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Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game92.5
Adelaide
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game99.2
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets
19 Dec 2026
ADEL v BRIS
upcoming
01 Nov 2026
ADEL89
BRIS96
05 Dec 2025
ADEL90
BRIS65
28 Sep 2025
ADEL87
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
ADEL89
BRIS92
24 Dec 2024
ADEL90
BRIS111
24 Dec 2023
ADEL95
BRIS88
29 Dec 2022
ADEL87
BRIS84
17 Dec 2022
ADEL108
BRIS77
11 Apr 2022
ADEL85
BRIS93
01 May 2021
ADEL101
BRIS79
15 Feb 2021
ADEL74
BRIS93
25 Jan 2020
ADEL99
BRIS108
19 Oct 2019
ADEL104
BRIS98
12 Jan 2019
ADEL90
BRIS102
04 Nov 2018
ADEL90
BRIS93
17 Feb 2018
ADEL105
BRIS82
01 Dec 2017
ADEL84
BRIS83
19 Jan 2017
ADEL101
BRIS68
19 Nov 2016
ADEL87
BRIS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 86
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 86
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 86
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 86
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 86
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
108-101
108
101
+7
106avg 86
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 86
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
106-78
106
78
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
101-93
101
93
+8
no box
H12/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
17-30
26-20
23-26
23-20
22-21
27-16
36-23
21-18
27-10
32-25
21-27
21-31
187.1Avg total
93.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.992.5185.4+0.554%
Season at home (6)90.386.7177.0+3.750%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)93.194.0187.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)99.695.2194.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)92.997.9190.7-5.050%
vs Similar (10)93.795.5189.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.088.5184.5+7.550%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 75
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
116avg 75
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
68avg 75
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 75
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
75avg 75
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 75
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
109-104
109
104
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
92-120
92
120
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
30-17
20-26
26-23
20-23
37-22
26-21
18-25
28-36
17-29
31-33
25-21
19-37
24-14
16-26
22-20
17-19
26-21
26-29
14-29
26-25
196.0Avg total
95.3Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.499.2193.6-4.943%
Season at home (7)98.7101.3200.0-2.657%
Season away (7)90.097.1187.1-7.129%
Last 10 (10)95.3100.7196.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.2198.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.0100.0183.0-17.017%
vs Similar (7)91.693.3184.9-1.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
AdelaideBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H12/11
NBL
93.6Avg total
44.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.148.595.6-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.046.494.4+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)46.450.196.5-3.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.093.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.697.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.949.998.9-1.050%-
vs Similar (10)44.547.992.4-3.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.046.293.2+0.867%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/11
NBL
98.8Avg total
50.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.848.792.5-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.947.993.8-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.449.791.1-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.898.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.698.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.749.992.6-7.235%-
vs Similar (7)47.344.992.1+2.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.9
56.3%
56.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.4
30.3%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
74.0%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.0%13.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLWLWWLLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLWLWL
#5
League position
#7
-3.3
Net rating
-2.4
99.1
Offensive rating
94.9
102.4
Defensive rating
97.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
11.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
30.3%
67.5%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 94.9Defence102.4 · 97.4Shooting51.6% · 51.9%3-point %30.3% · 30.3%Ball care11.2% · 15.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets89-96
28/01/26Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide74-107
04/01/26Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide86-97
05/12/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets90-65
28/09/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets87-80
31/01/25Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets89-92
24/12/24Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets90-111
06/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide102-83
09/02/24Brisbane Bullets v Adelaide102-84
24/12/23Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets95-88
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMelbourne United101-93
07/11/26HIllawarra Hawks106-78
01/11/26HBrisbane Bullets89-96
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers92-104
13/11/26ANew Zealand Breakers90-94 OT
07/11/26AMelbourne United92-120
04/11/26HPerth109-104
01/11/26AAdelaide96-89
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game92.990.395.1
Allowed / game92.586.797.4
Point differential+0.5+3.7-2.3
Avg total185.4177.0192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game94.498.790.0
Allowed / game99.2101.397.1
Point differential-4.9-2.6-7.1
Avg total193.6200.0187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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