Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	95.5	101.5	197.0	-6.0	0%
Season at home (1)	94.0	102.0	196.0	-8.0	0%
Season away (1)	97.0	101.0	198.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	91.8	183.5	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	96.8	184.2	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	85.4	91.2	176.6	-5.9	35%
vs Similar (9)	89.9	92.7	182.6	-2.8	44%
vs Weaker (4)	97.0	95.2	192.2	+1.8	50%

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East Melbourne Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelbourne

Date

Competition

Adelaide

85-110

110

-25

69avg 73

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-106

106

-31

64avg 73

A20/01

NBL

Sydney

104-98

104

92avg 73

H25/01

NBL

Perth

91-103

103

-12

76avg 73

H27/01

NBL

Melbourne United

83-99

-16

70avg 73

A03/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

67-94

-27

50avg 73

H10/02

NBL

Sydney

67-122

122

-55

45avg 73

H17/02

NBL

Perth

98-106

106

-8

91avg 73

A20/09

NBL

Melbourne United

84-96

-12

67avg 73

H26/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-81

-2

69avg 73

A29/09

NBL

23-34

17-34

20-19

25-23

10-25

27-27

26-25

12-29

36-27

25-27

21-14

22-30

17-29

29-30

23-20

22-24

17-26

27-31

15-31

24-11

19-24

11-25

14-25

23-20

14-34

25-29

17-29

11-30

17-29

27-24

21-27

33-26

28-21

12-25

20-21

24-29

21-11

15-22

23-27

20-21

184.8Avg total

83.3Scored

101.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	87.0	94.3	181.3	-7.3	0%
Season at home (1)	84.0	96.0	180.0	-12.0	0%
Season away (2)	88.5	93.5	182.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	101.5	184.8	-18.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	99.8	178.8	-20.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	87.3	96.6	184.0	-9.3	37%
vs Similar (2)	91.0	101.0	192.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	79.0	81.0	160.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSouth East Melbourne

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	24.9	47.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	25.2	47.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.0	47.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.4	48.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.9	24.9	45.8	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.7	23.2	46.9	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.0	28.5	56.5	-0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	24.8	46.8	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	25.2	47.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	26.0	46.2	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.8	43.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	21.9	25.3	47.3	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	25.0	47.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	21.0	11.0	32.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	26.2	48.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.4	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	21.9	45.3	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	24.9	47.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	25.3	47.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	24.5	47.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	27.4	48.9	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	22.7	25.1	47.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	24.5	44.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

56-53

A13/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

68-40

+28

A17/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-39

A20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

53-38

+15

H27/01

NBL

Sydney

37-41

-4

H02/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-57

-12

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

44-52

-8

A09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-35

H18/02

NBL

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

A28/09

NBL

94.8Avg total

48.4Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	46.3	90.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	43.9	87.1	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	48.8	93.0	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.4	46.4	94.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	50.6	96.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.5	45.8	86.4	-5.3	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.1	45.1	92.2	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	49.8	51.2	101.0	-1.5	25%	-

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

40-68

-28

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-52

-15

A20/01

NBL

Sydney

61-54

H25/01

NBL

Perth

46-59

-13

H27/01

NBL

Melbourne United

44-57

-13

A03/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

30-49

-19

H10/02

NBL

Sydney

39-63

-24

H17/02

NBL

Perth

44-53

-9

A20/09

NBL

Melbourne United

40-46

-6

H26/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-33

A29/09

NBL

95.1Avg total

41.7Scored

53.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	49.8	94.0	-5.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	50.5	94.9	-6.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	49.0	93.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	53.4	95.1	-11.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	48.8	86.6	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	44.7	50.4	95.1	-5.7	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.0	49.5	91.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	36.0	33.0	69.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	23.1	45.7	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.0	43.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.8	22.4	45.1	+0.4	59%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	22.3	42.6	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.9	45.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.8	44.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	22.1	21.4	43.6	+0.7	63%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	23.0	27.0	50.0	-4.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.4	45.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	23.5	46.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	23.3	44.6	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	26.2	44.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.1	23.1	45.1	-1.0	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	23.3	45.1	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	24.8	45.9	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	25.5	46.1	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.2	45.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	24.3	45.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.2	47.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	20.6	24.8	45.3	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.5	27.5	56.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	45.3	89.6	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	44.1	88.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.8	46.5	90.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	43.7	86.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	46.2	88.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	44.8	45.4	90.2	-0.6	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.0	45.7	87.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	44.0	91.2	+3.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	46.6	89.7	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	45.1	87.9	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	48.1	91.5	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	48.1	89.7	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	51.0	92.2	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)	42.7	46.2	88.9	-3.6	44%	-
vs Similar (2)	49.0	51.5	100.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	43.0	48.0	91.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.6	22.8	48.9%	52.3%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.5	34.4%	35.1%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	24.4	19.0	77.9%	74.7%	19.0

They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.8	21.3	46.5%	52.3%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.4	31.3%	35.1%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.7	78.6%	74.7%	14.7

They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.7	21.5	47.0%	52.3%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	9.8	31.7%	35.1%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.5	77.1%	74.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	24.7	56.5%	52.3%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	11.0	38.1%	35.1%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	23.5	18.2	77.4%	74.7%	18.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	23.1	49.4%	52.3%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.5	32.0%	35.1%	22.6
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.3	76.7%	74.7%	18.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.9	22.8	46.7%	52.3%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	7.9	32.5%	35.1%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	23.0	16.8	73.2%	74.7%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.8	23.1	49.3%	52.3%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.2	34.2%	35.1%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.8	73.8%	74.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	24.7	55.4%	52.3%	49.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.8	35.8%	35.1%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.8	73.8%	74.7%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LLWLLWWWWL

South East Melbourne

LLLLLLLWLL

League position

+2.7

Net rating

-22.3

110.6

Offensive rating

101.7

107.9

Defensive rating

124.0

49.9%

Effective FG%

46.7%

47.3%

Opp. effective FG%

56.7%

15.7%

Turnover %

15.4%

32.9%

Off. rebound %

28.3%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.26

34.4%

3-point %

31.3%

55.9%

Assist %

46.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ South East Melbourne

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

South East Melbourne wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/24	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	85-110
17/11/23	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	96-93
19/10/23	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	85-102
24/12/22	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	94-88
11/12/22	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	102-84
30/10/22	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	103-98 OT
22/04/22	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	94-91
27/03/22	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	100-92
04/03/22	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	76-83
17/04/21	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	81-90

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/09/24	A	Cairns Taipans	97-101
22/09/24	H	Sydney	94-102
18/02/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-70
09/02/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	84-102
04/02/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-109
02/02/24	H	Sydney	85-78
27/01/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-71
20/01/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	96-89
17/01/24	A	South East Melbourne	110-85
13/01/24	A	Cairns Taipans	101-111 OT

South East Melbournelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/09/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-81
26/09/24	H	Melbourne United	84-96
20/09/24	A	Perth	98-106
17/02/24	H	Sydney	67-122
10/02/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	67-94
03/02/24	A	Melbourne United	83-99
27/01/24	H	Perth	91-103
25/01/24	H	Sydney	104-98
20/01/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	75-106
17/01/24	H	Adelaide	85-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	95.5	94.0	97.0
Allowed / game	101.5	102.0	101.0
Point differential	-6.0	-8.0	-4.0
Avg total	197.0	196.0	198.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

South East Melbourne

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	87.0	84.0	88.5
Allowed / game	94.3	96.0	93.5
Point differential	-7.3	-12.0	-5.0
Avg total	181.3	180.0	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	3	3	0	100%	103.7	88.3	+15.3
2	New Zealand Breakers	2	2	0	100%	86.0	83.0	+3.0
3	Melbourne United	3	2	1	67%	85.3	81.3	+4.0
4	Sydney	3	2	1	67%	93.0	92.3	+0.7
5	Perth	2	1	1	50%	96.5	93.0	+3.5
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	2	1	1	50%	80.0	80.0	+0.0
7	Cairns Taipans	2	1	1	50%	88.0	99.5	-11.5
8	Adelaide	2	0	2	0%	95.5	101.5	-6.0
9	South East Melbourne	3	0	3	0%	87.0	94.3	-7.3
10	Brisbane Bullets	2	0	2	0%	94.0	102.0	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	25	27	19	22	93
South East Melbourne	16	19	23	25	83

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Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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