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Adelaide vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 87-80
27-23 21-24 29-20 10-13
Position#3
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game89.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Brisbane Bullets
19 Dec 2026
ADEL v BRIS
upcoming
01 Nov 2026
ADEL89
BRIS96
05 Dec 2025
ADEL90
BRIS65
28 Sep 2025
ADEL87
BRIS80
31 Jan 2025
ADEL89
BRIS92
24 Dec 2024
ADEL90
BRIS111
24 Dec 2023
ADEL95
BRIS88
29 Dec 2022
ADEL87
BRIS84
17 Dec 2022
ADEL108
BRIS77
11 Apr 2022
ADEL85
BRIS93
01 May 2021
ADEL101
BRIS79
15 Feb 2021
ADEL74
BRIS93
25 Jan 2020
ADEL99
BRIS108
19 Oct 2019
ADEL104
BRIS98
12 Jan 2019
ADEL90
BRIS102
04 Nov 2018
ADEL90
BRIS93
17 Feb 2018
ADEL105
BRIS82
01 Dec 2017
ADEL84
BRIS83
19 Jan 2017
ADEL101
BRIS68
19 Nov 2016
ADEL87
BRIS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 84
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
98avg 84
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
95avg 84
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
105-96
105
96
+9
94avg 84
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 84
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 84
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
88avg 84
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 84
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 84
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 84
A16/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
30-18
12-19
16-26
24-22
17-30
32-24
30-34
38-12
22-25
22-21
17-17
34-23
18-32
26-18
27-23
27-15
30-20
22-23
15-20
21-22
24-20
18-26
26-24
23-30
20-31
34-18
22-26
27-20
29-29
22-32
26-31
23-22
28-19
18-30
26-17
16-15
29-11
15-28
15-31
188.3Avg total
95.4Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.492.9188.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)92.496.4188.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)95.397.7192.9-2.450%
vs Similar (9)89.193.3182.4-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)98.389.7188.0+8.767%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 81
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
80avg 81
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
80-111
80
111
-31
69avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
87-121
87
121
-34
75avg 81
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 81
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-115
88
115
-27
77avg 81
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
82avg 81
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-100
88
100
-12
73avg 81
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
no box
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
33-30
14-22
18-36
27-27
15-38
24-20
19-27
24-31
21-31
20-20
15-29
20-35
21-21
19-35
27-30
21-19
25-21
20-23
27-24
26-26
14-35
21-26
27-28
22-21
20-24
26-18
24-26
26-32
22-16
23-25
17-27
21-20
25-24
28-22
30-29
17-21
24-24
15-16
26-22
190.3Avg total
88.5Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.089.0182.0+4.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)93.089.0182.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)88.5101.8190.3-13.330%
Last 5 (5)90.896.4187.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)94.1104.1198.2-10.031%
vs Similar (14)90.889.9180.7+0.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.8-4.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.8-4.8
AdelaideBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A16/02
NBL
95.4Avg total
51.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.547.396.9+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.644.694.3+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)49.449.799.1-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)51.344.195.4+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.891.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)50.547.898.3+2.756%-
vs Similar (9)46.745.091.7+1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)52.351.3103.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-65
42
65
-23
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A26/09
NBL
95.8Avg total
44.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.749.295.0-3.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.649.292.8-5.650%-
Last 30 away (16)47.649.296.9-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.551.395.8-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.692.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)46.952.499.3-5.644%-
vs Similar (14)44.445.690.0-1.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.5
56.5%
54.6%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.7
81.1%
74.8%16.7
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.5
48.0%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.0
34.8%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
74.8%15.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWLLLWWWLW
Brisbane Bullets
LWLWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-16.9
115.4
Offensive rating
107.9
113.3
Defensive rating
124.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
34.8%
52.0%
Assist %
48.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 107.9Defence113.3 · 124.9Shooting55.0% · 49.7%3-point %34.9% · 34.8%Ball care12.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds20.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Adelaide wins
7
Brisbane Bullets wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ASouth East Melbourne75-85
13/02/25ASydney95-88
07/02/25APerth104-112
02/02/25ASouth East Melbourne99-105
31/01/25HBrisbane Bullets89-92
26/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers94-78
24/01/25ASydney105-96
19/01/25ACairns Taipans99-75
17/01/25APerth103-110
13/01/25HIllawarra Hawks91-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ACairns Taipans82-83
19/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers104-95
06/02/25ACairns Taipans88-100
31/01/25AAdelaide92-89
26/01/25HMelbourne United88-115
24/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers93-87
20/01/25AIllawarra Hawks87-121
17/01/25HCairns Taipans80-111
15/01/25HPerth85-112
11/01/25ASouth East Melbourne86-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total182.0-182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United330100%101.783.0+18.7
2 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%83.382.0+1.3
3 Cairns Taipans32167%79.090.0-11.0
4 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
5 Brisbane Bullets21150%93.089.0+4.0
6 Perth21150%80.576.5+4.0
7 Sydney1010%74.077.0-3.0
8 Illawarra Hawks1010%86.091.0-5.0
9 New Zealand Breakers3030%85.0102.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2721291087
Brisbane Bullets2324201380
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