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Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 97-85
21-22 23-27 27-15 26-21
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#8
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game96.5
AustraliaNBLRound 10· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks
23 Jan 2027
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
ADEL v ILLA
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
ADEL97
ILLA85
02 Nov 2025
ADEL90
ILLA88
13 Jan 2025
ADEL91
ILLA88
10 Nov 2024
ADEL93
ILLA79
14 Oct 2023
ADEL89
ILLA80
06 Jan 2023
ADEL103
ILLA95
15 Oct 2022
ADEL90
ILLA80
05 Dec 2021
ADEL71
ILLA81
21 May 2021
ADEL73
ILLA81
03 Apr 2021
ADEL84
ILLA72
06 Jan 2020
ADEL102
ILLA96
20 Dec 2019
ADEL84
ILLA93
09 Dec 2018
ADEL86
ILLA87
17 Nov 2018
ADEL104
ILLA79
19 Jan 2018
ADEL112
ILLA90
11 Nov 2017
ADEL87
ILLA96
23 Feb 2017
ADEL98
ILLA106
16 Feb 2017
ADEL93
ILLA78
05 Jan 2017
ADEL117
ILLA85
12 Nov 2016
ADEL74
ILLA85
30 Jan 2016
ADEL104
ILLA90
21 Nov 2015
ADEL89
ILLA77
18 Jan 2015
ADEL83
ILLA78
23 Oct 2014
ADEL94
ILLA73
29 Nov 2013
ADEL82
ILLA81
19 Oct 2013
ADEL97
ILLA91
01 Feb 2013
ADEL78
ILLA86
28 Oct 2012
ADEL63
ILLA77
03 Mar 2012
ADEL77
ILLA73
16 Dec 2011
ADEL87
ILLA63
31 Dec 2010
ADEL98
ILLA83
31 Oct 2010
ADEL82
ILLA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 86
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
73avg 86
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
80avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
81avg 86
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 86
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 86
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 86
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 86
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 86
H16/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
30-22
25-30
22-17
19-29
22-25
23-25
15-24
28-16
22-11
16-18
22-26
19-17
25-19
20-21
27-29
17-14
20-26
18-19
25-22
21-19
20-22
31-26
18-21
22-14
21-33
23-21
17-11
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
177.6Avg total
89.8Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.286.4177.7+4.875%
Season at home (7)90.689.4180.0+1.171%
Season away (5)92.282.2174.4+10.080%
Last 10 (10)89.887.8177.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)92.489.6182.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)95.298.0193.2-2.843%
vs Similar (10)93.290.8184.0+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)97.084.8181.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 90
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-89
116
89
+27
119avg 90
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 90
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 90
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
60-102
60
102
-42
46avg 90
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 90
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
107-90
107
90
+17
108avg 90
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 90
H16/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
34-18
34-29
21-24
27-18
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
23-19
18-15
11-24
33-26
18-31
16-21
10-27
16-23
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
25-22
27-26
29-20
26-22
14-18
18-35
18-18
21-27
185.3Avg total
88.2Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.096.5184.5-8.536%
Season at home (5)88.094.6182.6-6.640%
Season away (6)88.098.2186.2-10.233%
Last 10 (10)88.297.1185.3-8.940%
Last 5 (5)86.694.6181.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.295.5180.7-10.333%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker (21)99.889.8189.5+10.067%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
AdelaideIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H09/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H02/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
87.4Avg total
45.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.744.594.2+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.345.195.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)49.044.093.0+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.987.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.090.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)49.947.096.9+2.957%-
vs Similar (10)48.942.991.8+6.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.341.591.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H16/11
NBL
94.5Avg total
45.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.346.094.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.945.797.6+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.746.390.9-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)45.748.894.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.490.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.346.889.2-4.533%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker (21)50.844.695.4+6.271%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.7
48.7%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.119.1
76.1%
74.8%19.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.3
59.9%
54.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.6%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
74.8%14.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWLWWLWWLW
Illawarra Hawks
LWWLLWLWLL
#3
League position
#8
+3.0
Net rating
-12.0
113.1
Offensive rating
110.8
110.1
Defensive rating
122.8
49.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
13.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
32.6%
63.9%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 110.8Defence110.1 · 122.8Shooting49.4% · 55.4%3-point %33.7% · 32.6%Ball care13.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Adelaide wins
1
Illawarra Hawks wins
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
06/11/25ANew Zealand Breakers83-79
02/11/25HIllawarra Hawks90-88
26/10/25AMelbourne United80-81
18/10/25ACairns Taipans91-86
16/10/25HSouth East Melbourne88-71
11/10/25HSydney79-103
09/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers98-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HSydney71-98
07/11/25ACairns Taipans107-90
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
31/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers60-102
25/10/25APerth85-84
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
11/10/25HBrisbane Bullets116-89
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%71%80%
Points / game91.290.692.2
Allowed / game86.489.482.2
Point differential+4.8+1.1+10.0
Avg total177.7180.0174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game88.088.088.0
Allowed / game96.594.698.2
Point differential-8.5-6.6-10.2
Avg total184.5182.6186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1311285%96.784.5+12.2
2 Adelaide129375%91.286.4+4.8
3 South East Melbourne118373%97.489.0+8.4
4 Sydney127558%91.984.3+7.6
5 Perth127558%88.285.1+3.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%83.586.2-2.6
7 Illawarra Hawks114736%88.096.5-8.5
8 Brisbane Bullets145936%89.695.6-6.0
9 New Zealand Breakers1441029%87.387.6-0.3
10 Cairns Taipans1431121%80.496.1-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2123272697
Illawarra Hawks2227152185
← all games of the day
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