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Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 93-79
26-22 24-19 26-26 17-12
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game89.4
AustraliaNBLRound 8· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 79
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 79
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
86avg 79
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 79
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 79
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 79
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
79-106
79
106
-27
61avg 79
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 79
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
78avg 79
H25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 79
A02/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
32-28
22-30
23-19
20-24
25-16
27-19
19-23
22-25
27-32
25-22
29-27
21-19
26-22
23-15
19-25
21-17
29-24
23-34
8-21
19-27
13-22
18-17
23-11
23-23
21-27
22-32
22-14
23-15
19-33
20-19
19-34
24-23
180.4Avg total
88.8Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.294.0184.2-3.856%
Season at home (5)90.486.0176.4+4.480%
Season away (4)90.0104.0194.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)88.891.6180.4-2.860%
Last 5 (5)85.292.0177.2-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)86.892.2179.1-5.447%
vs Similar (9)89.894.4184.2-4.744%
vs Weaker (4)100.593.0193.5+7.575%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 84
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 84
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 84
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
86avg 84
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
109-76
109
76
+33
98avg 84
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
79avg 84
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
68avg 84
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 84
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
38-25
21-35
30-20
24-21
27-15
21-32
27-20
21-22
32-27
22-25
27-29
19-21
32-17
25-22
27-13
25-24
17-24
23-14
19-20
28-17
21-18
16-22
21-19
29-33
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
185.9Avg total
96.1Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)98.689.4188.0+9.167%
Season at home (4)102.292.8195.0+9.550%
Season away (5)95.686.8182.4+8.880%
Last 10 (10)96.189.8185.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)95.287.6182.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.4100.7183.1-18.210%
vs Similar (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)98.689.4188.0+9.167%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A02/11
NBL
93.5Avg total
45.7Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.991.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.143.587.6+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)45.850.396.1-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)45.747.893.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.091.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)43.145.989.1-2.829%-
vs Similar (9)46.146.292.3-0.156%-
vs Weaker (4)50.052.5102.5-2.525%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
94.4Avg total
48.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.348.591.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.048.693.6-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)41.848.490.2-6.638%-
Last 10 (10)48.046.494.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.690.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.849.789.5-10.015%-
vs Similar (1)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.746.996.6+2.867%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.922.6
48.2%
52.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.6
37.2%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
74.7%17.2
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.3
54.9%
52.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.5
71.1%
74.7%15.5
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWWLWWWLLW
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-3.0
Net rating
+8.9
110.7
Offensive rating
119.7
113.7
Defensive rating
110.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
11.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
36.8%
53.2%
Assist %
48.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 119.7Defence113.7 · 110.8Shooting50.7% · 55.0%3-point %37.2% · 36.8%Ball care14.6% · 11.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Adelaide wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24ANew Zealand Breakers82-109
25/10/24HCairns Taipans99-93 OT
20/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers77-73
13/10/24AMelbourne United79-106
11/10/24HSydney89-79
05/10/24AIllawarra Hawks102-100
03/10/24HSouth East Melbourne93-83
28/09/24ACairns Taipans97-101
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82
24/10/24HMelbourne United87-92
19/10/24ACairns Taipans87-75
12/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers109-76
05/10/24HAdelaide100-102
29/09/24ASydney96-89
27/09/24HBrisbane Bullets113-101
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game90.290.490.0
Allowed / game94.086.0104.0
Point differential-3.8+4.4-14.0
Avg total184.2176.4194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game98.6102.295.6
Allowed / game89.492.886.8
Point differential+9.1+9.5+8.8
Avg total188.0195.0182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United139469%93.987.0+6.9
2 Illawarra Hawks96367%98.689.4+9.1
3 New Zealand Breakers96367%86.184.0+2.1
4 Sydney127558%87.282.3+4.8
5 Adelaide95456%90.294.0-3.8
6 Perth115645%88.792.7-4.0
7 South East Melbourne125742%86.483.2+3.2
8 Brisbane Bullets83538%89.493.5-4.1
9 Tasmania JackJumpers124833%77.682.8-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans113827%83.694.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2624261793
Illawarra Hawks2219261279
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