Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 87-105

19-31 27-25 20-34 21-15

Position#2

Record3-5

FormWWLLL

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game96.1

Adelaide

Brisbane Bullets 🏆

Position#8

Record5-4

FormWLLWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game79.6

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brisbane Bullets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

95-106

106

-11

A12/02

NBL

Perth

84-100

100

-16

A14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-122

122

-34

A07/10

NBL

Melbourne United

87-79

A09/10

NBL

Melbourne United

87-98

-11

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-93 OT

A16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-67

+16

H21/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

93-119

119

-26

A29/10

NBL

Perth

103-106

103

106

-3

A05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-85

-11

H12/11

NBL

27-35

19-19

23-23

26-29

30-25

26-23

11-21

17-31

22-31

34-24

10-34

22-33

24-20

27-22

22-16

14-21

22-23

17-32

22-25

26-18

21-23

17-25

21-16

24-19

29-16

17-16

18-20

19-15

19-35

24-27

25-30

25-27

18-29

26-31

27-23

32-23

28-24

18-17

17-20

11-24

186.5Avg total

89.0Scored

97.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	88.9	96.1	185.0	-7.2	38%
Season at home (3)	81.3	83.3	164.7	-2.0	33%
Season away (5)	93.4	103.8	197.2	-10.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	97.5	186.5	-8.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	94.0	183.8	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	89.9	94.4	184.3	-4.6	29%
vs Similar (15)	87.9	92.7	180.5	-4.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	93.5	90.1	183.6	+3.4	75%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

72-65

H06/10

NBL

Sydney

77-73

A08/10

NBL

Adelaide

93-96 OT

-3

H16/10

NBL

Melbourne United

70-78

-8

A20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-82

H22/10

NBL

Sydney

78-87

-9

A30/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

70-86

-16

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

86-73

+13

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-76

A13/11

NBL

9-20

21-20

29-14

13-11

17-14

21-20

18-16

21-23

23-21

25-17

16-21

19-24

16-12

10-29

20-16

24-21

26-17

24-20

14-26

24-19

17-13

12-23

23-23

26-28

23-22

17-27

21-16

9-21

19-22

20-11

23-27

24-13

17-16

28-27

24-17

15-16

159.3Avg total

79.8Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.8	79.6	159.3	+0.2	56%
Season at home (4)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.8	75%
Season away (5)	75.8	80.0	155.8	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (9)	79.8	79.6	159.3	+0.2	56%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	80.8	162.0	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	78.3	79.7	158.0	-1.3	33%
vs Similar (6)	80.5	79.5	160.0	+1.0	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	25.7	49.1	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.0	24.5	48.5	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	26.6	49.5	-3.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	26.1	50.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.4	48.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	25.3	27.0	52.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.3	25.2	48.5	-1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.8	25.6	47.4	-3.9	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.1	78%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	100%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.1	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	17.3	37.2	+2.5	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.1	24.1	48.2	+0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.6	46.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.3	23.3	45.6	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.8	25.1	48.9	-1.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.6	25.2	42.8	-7.6	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

46-54

-8

A12/02

NBL

Perth

56-48

A14/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-55

A07/10

NBL

Melbourne United

51-42

A09/10

NBL

Melbourne United

39-55

-16

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-48

-10

A16/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

46-32

+14

H21/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-62

-19

A29/10

NBL

Perth

44-60

-16

A05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-41

H12/11

NBL

96.2Avg total

46.5Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	49.5	95.9	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.6	48.0	93.6	-2.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.9	50.7	97.6	-3.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	49.7	96.2	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	48.6	92.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	49.0	50.4	99.4	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	45.6	48.5	94.1	-2.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	45.5	50.8	96.2	-5.2	38%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

30-40

-10

H06/10

NBL

Sydney

38-34

A08/10

NBL

Adelaide

48-38

+10

H16/10

NBL

Melbourne United

26-41

-15

A20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-37

+13

H22/10

NBL

Sydney

29-36

-7

A30/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-49

-9

A06/11

NBL

Sydney

39-33

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

45-43

A13/11

NBL

77.3Avg total

38.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	56%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	41.8	37.0	78.8	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (5)	35.6	40.6	76.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.6	80.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.7	39.7	74.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	38.7	78.8	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.9	39.2	+1.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	16.9	39.2	+5.5	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	17.0	38.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	25.8	48.4	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	23.9	45.1	-2.6	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	42.5	85.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	36.4	79.2	+6.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	47.2	90.4	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	46.8	88.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.4	87.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	44.0	84.9	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.3	44.2	86.5	-1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	46.4	38.1	84.5	+8.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	40.5	38.8	79.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.2	81.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	40.3	35.7	76.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.3	40.8	81.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/16	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	93-96 OT

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-85
05/11/16	A	Perth	103-106
29/10/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	93-119
21/10/16	H	Cairns Taipans	83-67
16/10/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	96-93 OT
14/10/16	H	Melbourne United	87-98
09/10/16	A	Melbourne United	87-79
07/10/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-122
14/02/16	A	Perth	84-100
12/02/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	95-106

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/16	A	Cairns Taipans	84-76
10/11/16	H	Sydney	86-73
06/11/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	70-86
30/10/16	A	Sydney	78-87
22/10/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-82
20/10/16	A	Melbourne United	70-78
16/10/16	H	Adelaide	93-96 OT
08/10/16	A	Sydney	77-73
06/10/16	H	Perth	72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LWWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	38%	33%	40%
Points / game	88.9	81.3	93.4
Allowed / game	96.1	83.3	103.8
Point differential	-7.2	-2.0	-10.4
Avg total	185.0	164.7	197.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	20%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	56%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	75%	40%
Points / game	79.8	84.8	75.8
Allowed / game	79.6	79.0	80.0
Point differential	+0.2	+5.8	-4.2
Avg total	159.3	163.8	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	9	6	3	67%	81.9	79.1	+2.8
2	Sydney	11	7	4	64%	81.6	78.1	+3.5
3	New Zealand Breakers	10	6	4	60%	87.8	83.8	+4.0
4	Brisbane Bullets	9	5	4	56%	79.8	79.6	+0.2
5	Illawarra Hawks	10	4	6	40%	85.1	86.2	-1.1
6	Cairns Taipans	10	4	6	40%	78.2	80.1	-1.9
7	Adelaide	8	3	5	38%	88.9	96.1	-7.2
8	Melbourne United	11	4	7	36%	80.5	82.2	-1.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	19	27	20	21	87
Brisbane Bullets	31	25	34	15	105

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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