Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 106-79

33-18 31-16 23-19 19-26

Position#3

Record14-13

FormLLWWL

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game87.6

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Brisbane Bullets

Position#8

Record10-17

FormLWLLL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game84.7

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brisbane Bullets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

87-75

+12

A23/12

NBL

Perth

87-95

-8

H31/12

NBL

Adelaide

85-117

117

-32

A05/01

NBL

Melbourne United

106-88

106

+18

H07/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-80

H13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

86-95

-9

H20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

79-85

-6

A22/01

NBL

Adelaide

95-92

H28/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

90-73

+17

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

72-78

-6

A06/02

NBL

23-17

18-21

17-25

29-12

24-26

23-24

25-19

15-26

27-37

15-30

19-29

24-21

25-25

32-26

25-20

24-17

23-30

14-19

24-17

24-14

31-23

21-27

14-26

20-19

15-22

23-23

15-22

26-18

25-29

19-20

27-21

24-22

30-23

24-11

17-20

19-19

15-20

22-17

15-21

20-20

175.0Avg total

87.2Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	88.1	87.6	175.7	+0.6	52%
Season at home (13)	92.5	86.4	178.9	+6.2	62%
Season away (14)	84.1	88.7	172.8	-4.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	87.8	175.0	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	84.6	169.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	87.1	87.7	174.8	-0.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	91.3	84.3	175.7	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

59-97

-38

A26/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

93-76

+17

H31/12

NBL

Perth

68-72

-4

H09/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-85

-5

A13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-84

-2

H15/01

NBL

Adelaide

68-101

101

-33

A19/01

NBL

Melbourne United

88-71

+17

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

77-80

-3

H27/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-97

-14

A29/01

NBL

Perth

63-94

-31

A03/02

NBL

24-21

13-23

12-20

10-33

18-18

24-19

22-24

29-15

13-22

22-12

16-10

17-28

30-23

19-14

17-24

14-24

21-14

22-21

18-18

21-31

15-29

22-29

15-23

16-20

17-20

24-12

22-23

25-16

17-24

18-12

23-23

19-21

20-14

19-30

25-22

19-31

20-29

17-24

12-21

14-20

161.8Avg total

76.1Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.1	84.7	165.7	-3.6	37%
Season at home (14)	84.8	83.4	168.2	+1.4	43%
Season away (13)	77.1	86.0	163.1	-8.9	31%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	85.7	161.8	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	88.6	164.4	-12.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	80.8	86.7	167.5	-5.9	33%
vs Similar (12)	81.4	82.1	163.5	-0.7	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.9	47.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.4	24.4	49.8	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	23.4	24.0	47.4	-0.6	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.0	20.8	40.7	-0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	19.5	40.8	+1.9	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	22.4	22.6	45.1	-0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	53%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

41-38

A23/12

NBL

Perth

47-50

-3

H31/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-67

-25

A05/01

NBL

Melbourne United

57-51

H07/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

37-49

-12

H13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-50

H20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-45

-7

A22/01

NBL

Adelaide

44-49

-5

H28/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

54-34

+20

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

37-37

A06/02

NBL

91.9Avg total

44.9Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	46.2	91.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.4	47.1	95.5	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	45.4	88.2	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	47.0	91.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	43.0	88.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	45.9	46.6	92.4	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	41.7	42.7	84.3	-1.0	67%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

37-44

-7

A26/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

42-37

H31/12

NBL

Perth

35-34

H09/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-37

+12

A13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-35

H15/01

NBL

Adelaide

37-58

-21

A19/01

NBL

Melbourne United

41-32

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

35-36

-1

H27/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

39-44

-5

A29/01

NBL

Perth

37-53

-16

A03/02

NBL

80.5Avg total

39.5Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.3	41.4	81.7	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	40.3	80.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.1	42.5	82.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	41.0	80.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.8	43.1	83.9	-2.3	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.7	41.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.5	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.6	42.4	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.8	41.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	21.6	19.5	41.0	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	22.9	40.5	-5.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.9	42.3	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.9	82.5	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	39.3	84.3	+5.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	42.3	81.0	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	40.8	83.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (27)	41.3	41.1	82.4	+0.1	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	45.0	39.0	84.0	+6.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.1	42.3	82.4	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	41.2	84.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.0	43.5	80.5	-6.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	44.7	81.3	-8.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.8	41.9	80.7	-3.1	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.7	42.8	84.5	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/17	Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets	85-80
19/12/16	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	85-91 OT
10/12/16	Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks	88-98

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/17	A	Melbourne United	72-78
03/02/17	H	Cairns Taipans	90-73
28/01/17	H	Adelaide	95-92
22/01/17	A	Cairns Taipans	79-85
20/01/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	86-95
13/01/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	85-80
07/01/17	H	Melbourne United	106-88
05/01/17	A	Adelaide	85-117
31/12/16	H	Perth	87-95
23/12/16	A	Sydney	87-75

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/17	A	Perth	63-94
29/01/17	A	Cairns Taipans	83-97
27/01/17	H	Sydney	77-80
21/01/17	H	Melbourne United	88-71
19/01/17	A	Adelaide	68-101
15/01/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	82-84
13/01/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	80-85
09/01/17	H	Perth	68-72
31/12/16	H	Cairns Taipans	93-76
26/12/16	A	Melbourne United	59-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	52%
Home	WWLWW	62%
Away	WWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	52%	62%	43%
Points / game	88.1	92.5	84.1
Allowed / game	87.6	86.4	88.7
Point differential	+0.6	+6.2	-4.6
Avg total	175.7	178.9	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	31%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	75% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	37%
Home	WLLWL	43%
Away	LLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	37%	43%	31%
Points / game	81.1	84.8	77.1
Allowed / game	84.7	83.4	86.0
Point differential	-3.6	+1.4	-8.9
Avg total	165.7	168.2	163.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	29%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	27	17	10	63%	92.3	89.1	+3.2
2	Perth	27	14	13	52%	81.4	80.1	+1.3
3	Illawarra Hawks	27	14	13	52%	88.1	87.6	+0.6
4	Cairns Taipans	27	14	13	52%	81.7	82.0	-0.2
5	New Zealand Breakers	28	14	14	50%	84.0	85.2	-1.2
6	Melbourne United	27	13	14	48%	83.6	83.0	+0.6
7	Sydney	28	13	15	46%	82.0	82.5	-0.6
8	Brisbane Bullets	27	10	17	37%	81.1	84.7	-3.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	33	31	23	19	106
Brisbane Bullets	18	16	19	26	79

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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