Adelaide Lightning W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 110-61

36-23 35-9 19-16 20-13

Position#3

Record10-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game72.9

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Sydney W

Position#8

Record2-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game83.7

NBL W

Women2018-19

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

60-70

-10

A24/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

82-84

-2

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

86-80

A30/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

91-83

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

82-72

+10

A05/12

NBL W

Townsville W

85-70

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

93-73

+20

H14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

78-83

-5

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

95-52

+43

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

74-67

H30/12

NBL W

18-20

15-20

9-17

18-13

16-22

23-22

23-19

20-21

25-31

30-23

18-14

13-12

20-17

20-24

21-15

30-27

23-15

15-15

24-18

20-24

24-18

17-20

25-16

19-16

27-23

27-15

16-13

23-22

19-13

18-19

22-21

19-30

28-5

17-22

29-16

21-9

16-16

17-17

27-18

14-16

156.0Avg total

82.6Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	80.2	72.9	153.1	+7.2	59%
Season at home (8)	85.6	70.8	156.4	+14.9	75%
Season away (9)	75.3	74.9	150.2	+0.4	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	73.4	156.0	+9.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	69.0	154.0	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	79.1	80.2	159.3	-1.2	42%
vs Similar (4)	74.8	69.8	144.5	+5.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	79.9	71.4	151.3	+8.4	64%

This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

64-66

-2

A11/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

55-67

-12

H18/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

67-113

113

-46

H24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

85-64

+21

H01/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

72-82

-10

H05/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

65-62

A08/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

73-106

106

-33

H14/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

52-95

-43

A21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

84-88

-4

A23/12

NBL W

Townsville W

80-93

-13

H30/12

NBL W

17-16

15-10

15-21

17-19

22-17

16-22

4-13

13-15

22-27

11-31

16-29

18-26

24-19

27-12

16-10

18-23

15-23

15-15

18-24

24-20

18-15

15-12

19-21

13-14

22-25

19-25

13-21

19-35

5-28

22-17

16-29

9-21

19-30

26-9

19-23

20-26

23-20

18-19

22-26

17-28

153.3Avg total

69.7Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	71.1	83.7	154.8	-12.6	12%
Season at home (9)	71.9	87.4	159.3	-15.6	11%
Season away (8)	70.1	79.5	149.6	-9.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	69.7	83.6	153.3	-13.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	88.8	159.6	-18.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	72.1	82.8	154.9	-10.7	14%
vs Similar (3)	83.7	85.3	169.0	-1.7	33%
vs Weaker (6)	81.0	71.0	152.0	+10.0	83%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WSydney W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.0	37.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.6	20.7	42.2	+0.9	67%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	16.5	34.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	18.6	39.4	+2.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.6	41.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	17.9	35.2	-0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.7	50%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong W

33-40

-7

A24/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

39-44

-5

A25/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

55-54

A30/11

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

40-41

-1

H02/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-30

A05/12

NBL W

Townsville W

41-38

A07/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

54-38

+16

H14/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-32

A16/12

NBL W

Sydney W

45-27

+18

H21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

33-33

H30/12

NBL W

79.2Avg total

41.5Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.7	77.9	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	36.5	77.8	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	38.6	78.0	+0.7	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	37.7	79.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	33.6	75.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.3	38.8	79.2	+1.5	58%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.8	32.5	68.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.2	64%	-

This opponent (Sydney W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

32-26

A11/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

38-39

-1

H18/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

33-58

-25

H24/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

51-31

+20

H01/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

30-38

-8

H05/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

33-27

A08/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

41-50

-9

H14/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

27-45

-18

A21/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

45-39

A23/12

NBL W

Townsville W

41-39

H30/12

NBL W

76.3Avg total

37.1Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.9	79.0	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	43.8	82.9	-4.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	37.6	74.6	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.2	76.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.0	77.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.3	41.6	78.9	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.0	45.0	88.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	36.7	75.2	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.7	38.1	+4.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	21.7	37.5	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.0	41.8	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	16.2	36.3	+4.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	19.2	39.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.6	19.7	37.4	-2.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	18.4	34.9	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	22.7	39.5	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	24.8	40.4	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.7	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	17.2	37.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	36.6	76.2	+3.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	35.7	76.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	35.4	78.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	40.3	78.6	-2.1	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.4	33.2	71.6	+5.2	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	39.5	77.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.5	39.6	74.1	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	44.4	77.0	-11.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	48.8	82.2	-15.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.8	41.2	76.0	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.3	33.3	73.7	+7.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Sydney W wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/18	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	95-52
05/12/18	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	72-82
23/12/17	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	104-97 OT
29/11/17	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	74-77
06/10/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	91-80
18/02/17	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	98-83
12/01/17	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	74-77
29/12/16	Adelaide Lightning W v Sydney W	72-89
04/12/15	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	67-94
13/11/15	Sydney W v Adelaide Lightning W	84-79

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/18	H	Perth Lynx W	74-67
21/12/18	H	Sydney W	95-52
16/12/18	A	Geelong United W	78-83
14/12/18	H	Canberra Capitals W	93-73
07/12/18	A	Townsville W	85-70
05/12/18	A	Sydney W	82-72
02/12/18	H	Canberra Capitals W	91-83
30/11/18	A	Dandenong W	86-80
25/11/18	A	Geelong United W	82-84
24/11/18	A	Dandenong W	60-70

Sydney Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/18	H	Townsville W	80-93
23/12/18	A	Perth Lynx W	84-88
21/12/18	A	Adelaide Lightning W	52-95
14/12/18	H	Dandenong W	73-106
08/12/18	A	Geelong United W	65-62
05/12/18	H	Adelaide Lightning W	72-82
01/12/18	H	Bendigo W	85-64
24/11/18	H	Perth Lynx W	67-113
18/11/18	H	Bendigo W	55-67
11/11/18	A	Bendigo W	64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	59%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	LWWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	59%	75%	44%
Points / game	80.2	85.6	75.3
Allowed / game	72.9	70.8	74.9
Point differential	+7.2	+14.9	+0.4
Avg total	153.1	156.4	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	12%
Home	LWLLL	11%
Away	LLWLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	12%	11%	12%
Points / game	71.1	71.9	70.1
Allowed / game	83.7	87.4	79.5
Point differential	-12.6	-15.6	-9.4
Avg total	154.8	159.3	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	-	17% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Canberra Capitals W	17	12	5	71%	82.8	71.5	+11.4
2	Geelong United W	17	12	5	71%	78.3	71.8	+6.5
3	Perth Lynx W	17	11	6	65%	80.8	78.4	+2.4
4	Adelaide Lightning W	17	10	7	59%	80.2	72.9	+7.2
5	Townsville W	17	7	10	41%	77.1	78.1	-1.0
6	Dandenong W	17	7	10	41%	73.0	79.6	-6.6
7	Bendigo W	17	7	10	41%	68.5	75.7	-7.2
8	Sydney W	17	2	15	12%	71.1	83.7	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	36	35	19	20	110
Sydney W	23	9	16	13	61

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Sydney W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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