Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 87-63

26-14 20-19 25-10 16-20

Position#9

Record3-8

FormWLWLL

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game96.2

Adelaide 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#8

Record3-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game84.3

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

89-97

-8

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

71-94

-23

H21/10

NBL

Perth

100-92

100

A28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

90-99

-9

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

104-113 OT

104

113

-9

H12/11

NBL

Melbourne United

95-89

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

82-95

-13

H26/11

NBL

Perth

96-84

+12

A04/12

NBL

Sydney

103-107 OT

103

107

-4

A08/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

73-86

-13

H11/12

NBL

25-24

17-24

30-20

17-29

19-23

16-28

17-17

19-26

24-18

18-25

31-25

27-24

18-30

23-33

21-15

28-21

31-27

19-27

27-20

19-22

22-28

24-24

21-17

28-20

22-27

21-24

17-16

22-28

26-30

30-21

18-21

22-12

27-22

23-24

23-29

27-25

27-23

18-21

15-17

13-25

185.9Avg total

90.3Scored

95.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.4	96.2	184.5	-7.8	27%
Season at home (6)	82.3	96.5	178.8	-14.2	17%
Season away (5)	95.6	95.8	191.4	-0.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	95.6	185.9	-5.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	92.2	182.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	79.6	87.9	167.4	-8.3	31%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	85.8	91.6	177.4	-5.9	29%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

97-89

H16/10

NBL

Gold Coast

58-83

-25

H21/10

NBL

Sydney

89-95

-6

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

69-64

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

74-82

-8

H30/10

NBL

Perth

71-87

-16

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-63

+18

A11/11

NBL

Perth

70-86

-16

H20/11

NBL

Townsville

81-82

-1

A03/12

NBL

Perth

70-98

-28

H11/12

NBL

24-25

24-17

20-30

29-17

8-20

13-19

17-21

20-23

25-26

20-16

20-17

24-36

21-18

17-18

17-11

14-17

27-15

12-14

14-25

21-28

17-13

20-33

21-18

13-23

21-24

20-12

17-17

23-10

16-28

23-16

9-17

22-25

25-23

21-13

13-18

22-28

17-17

22-23

15-34

16-24

158.9Avg total

76.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.5	84.3	160.8	-7.7	27%
Season at home (6)	75.2	89.3	164.5	-14.2	17%
Season away (5)	78.2	78.2	156.4	+0.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	82.9	158.9	-6.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	83.2	157.8	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.1	84.7	159.8	-9.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	80.4	80.3	160.7	+0.1	36%
vs Weaker (7)	82.1	80.1	162.3	+2.0	57%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	23.5	45.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.5	47.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	25.2	49.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.0	50.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.0	22.9	44.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.1	24.3	46.4	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.6	41.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	22.3	40.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.3	21.4	42.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	25.1	46.0	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	21.7	42.4	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.8	39.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	57%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

42-48

-6

A16/10

NBL

Sydney

35-51

-16

H21/10

NBL

Perth

42-43

-1

A28/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-63

-22

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

50-54

-4

H12/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-52

-6

H19/11

NBL

Gold Coast

43-51

-8

H26/11

NBL

Perth

56-51

A04/12

NBL

Sydney

50-46

A08/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-44

H11/12

NBL

95.3Avg total

45.0Scored

50.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	45.3	87.2	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	43.9	86.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	46.7	87.5	-6.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	50.3	95.3	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	48.8	96.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	41.1	44.8	85.8	-3.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.7	46.0	88.7	-3.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

48-42

H16/10

NBL

Gold Coast

21-39

-18

H21/10

NBL

Sydney

45-42

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

38-36

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

39-29

+10

H30/10

NBL

Perth

37-46

-9

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-36

A11/11

NBL

Perth

39-44

-5

H20/11

NBL

Townsville

46-36

+10

A03/12

NBL

Perth

39-40

-1

H11/12

NBL

78.3Avg total

39.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.1	80.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	38.9	80.9	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	41.4	79.5	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.0	78.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.4	39.4	80.8	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.6	71%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.8	37.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.8	35.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	19.6	37.4	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	24.0	43.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.2	23.2	43.5	-3.0	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.8	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.8	24.3	44.1	-4.6	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.6	82.2	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	41.9	80.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	43.3	83.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.9	87.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.9	42.4	80.4	-4.5	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.4	42.9	84.2	-1.5	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	41.1	79.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	42.5	82.3	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	39.5	76.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	43.9	80.6	-7.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	42.8	77.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.7	43.9	81.6	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.2	40.1	78.3	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.0	39.6	80.6	+1.4	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/11	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	97-89
12/03/11	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	87-60
31/12/10	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	98-83
10/12/10	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	81-79
31/10/10	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	82-96

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	73-86
08/12/11	A	Sydney	103-107 OT
04/12/11	A	Perth	96-84
26/11/11	H	Gold Coast	82-95
19/11/11	H	Melbourne United	95-89
12/11/11	H	Sydney	104-113 OT
03/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	90-99
28/10/11	A	Perth	100-92
21/10/11	H	Sydney	71-94
16/10/11	A	Illawarra Hawks	89-97

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/11	H	Perth	70-98
03/12/11	A	Townsville	81-82
20/11/11	H	Perth	70-86
11/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-63
05/11/11	A	Perth	71-87
30/10/11	H	Melbourne United	74-82
28/10/11	A	Cairns	69-64
23/10/11	A	Sydney	89-95
21/10/11	H	Gold Coast	58-83
16/10/11	H	Adelaide	97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	27%
Home	LLWLL	17%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	17%	40%
Points / game	88.4	82.3	95.6
Allowed / game	96.2	96.5	95.8
Point differential	-7.8	-14.2	-0.2
Avg total	184.5	178.8	191.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	18%	17%	20%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	27%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	17%	40%
Points / game	76.5	75.2	78.2
Allowed / game	84.3	89.3	78.2
Point differential	-7.7	-14.2	+0.0
Avg total	160.8	164.5	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	13	10	3	77%	88.5	77.1	+11.5
2	Perth	12	8	4	67%	90.1	82.2	+7.8
3	Townsville	9	5	4	56%	82.2	80.4	+1.8
4	Melbourne United	12	6	6	50%	83.3	82.8	+0.6
5	Cairns	12	6	6	50%	74.2	77.2	-3.0
6	Sydney	13	6	7	46%	82.1	86.8	-4.8
7	Gold Coast	9	4	5	44%	86.0	85.7	+0.3
8	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	27%	76.5	84.3	-7.7
9	Adelaide	11	3	8	27%	88.4	96.2	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	26	20	25	16	87
Illawarra Hawks	14	19	10	20	63

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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