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Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 89-80
23-25 16-15 15-20 35-20
Position#9
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game89.8
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game101.7
AustraliaNBLRound 3· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 72
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 72
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 72
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 72
A08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
29-35
17-25
34-20
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
27-27
30-29
23-31
27-29
28-18
12-23
13-24
18-21
19-25
24-16
14-16
17-25
17-28
14-16
29-20
15-18
22-32
26-25
24-18
28-34
191.7Avg total
92.6Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.089.8169.8-9.80%
Season at home (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Season away (3)82.092.3174.3-10.30%
Last 10 (10)92.699.1191.7-6.520%
Last 5 (5)85.495.0180.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)85.891.3177.2-5.533%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.795.5186.2-4.831%
vs Weaker (5)99.088.4187.4+10.680%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A13/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A15/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
86-103
86
103
-17
no box
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
no box
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
65avg 71
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 71
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 71
A12/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
16-22
21-22
23-22
24-19
13-18
17-26
25-21
27-14
12-21
19-15
20-26
20-24
28-26
19-23
19-30
25-25
30-25
23-34
8-22
30-21
20-13
9-29
22-28
15-25
20-21
12-22
16-19
24-26
15-25
25-23
17-22
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
176.5Avg total
82.4Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.0101.7190.7-12.733%
Season at home (2)97.0101.0198.0-4.050%
Season away (1)73.0103.0176.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)82.494.1176.5-11.720%
Last 5 (5)82.296.6178.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)81.492.4173.8-11.112%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.091.8162.8-20.80%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A08/10
NBL
95.6Avg total
45.2Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.392.2-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.445.891.2-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)44.648.493.0-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)45.250.495.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.891.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.547.389.8-4.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.648.894.4-3.238%-
vs Weaker (5)49.043.492.4+5.680%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A15/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
89.0Avg total
43.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.746.988.6-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.547.389.7-4.833%-
Last 30 away (15)40.946.587.4-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.290.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.846.288.0-4.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.549.285.8-12.80%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.821.2
45.5%
50.9%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.5
26.8%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.6%
73.8%17.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.722.7
48.6%
50.9%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.2%
33.9%29.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
68.9%
73.8%14.0
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LLLLLWWLLL
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#4
-13.0
Net rating
-15.1
95.5
Offensive rating
105.4
108.5
Defensive rating
120.5
43.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.8%
3-point %
36.2%
64.0%
Assist %
49.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 105.4Defence108.5 · 120.5Shooting43.7% · 50.7%3-point %26.8% · 36.2%Ball care16.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks103-95
03/11/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide80-96
15/10/22Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-80
25/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide87-71
24/01/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-89
05/12/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks71-81
30/05/21Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide97-83
21/05/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks73-81
11/05/21Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide71-66
03/04/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks84-72
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23ASydney100-109
06/10/23APerth75-82
01/10/23HMelbourne United74-82
29/09/23ABrisbane Bullets71-86
05/02/23AMelbourne United107-116
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
14/01/23APerth97-112
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
30/09/23HSydney81-96
04/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers63-87
02/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers81-91
27/01/23APerth86-106
21/01/23HBrisbane Bullets86-103
19/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers78-76
15/01/23ASydney79-84
13/01/23ACairns Taipans84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.074.082.0
Allowed / game89.882.092.3
Point differential-9.8-8.0-10.3
Avg total169.8156.0174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game89.097.073.0
Allowed / game101.7101.0103.0
Point differential-12.7-4.0-30.0
Avg total190.7198.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers43175%89.580.2+9.2
2 Sydney43175%97.590.8+6.8
3 Melbourne United43175%81.875.5+6.2
4 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
5 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
6 Brisbane Bullets42250%90.889.2+1.5
7 Perth42250%90.892.0-1.2
8 Illawarra Hawks31233%89.0101.7-12.7
9 South East Melbourne41325%90.895.2-4.5
10 Adelaide4040%80.089.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2316153589
Illawarra Hawks2515202080
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