Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	93.3	87.2	180.5	+6.1	75%
Season at home (15)	91.3	87.0	178.3	+4.3	73%
Season away (13)	95.7	87.5	183.2	+8.2	77%
Last 10 (10)	93.5	87.8	181.3	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	95.6	191.8	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	88.8	90.9	179.7	-2.1	44%
vs Similar (10)	93.3	90.2	183.5	+3.1	70%
vs Weaker (11)	95.5	81.4	176.9	+14.2	100%

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East Melbourne Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelbourne

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

#10

107-78

107

+29

98avg 88

H20/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

84-87

-3

76avg 88

A29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

111-96

111

+15

98avg 88

A31/12

NBL

Sydney

124-117

124

117

111avg 88

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

124-113 OT

124

113

+11

108avg 88

H08/01

NBL

Perth

97-107

107

-10

83avg 88

H10/01

NBL

Adelaide

108-89

108

+19

no box

A18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

123-116

123

116

116avg 88

H21/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

118-91

118

+27

118avg 88

H24/01

NBL

Perth

93-101

101

-8

79avg 88

A28/01

NBL

22-17

33-21

25-12

27-28

15-23

18-26

23-17

28-21

21-28

27-24

35-26

28-18

31-35

28-25

36-32

29-25

23-25

32-25

24-29

27-27

26-32

24-26

25-21

22-28

31-23

22-20

28-26

27-20

38-28

36-26

26-31

23-31

16-26

33-26

32-15

37-24

32-24

19-25

26-26

16-26

208.4Avg total

108.9Scored

99.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	100.5	92.4	192.9	+8.1	68%
Season at home (14)	103.6	91.6	195.3	+12.0	71%
Season away (14)	97.4	93.2	190.6	+4.1	64%
Last 10 (10)	108.9	99.5	208.4	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	107.8	100.8	208.6	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	108.2	108.0	216.2	+0.2	75%
vs Similar (7)	90.9	93.4	184.3	-2.6	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	102.2	90.6	192.8	+11.6	74%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideSouth East Melbourne

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.1	21.5	45.6	+2.5	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	24.5	49.3	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.0	23.3	49.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	25.8	49.3	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	26.1	51.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	26.6	55.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.8	29.0	53.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	25.7	25.7	51.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.4	23.2	47.6	+1.3	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	21.7	44.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	22.3	45.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.0	46.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.6	25.1	48.7	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.3	47.7	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.7	22.7	49.4	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	24.4	51.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	24.6	51.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	27.2	52.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.7	22.7	48.5	+3.0	68%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

41-39

A20/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-42

H24/12

NBL

Perth

46-49

-3

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

35-41

-6

H02/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

38-45

-7

A04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

27-40

-13

H09/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-53

-10

H18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-44

A23/01

NBL

Sydney

46-59

-13

A25/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

52-46

A28/01

NBL

88.4Avg total

42.6Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	43.2	88.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	44.0	89.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.9	42.3	88.2	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	45.8	88.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	48.4	91.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	44.9	43.0	87.9	+1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.0	42.4	89.4	+4.6	73%	-

This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

#10

55-38

+17

H20/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

33-49

-16

A29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-52

-4

A31/12

NBL

Sydney

59-60

-1

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-50

H08/01

NBL

Perth

50-58

-8

H10/01

NBL

Adelaide

53-43

+10

A18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-54

+20

H21/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

49-52

-3

H24/01

NBL

Perth

51-49

A28/01

NBL

103.2Avg total

52.7Scored

50.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.2	47.8	97.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.7	46.0	98.7	+6.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	49.6	95.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.7	50.5	103.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	51.2	106.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	49.8	56.2	106.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	46.3	48.1	94.4	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	50.2	45.9	96.1	+4.3	58%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.2	44.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	20.3	45.7	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.1	43.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.5	42.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.1	18.4	43.5	+6.7	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	22.4	47.1	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	21.9	45.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.6	22.9	48.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.0	23.5	51.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	23.8	51.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	26.2	27.8	54.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.3	22.6	46.9	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.5	21.3	45.8	+3.3	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	21.0	46.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	20.8	46.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	22.0	48.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	22.8	22.6	45.3	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.3	22.5	47.8	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.8	23.4	49.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	21.5	46.4	+3.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	24.8	51.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	25.8	50.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.2	24.0	56.2	+8.2	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.7	22.1	47.8	+3.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	42.4	87.5	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	41.7	85.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.6	43.1	89.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	40.3	89.3	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	43.8	93.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	43.0	46.6	89.6	-3.6	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.7	43.3	88.0	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.3	38.1	85.4	+9.2	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.0	44.9	94.9	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.6	45.3	94.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.5	44.5	94.9	+6.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.4	48.3	102.7	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.4	49.6	102.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	58.5	51.8	110.2	+6.8	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.6	45.3	89.9	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	50.3	43.3	93.6	+6.9	74%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 92.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	21.7	52.3%	54.6%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	11.3	41.4%	33.3%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.5	79.9%	74.8%	15.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 105.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	24.5	56.3%	54.6%	49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.8	12.6	34.2%	33.3%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.4	76.7%	74.8%	18.4

They take 80.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	23.9	54.3%	54.6%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	8.2	29.5%	33.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.2	70.6%	74.8%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	24.8	56.9%	54.6%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.4	37.6%	33.3%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	27.4	20.2	73.7%	74.8%	20.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.4	53.8%	54.6%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	10.1	37.1%	33.3%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.3	78.8%	74.8%	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	22.2	51.1%	54.6%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.1	12.5	34.7%	33.3%	37.6
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.8	75.4%	74.8%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	23.4	54.0%	54.6%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.7	30.8%	33.3%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.5	71.7%	74.8%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.8	24.1	53.8%	54.6%	48.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.5	34.9%	33.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	26.6	20.3	76.3%	74.8%	20.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WLWLLWWWWW

South East Melbourne

LWWWLWWWLW

League position

+8.9

Net rating

+7.9

114.4

Offensive rating

115.8

105.5

Defensive rating

107.9

56.2%

Effective FG%

54.0%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

56.7%

13.6%

Turnover %

10.3%

32.6%

Off. rebound %

38.7%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.30

41.4%

3-point %

34.2%

66.7%

Assist %

58.5%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ South East Melbourne

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

South East Melbourne wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/26	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	89-108
22/11/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	81-94
16/10/25	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	88-71
16/02/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	85-75
02/02/25	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	105-99
21/12/24	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	106-86
03/10/24	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	93-83
17/01/24	South East Melbourne v Adelaide	85-110
17/11/23	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	96-93
19/10/23	Adelaide v South East Melbourne	85-102

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	107-74
25/01/26	A	Sydney	101-106
23/01/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	112-110 OT
18/01/26	H	South East Melbourne	89-108
09/01/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-80
04/01/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	97-86
02/01/26	H	Sydney	85-79
28/12/25	H	Perth	95-84
24/12/25	H	Cairns Taipans	93-73
20/12/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	84-78

South East Melbournelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/26	A	Perth	93-101
24/01/26	H	Cairns Taipans	118-91
21/01/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	123-116
18/01/26	A	Adelaide	108-89
10/01/26	H	Perth	97-107
08/01/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	124-113 OT
05/01/26	A	Sydney	124-117
31/12/25	A	Cairns Taipans	111-96
29/12/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	84-87
20/12/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	107-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	75%
Home	WWWLL	73%
Away	WWWLW	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	75%	73%	77%
Points / game	93.3	91.3	95.7
Allowed / game	87.2	87.0	87.5
Point differential	+6.1	+4.3	+8.2
Avg total	180.5	178.3	183.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	33%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	100% (2)	57% (7)
Overtime %	14%	13%	15%

South East Melbourne

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	68%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	71%	64%
Points / game	100.5	103.6	97.4
Allowed / game	92.4	91.6	93.2
Point differential	+8.1	+12.0	+4.1
Avg total	192.9	195.3	190.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	57%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	28	21	7	75%	93.3	87.2	+6.1
2	Sydney	28	19	9	68%	97.0	87.3	+9.8
3	South East Melbourne	28	19	9	68%	100.5	92.4	+8.1
4	Melbourne United	29	18	11	62%	92.8	87.7	+5.1
5	Perth	28	17	11	61%	90.3	85.9	+4.4
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	29	12	17	41%	86.0	86.3	-0.3
7	New Zealand Breakers	28	11	17	39%	90.7	92.2	-1.5
8	Illawarra Hawks	27	10	17	37%	92.0	96.8	-4.8
9	Cairns Taipans	28	8	20	29%	83.1	96.9	-13.8
10	Brisbane Bullets	29	6	23	21%	83.3	96.2	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	18	22	16	21	77
South East Melbourne	18	30	23	26	97

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Adelaide vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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