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Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 95-88
27-23 25-19 18-21 25-25
Position#9
Record4-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game92.7
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#6
Record7-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game89.4
AustraliaNBLRound 12· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets
19 Dec 2026
ADEL v BRIS
upcoming
01 Nov 2026
ADEL89
BRIS96
05 Dec 2025
ADEL90
BRIS65
28 Sep 2025
ADEL87
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
ADEL89
BRIS92
24 Dec 2024
ADEL90
BRIS111
24 Dec 2023
ADEL95
BRIS88
29 Dec 2022
ADEL87
BRIS84
17 Dec 2022
ADEL108
BRIS77
11 Apr 2022
ADEL85
BRIS93
01 May 2021
ADEL101
BRIS79
15 Feb 2021
ADEL74
BRIS93
25 Jan 2020
ADEL99
BRIS108
19 Oct 2019
ADEL104
BRIS98
12 Jan 2019
ADEL90
BRIS102
04 Nov 2018
ADEL90
BRIS93
17 Feb 2018
ADEL105
BRIS82
01 Dec 2017
ADEL84
BRIS83
19 Jan 2017
ADEL101
BRIS68
19 Nov 2016
ADEL87
BRIS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
85-102
85
102
-17
69avg 76
H19/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 76
H21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
97-85
97
85
+12
102avg 76
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
80avg 76
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 76
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
96-93
96
93
+3
84avg 76
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 76
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 76
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 76
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 76
A16/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
14-26
23-23
20-25
23-20
16-20
28-25
22-13
24-26
20-22
26-23
27-14
22-19
22-31
24-23
20-26
15-17
16-22
16-24
25-19
18-35
17-18
31-14
30-26
17-37
24-16
19-24
23-19
15-25
8-20
20-28
16-21
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
181.8Avg total
86.6Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.092.7177.7-7.727%
Season at home (7)86.690.4177.0-3.943%
Season away (8)83.694.8178.4-11.112%
Last 10 (10)86.695.2181.8-8.630%
Last 5 (5)87.0101.2188.2-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)86.692.1178.7-5.429%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.597.4187.9-6.930%
vs Weaker (6)96.792.8189.5+3.867%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 76
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
82avg 76
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
108-92
108
92
+16
104avg 76
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
81avg 76
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
77avg 76
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 76
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 76
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 76
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
68-103
68
103
-35
50avg 76
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
85avg 76
H17/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
22-27
26-16
16-27
24-21
21-18
24-23
21-25
26-23
33-19
24-29
25-21
19-21
26-20
21-34
19-12
26-20
25-25
20-31
24-28
16-14
17-18
20-18
23-29
17-21
26-21
25-12
16-25
28-26
22-23
15-12
13-16
21-18
16-36
22-23
9-26
17-35
26-21
24-23
34-23
175.8Avg total
86.9Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.489.4175.9-3.044%
Season at home (8)90.988.8179.6+2.150%
Season away (8)82.090.1172.1-8.138%
Last 10 (10)86.988.9175.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.488.0169.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)83.995.7179.5-11.824%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.684.0173.6+5.671%
vs Weaker (2)90.594.0184.5-3.550%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
AdelaideBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H19/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H21/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
89.6Avg total
39.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.148.591.6-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.746.391.1-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)41.550.692.1-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)39.849.889.6-10.00%-
Last 5 (5)39.653.493.0-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.947.988.8-6.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.849.794.5-4.930%-
vs Weaker (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
88.4Avg total
44.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.946.489.2-3.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.689.3-4.047%-
Last 30 away (13)43.246.089.2-2.854%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.688.4+1.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.687.8-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)42.046.888.7-4.843%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.746.090.7-1.371%-
vs Weaker (2)46.043.589.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.423.2
50.0%
50.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
33.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.319.2
79.0%
73.8%19.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.124.5
52.0%
50.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.6
28.8%
33.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
73.8%17.1
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LLLLWLLWWL
Brisbane Bullets
LLWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
-2.5
106.3
Offensive rating
108.3
117.1
Defensive rating
110.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.3%
3-point %
28.8%
49.8%
Assist %
46.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 108.3Defence117.1 · 110.8Shooting48.5% · 49.1%3-point %30.3% · 28.8%Ball care16.6% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Adelaide   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Adelaide wins
7
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
29/09/23Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide86-71
19/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide106-101 OT
29/12/22Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets87-84
17/12/22Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets108-77
11/04/22Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets85-93
03/04/22Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide92-91
11/02/22Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide77-73
01/05/21Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets101-79
11/03/21Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide109-104
15/02/21Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets74-93
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
02/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers59-94
30/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers83-96
17/11/23HSouth East Melbourne96-93
11/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers72-82
04/11/23APerth88-99
26/10/23ANew Zealand Breakers97-85
21/10/23HPerth89-78
19/10/23HSouth East Melbourne85-102
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HCairns Taipans101-102
10/12/23AMelbourne United68-103
03/12/23HIllawarra Hawks78-77
01/12/23ACairns Taipans84-79
18/11/23HPerth76-79
12/11/23ASydney95-104
04/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-87
02/11/23HSouth East Melbourne108-92
29/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers90-87
27/10/23APerth84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game85.086.683.6
Allowed / game92.790.494.8
Point differential-7.7-3.9-11.1
Avg total177.7177.0178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game86.490.982.0
Allowed / game89.488.890.1
Point differential-3.0+2.1-8.1
Avg total175.9179.6172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1714382%95.386.1+9.2
2 Tasmania JackJumpers1710759%89.984.1+5.8
3 Sydney169756%95.493.8+1.6
4 Perth169756%91.091.1-0.1
5 Cairns Taipans178947%88.989.4-0.5
6 South East Melbourne178947%89.992.4-2.5
7 Brisbane Bullets167944%86.489.4-3.0
8 New Zealand Breakers156940%89.689.9-0.3
9 Illawarra Hawks145936%85.489.6-4.3
10 Adelaide1541127%85.092.7-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2725182595
Brisbane Bullets2319212588
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