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Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 85-102
28-28 14-26 23-23 20-25
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game87.8
Adelaide
Australia
vs
South East Melbourne 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game93.2
AustraliaNBLRound 4· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v South East Melbourne
02 Jan 2027
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
ADEL v SOUT
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
ADEL108
SOUT96
10 Mar 2026
ADEL104
SOUT97
31 Jan 2026
ADEL77
SOUT97
18 Jan 2026
ADEL89
SOUT108
16 Oct 2025
ADEL88
SOUT71
03 Oct 2024
ADEL93
SOUT83
17 Nov 2023
ADEL96
SOUT93
19 Oct 2023
ADEL85
SOUT102
24 Dec 2022
ADEL94
SOUT88
27 Mar 2022
ADEL100
SOUT92
04 Mar 2022
ADEL76
SOUT83
23 Feb 2021
ADEL99
SOUT94
20 Jan 2021
ADEL83
SOUT89
17 Jan 2021
ADEL116
SOUT108
02 Feb 2020
ADEL100
SOUT93
13 Dec 2019
ADEL113
SOUT111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 75
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 75
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 75
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 75
A08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 75
H14/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
27-27
30-29
23-31
27-29
28-18
12-23
13-24
18-21
19-25
24-16
14-16
17-25
17-28
14-16
29-20
15-18
22-32
26-25
24-18
28-34
23-25
16-15
15-20
35-20
187.7Avg total
91.8Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.887.8169.6-6.020%
Season at home (2)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
Season away (3)82.092.3174.3-10.30%
Last 10 (10)91.895.9187.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)81.887.8169.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.391.6176.9-6.427%
vs Similar (14)90.694.4184.9-3.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)99.088.4187.4+10.680%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
112-91
112
91
+21
no box
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
H25/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
106-111
106
111
-5
no box
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
no box
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
67-82
67
82
-15
46avg 75
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
110-99
110
99
+11
106avg 75
H01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
61avg 75
A05/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
106-113
106
113
-7
90avg 75
A07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 75
H14/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
22-18
18-24
22-19
27-22
34-33
22-21
29-15
19-24
25-19
18-15
23-22
25-28
26-28
27-28
28-27
22-18
29-29
25-18
23-41
24-29
9-16
17-19
17-18
24-28
22-21
38-12
26-38
20-22
18-21
19-23
23-21
26-26
29-34
27-22
24-31
18-23
25-20
25-21
18-21
186.6Avg total
93.7Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.893.2183.0-3.440%
Season at home (2)98.092.0190.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)84.394.0178.3-9.70%
Last 10 (10)93.792.9186.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.893.2183.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)96.2100.9197.1-4.638%
vs Similar (17)89.890.8180.6-1.053%
vs Weaker (5)99.079.8178.8+19.280%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
AdelaideSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H14/10
NBL
92.2Avg total
44.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.647.291.8-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.945.490.4-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)44.248.893.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.792.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.847.889.6-6.09%-
vs Similar (14)45.148.193.3-3.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)49.043.492.4+5.680%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
NBL
94.1Avg total
46.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.047.994.9-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.345.093.3+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)45.950.496.3-4.419%-
Last 10 (10)46.847.394.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.850.996.6-5.10%-
vs Similar (17)46.847.093.8-0.253%-
vs Weaker (5)50.046.096.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.220.8
46.0%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.618.4
74.8%
73.8%18.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.221.4
44.4%
50.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.2
40.0%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.618.2
71.1%
73.8%18.2
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLLLLLWWLL
South East Melbourne
WLLWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#10
-7.8
Net rating
-4.7
99.2
Offensive rating
108.7
107.0
Defensive rating
113.4
45.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.9%
3-point %
40.0%
63.3%
Assist %
33.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 108.7Defence107.0 · 113.4Shooting45.6% · 49.4%3-point %29.9% · 40.0%Ball care17.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Adelaide   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
South East Melbourne wins
DateGameScore
24/12/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne94-88
11/12/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide102-84
30/10/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide103-98 OT
22/04/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide94-91
27/03/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne100-92
04/03/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne76-83
17/04/21South East Melbourne v Adelaide81-90
20/03/21South East Melbourne v Adelaide96-89 OT
23/02/21Adelaide v South East Melbourne99-94
20/01/21Adelaide v South East Melbourne83-89
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HIllawarra Hawks89-80
08/10/23ASydney100-109
06/10/23APerth75-82
01/10/23HMelbourne United74-82
29/09/23ABrisbane Bullets71-86
05/02/23AMelbourne United107-116
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers86-85
07/10/23AIllawarra Hawks106-113
05/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
01/10/23HPerth110-99
28/09/23AMelbourne United67-82
09/02/23HPerth99-106
29/01/23ASydney106-111
25/01/23HCairns Taipans85-80
22/01/23HPerth112-91
18/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game81.881.582.0
Allowed / game87.881.092.3
Point differential-6.0+0.5-10.3
Avg total169.6162.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South East Melbourne
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game89.898.084.3
Allowed / game93.292.094.0
Point differential-3.4+6.0-9.7
Avg total183.0190.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney54180%97.889.8+8.0
2 Melbourne United54180%83.276.0+7.2
3 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%88.681.4+7.2
5 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
6 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.289.2-1.0
7 South East Melbourne52340%89.893.2-3.4
8 Perth52340%89.893.4-3.6
9 Illawarra Hawks41325%86.898.5-11.8
10 Adelaide51420%81.887.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2814232085
South East Melbourne28262325102
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