Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 89-96

17-30 26-20 23-26 23-20

Position#7

Record5-5

FormLWWLW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game93.5

Adelaide

82%

18%

■ ADEL 82%■ BRIS 18%

Pythia win probability

Projected 99-88

Projected total 187.1

Brisbane Bullets 🏆

Position#4

Record4-5

FormLWLWL

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game97.6

NBLRound 7· Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Other2026-27

Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Adelaide host Brisbane Bullets in the NBL. Pythia makes Adelaide the favourite at 82% and projects 99-88, about 187 points in all (over 190: 42%). On the market's main spread (Adelaide -7.5) Pythia gives Adelaide 61% to cover. Overtime chance: 3%. Adelaide are 5-5 this season (91.2 scored, 93.5 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Brisbane Bullets are 4-5 this season (93.6 scored, 97.6 allowed a game), form LWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

82.5%fair 1.21

Best odds1.33

Implied73.4%

Edge+9.1pp

Brisbane Bullets winWon

17.5%fair 5.71

Best odds3.75

Implied26.6%

Edge-9.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 15:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

97-95

93avg 87

A19/09

NBL

Perth

97-98

-1

90avg 87

A24/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-69

+14

74avg 87

H27/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

92-114

114

-22

87avg 87

A02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

72-88

-16

61avg 87

H04/10

NBL

Melbourne United

91-96

-5

79avg 87

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

84-78

76avg 87

A11/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

94-88

85avg 87

A16/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

94-108

108

-14

86avg 87

A24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

108-101

108

101

106avg 87

A30/10

NBL

25-23

24-25

26-22

22-25

20-30

28-18

29-22

20-28

32-17

20-17

15-17

16-18

21-35

14-30

32-27

25-22

19-23

23-25

15-12

15-28

21-31

17-25

21-20

32-20

18-18

23-26

20-12

23-22

14-22

26-17

31-23

23-26

25-42

18-30

29-14

22-22

28-24

28-20

18-28

34-29

184.7Avg total

91.2Scored

93.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.2	93.5	184.7	-2.3	50%
Season at home (3)	82.0	84.3	166.3	-2.3	33%
Season away (7)	95.1	97.4	192.6	-2.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	91.2	93.5	184.7	-2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	94.2	188.4	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	92.2	98.8	191.1	-6.6	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	90.4	90.8	181.2	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (4)	98.8	93.5	192.2	+5.2	50%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBullets

Date

Competition

Sydney

77-117

117

-40

71avg 73

H20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

88-85

89avg 73

H22/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

103-95

103

98avg 73

H25/09

NBL

Sydney

78-93

-15

66avg 73

A30/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

99-109 OT

109

-10

91avg 73

H03/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

91-97

-6

80avg 73

A08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

115-105

115

105

+10

116avg 73

H15/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

85-106

106

-21

68avg 73

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

98-81

+17

92avg 73

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

85-107

107

-22

75avg 73

H29/10

NBL

33-26

17-32

10-32

17-27

19-26

18-18

28-19

23-22

25-18

25-24

23-24

30-29

34-23

10-20

14-29

20-21

23-17

24-23

18-34

26-17

17-23

33-24

22-27

19-23

30-24

26-31

34-29

25-21

15-22

29-34

20-28

21-22

25-16

30-19

14-27

29-19

21-23

21-34

19-21

24-29

191.4Avg total

91.9Scored

99.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	93.6	97.6	191.1	-4.0	44%
Season at home (5)	98.0	100.2	198.2	-2.2	60%
Season away (4)	88.0	94.2	182.2	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	99.5	191.4	-7.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	99.2	194.0	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	80.6	100.6	181.2	-20.0	9%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	83.8	91.6	175.4	-7.8	20%
vs Weaker (2)	100.5	88.0	188.5	+12.5	100%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 185Push

Over 185

54.5%

@ 1.62-3.1pp

Under 185

45.5%

@ 2.20+3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

Marathon Be

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.20

Over/Under 190 · main lineActual: Under 190

Over 190

42.1%

@ 2.05-7.6pp

Under 190

57.9%

@ 1.90+7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.89

SBO

1.82

Under

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.89

SBO

1.86

Bet365

1.75

Over/Under 195Actual: Under 195

Over 195

30.6%

@ 2.55-6.2pp

Under 195

69.4%

@ 1.52+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

Under

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.48

📊 3. Team Totals

Adelaide total 95Actual: Adelaide under 95

Over 95

65.6%

Under 95

34.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Adelaide total 99 · main lineActual: Adelaide under 99

Over 99

49.4%

@ 1.88-0.3pp

Under 99

50.6%

@ 1.86+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.88

Under

Marathon Be

1.86

Adelaide total 103Actual: Adelaide under 103

Over 103

33.3%

Under 103

66.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Brisbane Bullets total 86.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets over 86.5

Over 86.5

55.9%

@ 1.43-9.2pp

Under 86.5

44.1%

@ 2.65+9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.40

Under

Betano

2.65

Bet365

2.65

Brisbane Bullets total 90.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets over 90.5

Over 90.5

40.4%

@ 1.87-11.0pp

Under 90.5

59.6%

@ 1.95+11.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.87

1xBet

1.86

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.75

Under

Marathon Be

1.95

Betano

1.93

1xBet

1.92

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.87

Brisbane Bullets total 94.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets over 94.5

Over 94.5

26.6%

@ 2.40-12.2pp

Under 94.5

73.4%

@ 1.52+12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.37

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Adelaide -10.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +10.5

ADEL -10.5

50.4%

@ 2.39+10.7pp

BRIS +10.5

49.6%

@ 1.57-10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

ADEL

Pinnacle

2.39

Bet365

2.30

BetVictor

2.30

Marathon Be

2.28

1xBet

2.28

BRIS

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Pinnacle

1.57

Betano

1.55

Spread Adelaide -7.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets +7.5

ADEL -7.5

61.2%

@ 1.89+10.6pp

BRIS +7.5

38.8%

@ 1.99-10.6pp

Best 5 market prices

ADEL

Bet365

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.87

Betano

1.83

BRIS

SBO

1.99

Bet365

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.89

Spread Adelaide -4.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +4.5

ADEL -4.5

71.6%

@ 1.55+11.8pp

BRIS +4.5

28.4%

@ 2.40-11.8pp

Best 5 market prices

ADEL

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.54

Marathon Be

1.53

Bet365

1.53

BetVictor

1.50

BRIS

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

Marathon Be

2.28

1xBet

2.28

Betano

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	24.7	47.9	-1.6	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	22.5	24.0	46.5	-1.5	25%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	23.6	25.2	48.8	-1.7	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	26.5	48.8	-4.2	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	27.4	48.6	-6.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.7	25.5	49.2	-1.8	31%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.3	50%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	26.5	49.0	-4.0	25%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.2	45.1	-3.2	30%	23%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	23.6	44.6	-2.5	38%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	24.9	45.6	-4.1	21%	21%
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	21.4	24.7	46.0	-3.3	30%	30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.2	24.8	42.0	-7.6	0%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	100%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.8	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.1	50%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	22.3	24.6	46.9	-2.3	33%	56%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.2	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.3	26.2	49.6	-2.9	31%	69%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	30%
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	23.8	45.2	-2.2	25%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	25.6	46.6	-4.7	30%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	26.2	48.6	-3.9	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	24.9	44.3	-5.6	14%	29%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	25.9	49.2	-2.6	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	27.8	28.4	56.2	-0.6	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.0	26.6	46.6	-6.6	22%	48%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	40%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	21.5	49.0	+6.0	100%	100%

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

49-48

A19/09

NBL

Perth

48-48

A24/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

52-34

+18

H27/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

35-65

-30

A02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-48

-6

H04/10

NBL

Melbourne United

38-56

-18

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

41-44

-3

A11/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-39

A16/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-72

-29

A24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-44

+12

A30/10

NBL

94.2Avg total

44.4Scored

49.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 96.5
Last 30 (30)	45.6	49.0	94.7	-3.4	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	45.2	47.8	93.1	-2.6	42%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	45.9	49.8	95.7	-3.9	50%	56%
Last 10 (10)	44.4	49.8	94.2	-5.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	51.0	94.6	-7.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	47.0	51.8	98.8	-4.8	44%	69%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.1	44.2	88.3	-0.1	50%	20%
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	50.2	94.2	-6.2	50%	50%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

50-58

-8

H20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-44

-7

H22/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

50-42

H25/09

NBL

Sydney

44-43

A30/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-40

H03/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-47

A08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

56-55

H15/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-56

-12

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

55-35

+20

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-57

-15

H29/10

NBL

95.2Avg total

47.5Scored

47.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 96.5
Last 30 (30)	41.9	49.8	91.7	-7.9	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	49.8	93.2	-6.4	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	49.8	89.9	-9.6	29%	21%
Last 10 (10)	47.5	47.7	95.2	-0.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	49.4	50.0	99.4	-0.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	41.4	51.3	92.7	-9.9	30%	35%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.0	47.6	87.6	-7.6	20%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	52.5	38.5	91.0	+14.0	100%	0%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Brisbane Bullets win

ADEL win

no forecast

@ 1.42

BRIS win

no forecast

@ 3.04

1st half Spread Adelaide -4 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets +4

ADEL -4

no forecast

@ 1.88

BRIS +4

no forecast

@ 1.97

1st half Over/Under 96.5 · main lineActual: Under 96.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Adelaide 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide under 50.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Brisbane Bullets 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets over 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half: ADEL + total 95.5

ADEL & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

ADEL & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half: Draw + total 95.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: BRIS + total 95.5

BRIS & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

BRIS & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half Over/Under 95Actual: Under 95

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 98Actual: Under 98

Over

no forecast

@ 2.14

Under

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Adelaide -5Actual: Brisbane Bullets +5

ADEL -5

no forecast

@ 2.03

BRIS +5

no forecast

@ 1.81

1st half Spread Adelaide -3Actual: Brisbane Bullets +3

ADEL -3

no forecast

@ 1.77

BRIS +3

no forecast

@ 2.13

1st half Over/Under 93.5Actual: Under 93.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.64

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 99.5Actual: Under 99.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.55

Under

no forecast

@ 1.47

1st half Spread Adelaide -6Actual: Brisbane Bullets +6

ADEL -6

no forecast

@ 2.10

BRIS +6

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brisbane Bullets (regulation)

ADEL

no forecast

@ 1.47

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

BRIS

no forecast

@ 2.99

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.0	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	21.4	22.2	43.7	-0.8	42%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.3	67%	56%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.7	43.3	+3.9	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.5	22.7	45.2	-0.2	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	30%
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	20.0	46.2	+6.2	100%	75%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46
Last 30 (30)	18.7	25.2	43.8	-6.5	23%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	25.6	42.8	-8.5	7%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	27.0	47.2	-6.8	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	26.4	48.2	-4.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.7	26.0	43.7	-8.3	17%	30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	60%	60%
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	25.5	44.0	-7.0	0%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.7	50%	58%
Last 30 away (18)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	39%	56%
Last 10 (10)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.8	23.8	50.6	+3.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.9	38%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.4	40%	40%
vs Weaker (4)	28.5	23.2	51.8	+5.2	75%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.7	44.3	-1.0	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	44%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	57%	36%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.0	46.4	+0.4	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.8	46.4	+0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	48%	35%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	20%
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	24.0	53.5	+5.5	100%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 92.5
Last 30 (30)	46.0	45.2	91.3	+0.8	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	44.6	44.8	89.3	-0.2	50%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	47.0	45.6	92.6	+1.4	61%	56%
Last 10 (10)	46.8	43.7	90.5	+3.1	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	50.6	43.2	93.8	+7.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	44.9	45.9	90.8	-1.1	62%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.4	44.9	89.3	-0.5	40%	40%
vs Weaker (4)	54.8	43.2	98.0	+11.5	75%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 92.5
Last 30 (30)	40.3	47.8	88.1	-7.5	20%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	48.4	89.3	-7.6	25%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	47.1	86.8	-7.5	14%	14%
Last 10 (10)	43.6	50.0	93.6	-6.4	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	49.2	94.6	-3.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	38.9	48.5	87.4	-9.7	17%	30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.8	44.0	87.8	-0.2	40%	20%
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	49.5	97.5	-1.5	0%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ADEL win + total 189.5

🔒 Pro

BRIS win + total 189.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ADEL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRIS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ADEL:BRIS): ADEL wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Brisbane Bullets under 96.5	79.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 94.5	73.4%	1.51	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 98.5	84.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Adelaide -4.5	71.6%	1.53	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.53	Bet365 1.53	BetVictor 1.50	+11.8pp	Lost
Adelaide (regulation)	80.4%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.33	1xBet 1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
Adelaide -4	74.0%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.47	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Adelaide -1.5	80.6%	1.34	Betano 1.35	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.33	-	-	+11.4pp	Lost
Adelaide -3.5	74.8%	1.46	1xBet 1.53	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.44	BetVictor 1.42	+11.4pp	Lost
Adelaide -2.5	77.4%	1.40	1xBet 1.45	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.38	BetVictor 1.36	+11.3pp	Lost
Adelaide -2	79.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 95.5	76.4%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Lost
Adelaide -3	76.8%	1.41	Bet365 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.40	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 93.5	70.2%	1.56	Betano 1.57	1xBet 1.57	Bet365 1.54	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 102.5	91.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 100.5	88.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Adelaide -5	70.6%	1.57	1xBet 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.57	Bet365 1.57	Pinnacle 1.57	-	+10.2pp	Lost
Adelaide -1	82.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 99.5	86.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 97.5	81.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 101.5	89.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Adelaide win	82.5%	1.29	1xBet 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.32	Betano 1.30	Pinnacle 1.30	Betfair 1.29	+9.1pp	Lost
Adelaide +2.5	86.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 104.5	93.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Under 197	73.6%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Adelaide over 87.5	87.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 106.5	95.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Under 197.5	74.1%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Adelaide over 85.5	90.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Adelaide over 79.5	97.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Adelaide over 83.5	93.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Under 199.5	77.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 103.5	92.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Adelaide over 81.5	95.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Under 204.5	85.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Adelaide over 89.5	82.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Brisbane Bullets under 105.5	94.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Adelaide over 88.5	84.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Adelaide +7.5	93.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets under 107.5	96.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Under 209.5	91.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Adelaide +12.5	97.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Under 195.5	70.1%	1.47	Marathon Bet 1.50	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.45	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Under 196.5	72.1%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.45	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Under 214.5	94.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Adelaide over 91.5	76.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Adelaide +1.5	84.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Under 196	71.5%	1.45	Marathon Bet 1.47	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Adelaide +11.5	96.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Adelaide under 109.5	85.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Under 203.5	84.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 213.5	94.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Adelaide +6.5	92.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Under 208.5	90.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Under 198.5	76.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Adelaide under 108.5	83.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Adelaide over 93.5	70.4%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Adelaide under 107.5	80.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Adelaide +17.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	-
Adelaide +16.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Adelaide under 105.5	74.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 163.5	92.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Over 164.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Over 168.5	87.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Over 169.5	85.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Over 173.5	79.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +23.5	87.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 79.5	80.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 78.5	82.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +22.5	85.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Over 174.5	77.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 81.5	74.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 80.5	77.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +18.5	75.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +16.5	70.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets over 82.5	70.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-4.6pp	Won
Brisbane Bullets +17.5	73.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.2	56.2%	56.4%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.1	32.8%	34.3%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	74.1%	16.5

They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 91.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	24.8	55.7%	56.4%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	9.7	30.0%	34.3%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.8	69.2%	74.1%	12.8

They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	24.8	59.2%	56.4%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.6	36.6%	34.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.9	76.3%	74.1%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	23.9	58.2%	56.4%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.9	12.1	35.7%	34.3%	36.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.5	74.4%	74.1%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.6	55.7%	56.4%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.7	35.6%	34.3%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.0	78.3%	74.1%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.5	52.4%	56.4%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	7.9	28.0%	34.3%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.9	70.0%	74.1%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	24.1	55.2%	56.4%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.5	35.4%	34.3%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.9	75.3%	74.1%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	24.7	57.4%	56.4%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.0	34.8%	34.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.1	76.8%	74.1%	17.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WLWWLLLWLW

Brisbane Bullets

LWLWLLLWWL

League position

-2.3

Net rating

-7.3

101.1

Offensive rating

94.0

103.4

Defensive rating

101.3

53.1%

Effective FG%

51.2%

57.4%

Opp. effective FG%

56.1%

11.8%

Turnover %

15.4%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.24

32.8%

3-point %

30.0%

65.6%

Assist %

60.6%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Brisbane Bullets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/26	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	74-107
04/01/26	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	86-97
05/12/25	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	90-65
28/09/25	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	87-80
31/01/25	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	89-92
24/12/24	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	90-111
06/12/24	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	102-83
09/02/24	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	102-84
24/12/23	Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets	95-88
29/09/23	Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide	86-71

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	108-101
24/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	94-108
16/10/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	94-88
11/10/26	A	Sydney	84-78
07/10/26	H	Melbourne United	91-96
04/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	72-88
02/10/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	92-114
27/09/26	H	Cairns Taipans	83-69
24/09/26	A	Perth	97-98
19/09/26	A	Melbourne United	97-95

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	H	Cairns Taipans	85-107
24/10/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	98-81
21/10/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	85-106
15/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	115-105
08/10/26	A	Cairns Taipans	91-97
03/10/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	99-109 OT
30/09/26	A	Sydney	78-93
25/09/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-95
22/09/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-85
20/02/26	H	Sydney	77-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	3	7
Win %	50%	33%	57%
Points / game	91.2	82.0	95.1
Allowed / game	93.5	84.3	97.4
Point differential	-2.3	-2.3	-2.3
Avg total	184.7	166.3	192.6
Over 190	50%	0%	71%
Win by 10+	10%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	44%
Home	WWLWL	60%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	93.6	98.0	88.0
Allowed / game	97.6	100.2	94.2
Point differential	-4.0	-2.2	-6.2
Avg total	191.1	198.2	182.2
Over 190	56%	80%	25%
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	10	7	3	70%	97.9	88.1	+9.8
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	70%	95.6	90.8	+4.8
3	Perth	9	5	4	56%	93.2	96.7	-3.4
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	55%	92.2	96.5	-4.4
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	50%	96.7	92.5	+4.2
6	Adelaide	10	5	5	50%	91.2	93.5	-2.3
7	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	44%	93.6	97.6	-4.0
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	40%	96.9	94.3	+2.6
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	40%	92.2	90.6	+1.6
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	27%	96.1	104.5	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	17	26	23	23	89
Brisbane Bullets	30	20	26	20	96

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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