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Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 90-88
21-19 20-22 31-26 18-21
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game98.7
AustraliaNBLRound 7· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
104-112
104
112
-8
91avg 86
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 86
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 86
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 86
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-79
110
79
+31
104avg 86
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 86
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
73avg 86
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 86
A26/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-29
22-32
26-31
23-22
28-19
18-30
26-17
16-15
29-11
15-28
15-31
27-23
21-24
29-20
10-13
36-23
22-15
27-22
25-19
21-20
30-22
25-30
22-17
19-29
22-25
23-25
15-24
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
178.1Avg total
90.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.484.1174.6+6.371%
Season at home (4)88.085.8173.8+2.275%
Season away (3)93.782.0175.7+11.767%
Last 10 (10)90.787.4178.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.286.0173.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)94.997.8192.7-2.844%
vs Similar (10)90.393.7184.0-3.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)96.880.0176.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#5
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
64avg 89
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
81avg 89
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 89
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 89
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 89
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 89
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-89
116
89
+27
119avg 89
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 89
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 89
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 89
H31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
18-8
19-25
23-20
25-24
20-27
23-22
26-27
26-14
26-13
20-15
21-27
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
34-18
34-29
21-24
27-18
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
180.8Avg total
86.4Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.098.7183.7-13.729%
Season at home (3)87.394.0181.3-6.733%
Season away (4)83.2102.2185.5-19.025%
Last 10 (10)86.494.4180.8-8.030%
Last 5 (5)85.0101.6186.6-16.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.797.3179.0-15.733%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker (24)99.590.9190.4+8.762%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A16/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H28/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A02/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
88.1Avg total
48.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.445.594.9+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.744.695.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)48.246.294.4+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)48.140.088.1+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.884.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)49.747.497.1+2.356%-
vs Similar (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)52.539.592.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
90.6Avg total
44.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.346.295.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.445.699.0+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)44.646.891.4-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.890.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.451.898.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.348.089.3-6.733%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker (24)51.145.096.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.6
59.9%
54.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.1%
74.8%17.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.125.0
60.8%
54.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
33.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.815.8
69.3%
74.8%15.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWWLWWWLWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#8
+3.8
Net rating
-8.6
118.6
Offensive rating
111.8
114.7
Defensive rating
120.4
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
29.5%
60.6%
Assist %
50.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 111.8Defence114.7 · 120.4Shooting56.3% · 54.5%3-point %34.1% · 29.5%Ball care16.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Adelaide wins
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
11/10/25HSydney79-103
09/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers98-89
02/10/25ACairns Taipans110-79
28/09/25HBrisbane Bullets87-80
16/02/25ASouth East Melbourne75-85
13/02/25ASydney95-88
07/02/25APerth104-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
11/10/25HBrisbane Bullets116-89
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
21/09/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-69
20/09/25AG League United94-100
19/09/25HFlamengo82-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.488.093.7
Allowed / game84.185.882.0
Point differential+6.3+2.2+11.7
Avg total174.6173.8175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game85.087.383.2
Allowed / game98.794.0102.2
Point differential-13.7-6.7-19.0
Avg total183.7181.3185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United990100%97.980.3+17.6
2 South East Melbourne86275%98.286.9+11.4
3 Adelaide75271%90.484.1+6.3
4 Perth105550%87.685.9+1.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers105550%81.783.7-2.0
6 Sydney94544%92.386.3+6.0
7 Brisbane Bullets114736%90.595.1-4.6
8 New Zealand Breakers103730%88.389.2-0.9
9 Illawarra Hawks72529%85.098.7-13.7
10 Cairns Taipans113827%76.793.8-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2120311890
Illawarra Hawks1922262188
← all games of the day
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