.7	72.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	36.5	72.4	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.9	38.9	72.9	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.8	38.0	71.8	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	35.5	76.8	+5.8	100%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	23.0	39.4	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.3	21.3	38.5	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.2	15.7	31.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	17.1	38.6	+4.3	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.5	38.5	-2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	13.7	33.0	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.3	35.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.5	39.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	18.3	36.5	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	19.1	35.5	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	19.3	35.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.5	19.0	34.6	-3.5	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	16.2	40.0	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.8	74.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	35.5	72.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.1	77.4	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	40.8	77.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.4	39.6	75.0	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.7	34.7	71.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.6	36.9	76.4	+2.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.5	39.3	73.9	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	37.9	72.6	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.4	73.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	32.9	39.5	72.4	-6.6	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	33.3	36.7	70.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	35.0	80.2	+10.2	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Sydney W wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/22	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	87-67
26/02/22	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	56-73
20/01/22	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	52-77
13/12/20	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	86-60
28/11/20	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	75-53
29/12/19	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	72-80
08/12/19	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	81-69
11/10/19	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	89-79
04/01/19	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	110-61
21/12/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	95-52

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/23	H	Townsville W	93-68
30/12/22	A	Perth Lynx W	72-82
28/12/22	H	Bendigo W	66-78
22/12/22	A	Geelong United W	100-106 OT
18/12/22	H	Geelong United W	64-89
10/12/22	A	Bendigo W	75-84
03/12/22	H	Southside W	91-72
30/11/22	H	Canberra Capitals W	90-80
19/11/22	H	Sydney W	87-67
13/11/22	A	Geelong United W	81-85

Sydney Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/23	A	Perth Lynx W	64-75
30/12/22	H	Canberra Capitals W	81-70
23/12/22	H	Canberra Capitals W	87-72
16/12/22	H	Geelong United W	63-73
14/12/22	A	Bendigo W	75-85
10/12/22	A	Canberra Capitals W	92-80
04/12/22	H	Bendigo W	60-77
01/12/22	A	Southside W	75-82
19/11/22	A	Adelaide Lightning W	67-87
16/11/22	A	Perth Lynx W	72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	33%
Home	WWLLW	67%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	82.4	81.8	83.0
Allowed / game	82.8	75.7	90.0
Point differential	-0.4	+6.2	-7.0
Avg total	165.2	157.5	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Sydney W

NBL W 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	27%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	27%	50%	14%
Points / game	72.1	72.8	71.7
Allowed / game	78.0	73.0	80.9
Point differential	-5.9	-0.2	-9.1
Avg total	150.1	145.8	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	50%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Geelong United W	12	10	2	83%	86.1	77.1	+9.0
2	Southside W	12	9	3	75%	85.2	74.2	+11.0
3	Bendigo W	12	8	4	67%	80.2	78.7	+1.5
4	Townsville W	10	6	4	60%	81.9	77.5	+4.4
5	Perth Lynx W	10	5	5	50%	81.7	81.1	+0.6
6	Adelaide Lightning W	12	4	8	33%	82.4	82.8	-0.4
7	Sydney W	11	3	8	27%	72.1	78.0	-5.9
8	Canberra Capitals W	13	1	12	8%	72.9	91.2	-18.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	23	26	12	16	77
Sydney W	15	17	30	19	81

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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