PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 91-88
33-25 30-18 12-19 16-26
Position#6
Record9-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game97.1
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#1
Record15-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game92.6
AustraliaNBLRound 16· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
56avg 83
H30/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 83
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-115
105
115
-10
98avg 83
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
111-94
111
94
+17
108avg 83
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-106
86
106
-20
74avg 83
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
90-111
90
111
-21
76avg 83
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-116
92
116
-24
74avg 83
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 83
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
99avg 83
A10/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
19-14
11-17
20-17
24-34
23-19
17-22
19-27
32-29
28-25
22-25
23-36
22-22
36-27
20-27
33-18
22-26
16-30
33-27
15-23
23-24
25-27
22-27
20-33
26-26
16-29
21-23
29-38
32-12
30-31
28-25
21-28
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
22-30
31-11
21-24
21-30
195.6Avg total
95.4Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)93.097.1190.1-4.243%
Season at home (12)93.091.9184.9+1.158%
Season away (9)92.9104.1197.0-11.222%
Last 10 (10)95.4100.2195.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)99.2101.6200.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.494.7187.1-2.256%
vs Similar (11)89.894.8184.6-5.036%
vs Weaker (3)102.093.0195.0+9.067%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 89
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 89
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
106-93
106
93
+13
100avg 89
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 89
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-108
111
108
+3
99avg 89
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
93avg 89
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
105-110
105
110
-5
89avg 89
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
105-108
105
108
-3
100avg 89
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 89
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-100
108
100
+8
93avg 89
H11/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
29-30
26-23
33-38
33-20
27-24
19-23
27-15
33-31
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
23-31
35-27
30-23
23-27
29-34
19-16
34-18
20-16
25-30
34-30
25-24
21-26
24-19
32-26
21-40
28-23
20-18
29-18
14-22
26-26
35-28
34-20
19-22
20-30
205.6Avg total
106.7Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)101.392.6193.9+8.768%
Season at home (11)102.891.9194.7+10.964%
Season away (11)99.793.3193.0+6.573%
Last 10 (10)106.798.9205.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)101.897.2199.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.2103.0190.2-15.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)101.392.6193.9+8.768%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
NBL
99.2Avg total
50.5Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.247.195.2+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.743.690.2+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)49.951.1100.9-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)50.548.799.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.046.498.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)47.946.694.5+1.450%-
vs Similar (11)46.646.493.0+0.345%-
vs Weaker (3)55.052.3107.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H11/01
NBL
105.9Avg total
56.2Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.847.596.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.945.196.0+5.953%-
Last 30 away (15)46.649.996.5-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)56.249.7105.9+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.247.8104.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.649.088.6-9.40%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)52.147.099.0+5.164%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.3
53.3%
52.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.418.2
74.6%
74.7%18.2
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.227.8
54.3%
52.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws26.620.9
78.6%
74.7%20.9
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LWWLLLWLLL
Illawarra Hawks
WWLLWWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-5.1
Net rating
+9.5
115.9
Offensive rating
125.6
121.0
Defensive rating
116.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.4%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
35.0%
51.9%
Assist %
51.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 125.6Defence121.0 · 116.1Shooting53.8% · 53.7%3-point %36.4% · 35.0%Ball care12.0% · 12.4%Off. rebounds24.8% · 39.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Adelaide wins
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks93-79
05/10/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-102
20/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide89-96
31/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide91-84
14/10/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks89-80
06/01/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks103-95
03/11/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide80-96
15/10/22Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-80
25/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide87-71
24/01/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-89
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-104 OT
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81
30/12/24ASydney111-96
28/12/24HPerth92-116
24/12/24HBrisbane Bullets90-111
21/12/24ASouth East Melbourne86-106
14/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers111-94
08/12/24HPerth105-115
06/12/24ABrisbane Bullets83-102
30/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers73-77
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers108-100
07/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-84
03/01/25HCairns Taipans105-108
31/12/24HSouth East Melbourne105-110
27/12/24ABrisbane Bullets102-84
25/12/24ASydney111-108
22/12/24HPerth120-88
13/12/24AMelbourne United106-93
06/12/24APerth121-111
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game93.093.092.9
Allowed / game97.191.9104.1
Point differential-4.2+1.1-11.2
Avg total190.1184.9197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%8%11%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game101.3102.899.7
Allowed / game92.691.993.3
Point differential+8.7+10.9+6.5
Avg total193.9194.7193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2215768%101.392.6+8.7
2 Melbourne United2415962%94.490.4+4.0
3 Perth2213959%98.095.4+2.6
4 Sydney24141058%90.586.8+3.6
5 South East Melbourne22121055%94.090.0+4.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers23121152%84.586.3-1.8
7 Brisbane Bullets22101245%93.995.6-1.7
8 Adelaide2191243%93.097.1-4.2
9 New Zealand Breakers2381535%85.491.2-5.8
10 Cairns Taipans2141719%84.494.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide3330121691
Illawarra Hawks2518192688
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.