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Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 90-65
23-20 27-13 27-12 13-20
Position#3
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game96.1
AustraliaNBLRound 11· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets
19 Dec 2026
ADEL v BRIS
upcoming
01 Nov 2026
ADEL89
BRIS96
05 Dec 2025
ADEL90
BRIS65
28 Sep 2025
ADEL87
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
ADEL89
BRIS92
24 Dec 2024
ADEL90
BRIS111
24 Dec 2023
ADEL95
BRIS88
29 Dec 2022
ADEL87
BRIS84
17 Dec 2022
ADEL108
BRIS77
11 Apr 2022
ADEL85
BRIS93
01 May 2021
ADEL101
BRIS79
15 Feb 2021
ADEL74
BRIS93
25 Jan 2020
ADEL99
BRIS108
19 Oct 2019
ADEL104
BRIS98
12 Jan 2019
ADEL90
BRIS102
04 Nov 2018
ADEL90
BRIS93
17 Feb 2018
ADEL105
BRIS82
01 Dec 2017
ADEL84
BRIS83
19 Jan 2017
ADEL101
BRIS68
19 Nov 2016
ADEL87
BRIS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 87
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 87
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 87
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 87
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 87
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 87
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 87
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 87
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 87
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 87
A22/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
21-19
20-22
31-26
18-21
22-14
21-33
23-21
17-11
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
19-23
18-20
30-21
27-17
176.4Avg total
91.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.985.9177.8+5.979%
Season at home (8)91.488.9180.2+2.575%
Season away (6)92.582.0174.5+10.583%
Last 10 (10)91.285.2176.4+6.080%
Last 5 (5)96.089.4185.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)94.495.6190.0-1.150%
vs Similar (9)91.290.4181.7+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)97.084.9181.9+12.1100%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 81
A15/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
77avg 81
H17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 81
A23/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
76avg 81
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
113-85
113
85
+28
106avg 81
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-116
79
116
-37
68avg 81
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 81
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-113
84
113
-29
75avg 81
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 81
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
76avg 81
H20/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
30-27
24-23
30-22
16-31
21-24
17-15
32-25
11-25
28-32
29-15
16-11
20-23
19-23
22-37
25-26
25-27
32-20
22-20
34-18
17-35
28-22
21-32
13-27
19-23
27-20
23-17
14-21
18-27
18-41
21-24
27-21
24-24
14-23
16-25
39-27
19-27
21-29
21-18
15-29
187.1Avg total
89.4Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.796.1184.9-7.433%
Season at home (7)86.6100.7187.3-14.114%
Season away (8)90.692.1182.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)89.497.7187.1-8.340%
Last 5 (5)83.0102.4185.4-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.7100.7187.3-14.020%
vs Similar (10)93.591.8185.3+1.760%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
AdelaideBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
NBL
85.9Avg total
44.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.444.292.6+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.644.493.1+4.264%-
Last 30 away (16)48.243.992.2+4.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.585.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.346.294.5+2.150%-
vs Similar (9)47.942.290.1+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.442.692.0+6.971%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A15/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A23/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
36-68
36
68
-32
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H20/11
NBL
95.7Avg total
43.3Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.350.896.1-5.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.152.997.1-8.843%-
Last 30 away (16)46.249.095.2-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.352.495.7-9.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.054.295.2-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)44.552.597.0-8.040%-
vs Similar (10)46.847.694.4-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.3
47.3%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.9
76.5%
74.8%17.9
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.924.8
56.5%
54.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
74.8%14.6
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWWWLWWLWW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#10
+7.7
Net rating
-9.4
115.3
Offensive rating
108.0
107.7
Defensive rating
117.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
12.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
32.4%
61.9%
Assist %
54.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 108.0Defence107.7 · 117.4Shooting49.7% · 53.6%3-point %35.7% · 32.4%Ball care12.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
Brisbane Bullets wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASouth East Melbourne94-81
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
06/11/25ANew Zealand Breakers83-79
02/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-88
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HSouth East Melbourne76-103
15/11/25AMelbourne United93-99
12/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers84-113
08/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-81
01/11/25HSydney79-116
30/10/25HCairns Taipans113-85
25/10/25HSouth East Melbourne86-109
23/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers84-83
17/10/25HMelbourne United86-95
15/10/25APerth110-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%75%83%
Points / game91.991.492.5
Allowed / game85.988.982.0
Point differential+5.9+2.5+10.5
Avg total177.8180.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%14%50%
Points / game88.786.690.6
Allowed / game96.1100.792.1
Point differential-7.4-14.1-1.5
Avg total184.9187.3182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1613381%96.586.5+10.0
2 Adelaide1411379%91.985.9+5.9
3 South East Melbourne149564%97.490.1+7.3
4 Perth159660%89.586.5+2.9
5 Sydney147750%91.086.5+4.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers156940%85.786.8-1.1
7 New Zealand Breakers1661038%88.788.2+0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks145936%90.698.1-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1551033%88.796.1-7.4
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%81.496.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2327271390
Brisbane Bullets2013122065
← all games of the day
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