Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	91.0	93.7	184.7	-2.7	45%
Season at home (4)	83.8	87.2	171.0	-3.5	25%
Season away (7)	95.1	97.4	192.6	-2.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	93.6	184.0	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	94.2	188.0	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	92.0	98.3	190.3	-6.3	44%
vs Similar (9)	90.3	90.6	180.9	-0.2	44%
vs Weaker (3)	99.3	96.0	195.3	+3.3	33%

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East Melbourne Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelbourne

Date

Competition

Perth

100-79

100

+21

96avg 90

A19/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

91-96

-5

79avg 90

A21/09

NBL

Melbourne United

61-86

-25

38avg 90

H24/09

NBL

Perth

88-92

-4

81avg 90

A02/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

113-96

113

+17

106avg 90

H04/10

NBL

Melbourne United

99-104

104

-5

84avg 90

H10/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

105-115

105

115

-10

92avg 90

A15/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

115-83

115

+32

108avg 90

H17/10

NBL

Adelaide

108-94

108

+14

103avg 90

H24/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

89-98

-9

no box

H01/11

NBL

19-24

30-13

16-25

35-17

24-15

28-23

22-36

17-22

14-16

21-29

22-24

4-17

24-26

22-22

21-22

23-23

36-18

26-32

28-23

30-17

23-28

21-29

25-30

24-30

31-26

29-34

21-25

27-35

35-19

27-9

26-20

42-25

30-18

14-29

22-22

18-27

21-30

25-19

25-22

191.2Avg total

96.9Scored

94.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	96.9	94.3	191.2	+2.6	40%
Season at home (6)	97.5	93.5	191.0	+4.0	50%
Season away (4)	96.0	95.5	191.5	+0.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	96.9	94.3	191.2	+2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	103.2	98.8	202.0	+4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	106.0	115.5	221.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar (9)	89.9	95.2	185.1	-5.3	22%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	106.8	94.6	201.4	+12.2	74%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSouth East Melbourne

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	25.1	48.3	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	24.5	46.5	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.1	25.5	49.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	27.2	48.7	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	27.2	47.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	23.7	25.3	48.9	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	28.7	53.7	-3.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	25.7	50.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.3	26.5	52.7	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	24.9	47.6	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.8	48.3	+0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	26.8	55.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	34.0	64.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.3	23.9	48.2	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.9	25.7	49.6	-1.7	26%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	24.1	46.7	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.3	24.6	46.9	-2.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	23.6	25.8	49.4	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	23.5	50.4	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.2	23.7	52.9	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	23.4	47.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	22.6	50.3	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	24.2	52.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.5	23.5	50.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	29.4	23.3	52.7	+6.1	74%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

48-48

A24/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

52-34

+18

H27/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

35-65

-30

A02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-48

-6

H04/10

NBL

Melbourne United

38-56

-18

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

41-44

-3

A11/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-39

A16/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-72

-29

A24/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-44

+12

A30/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-50

-7

H01/11

NBL

93.8Avg total

43.8Scored

50.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	49.2	95.0	-3.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.1	48.0	93.1	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.4	50.1	96.5	-3.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	50.0	93.8	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	49.8	94.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	47.2	51.1	98.3	-3.9	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.9	44.4	87.3	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.0	52.0	98.0	-6.0	67%	-

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

49-37

+12

A19/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

52-38

+14

A21/09

NBL

Melbourne United

35-45

-10

H24/09

NBL

Perth

46-48

-2

A02/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

59-41

+18

H04/10

NBL

Melbourne United

53-45

H10/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

55-56

-1

A15/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

62-54

H17/10

NBL

Adelaide

72-43

+29

H24/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

39-57

-18

H01/11

NBL

98.6Avg total

52.2Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.3	49.2	100.5	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	55.5	50.1	105.6	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.1	48.3	95.5	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.2	46.4	98.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.2	51.0	107.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.5	57.5	114.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.8	47.9	93.7	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	53.4	49.0	102.4	+4.4	53%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.0	44.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	22.5	44.1	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.5	21.6	45.1	+1.8	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.2	23.4	49.6	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	22.7	48.4	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.7	24.1	50.8	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	25.9	48.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	31.0	60.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.9	23.1	48.0	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.5	22.7	49.2	+3.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.4	46.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.8	48.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.3	24.0	52.3	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.3	46.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	24.7	47.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.6	21.9	46.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.8	47.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	45.4	91.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.7	44.8	89.5	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.3	45.8	92.1	+0.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	43.6	90.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	44.4	93.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	44.4	46.2	90.7	-1.8	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.3	44.2	89.6	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.3	44.0	97.3	+9.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.8	46.7	96.5	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	47.4	95.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	51.3	46.0	97.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	47.9	92.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	47.8	94.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.5	58.0	107.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.1	47.3	91.4	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	52.5	45.2	97.7	+7.3	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.2	56.2%	56.3%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.1	32.8%	34.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.0%	74.1%	16.5

They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 97.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	22.4	54.8%	56.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.3	12.0	31.3%	34.4%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.6	76.5%	74.1%	16.6

They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	24.8	59.2%	56.3%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.6	36.6%	34.4%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.9	76.3%	74.1%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	25.1	58.2%	56.3%	50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.8	32.4%	34.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.7	76.3%	74.1%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.6	55.7%	56.3%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.7	35.6%	34.4%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.0	78.3%	74.1%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	23.5	54.9%	56.3%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.5	12.2	32.5%	34.4%	36.5
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.1	77.7%	74.1%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	24.1	55.2%	56.3%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.5	35.4%	34.4%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.9	75.3%	74.1%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	24.6	56.9%	56.3%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.7	34.0%	34.4%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.5	76.2%	74.1%	18.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LWLWWLLLWL

South East Melbourne

LWWLLWLLLW

League position

-2.3

Net rating

+4.2

101.1

Offensive rating

100.5

103.4

Defensive rating

96.2

53.1%

Effective FG%

51.0%

57.4%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

11.8%

Turnover %

10.8%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.27

32.8%

3-point %

31.3%

65.6%

Assist %

58.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ South East Melbourne

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

South East Melbourne wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/26	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	108-94
17/03/26	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	108-96
14/03/26	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	101-92
10/03/26	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	104-97
31/01/26	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	77-97
18/01/26	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	89-108
22/11/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	81-94
16/10/25	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	88-71
16/02/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	85-75
02/02/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	105-99

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	89-96
30/10/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	108-101
24/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	94-108
16/10/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	94-88
11/10/26	A	Sydney	84-78
07/10/26	H	Melbourne United	91-96
04/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	72-88
02/10/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	92-114
27/09/26	H	Cairns Taipans	83-69
24/09/26	A	Perth	97-98

South East Melbournelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	89-98
24/10/26	H	Adelaide	108-94
17/10/26	H	Cairns Taipans	115-83
15/10/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	105-115
10/10/26	H	Melbourne United	99-104
04/10/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	113-96
02/10/26	A	Perth	88-92
24/09/26	H	Melbourne United	61-86
21/09/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	91-96
19/09/26	A	Perth	100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	45%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	45%	25%	57%
Points / game	91.0	83.8	95.1
Allowed / game	93.7	87.2	97.4
Point differential	-2.7	-3.5	-2.3
Avg total	184.7	171.0	192.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

South East Melbourne

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Points / game	96.9	97.5	96.0
Allowed / game	94.3	93.5	95.5
Point differential	+2.6	+4.0	+0.5
Avg total	191.2	191.0	191.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	10	7	3	70%	97.9	88.1	+9.8
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	7	3	70%	95.6	90.8	+4.8
3	Perth	9	5	4	56%	93.2	96.7	-3.4
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	55%	92.2	96.5	-4.4
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	50%	96.7	92.5	+4.2
6	Brisbane Bullets	10	5	5	50%	93.8	96.7	-2.9
7	Adelaide	11	5	6	45%	91.0	93.7	-2.7
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	40%	96.9	94.3	+2.6
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	40%	92.2	90.6	+1.6
10	Illawarra Hawks	11	3	8	27%	96.1	104.5	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature