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Lavrio vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 79-90
21-26 14-24 9-15 35-25
Position#12
Record7-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#3
Record12-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21· Sports Center Lavrio
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lavrio v AEK Athens
15 Mar 2025
LAV79
AAT90
30 Dec 2023
LAV75
AAT90
05 Nov 2022
LAV67
AAT84
20 Nov 2021
LAV81
AAT82
26 Sep 2021
LAV67
AAT86
10 Feb 2021
LAV90
AAT85
27 Dec 2020
LAV78
AAT70
23 Nov 2019
LAV60
AAT73
06 Apr 2019
LAV94
AAT100
03 Dec 2017
LAV80
AAT72
28 Jan 2017
LAV84
AAT87
29 Mar 2014
LAV66
AAT74
21 Apr 2012
LAV70
AAT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 74
A21/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 74
A29/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 74
H04/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-83
100
83
+17
98avg 74
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
57avg 74
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 74
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 74
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 74
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 74
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
51avg 74
A10/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
19-18
20-29
19-21
19-23
26-23
14-25
18-16
18-22
23-21
19-26
18-23
28-23
24-24
19-15
29-21
19-10
20-26
13-17
12-16
23-20
20-21
21-24
16-21
17-17
22-17
18-17
17-18
27-24
20-22
20-21
27-25
24-27
19-19
22-18
17-25
12-18
16-25
19-19
18-20
164.6Avg total
80.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.584.2164.8-3.835%
Season at home (10)80.883.7164.5-2.940%
Season away (10)80.284.8165.0-4.630%
Last 10 (10)80.084.6164.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.083.6162.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.786.2162.9-9.521%
vs Similar (9)81.780.9162.6+0.856%
vs Weaker (2)93.070.5163.5+22.5100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 79
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 79
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 79
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 79
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
93avg 79
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 79
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 79
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 79
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
15-27
21-21
10-24
23-25
24-19
25-12
25-20
18-22
24-14
20-28
24-21
27-20
15-24
23-19
28-23
17-23
25-12
24-17
25-19
18-23
14-18
19-20
14-23
28-16
23-13
14-20
15-26
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
162.0Avg total
83.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.881.0164.8+2.960%
Season at home (10)89.179.1168.2+10.080%
Season away (10)78.682.8161.4-4.240%
Last 10 (10)83.978.1162.0+5.880%
Last 5 (5)80.474.8155.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.295.5170.8-20.20%
vs Similar (3)88.382.0170.3+6.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.377.0162.2+8.373%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
LavrioAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A29/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H04/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/03
Basket League
85.3Avg total
42.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.480.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.579.2+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.482.8+0.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.985.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.541.181.5-0.642%-
vs Similar (9)39.940.180.0-0.267%-
vs Weaker (2)44.035.079.0+9.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
82.5Avg total
43.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.381.9+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.683.1+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.180.7+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.582.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.547.085.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (3)43.739.383.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.637.981.5+5.868%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.8
55.8%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.8
35.9%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
73.3%14.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.3
55.5%
53.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.5
33.9%
34.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
73.3%19.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LLWWLLWLLL
AEK Athens
WWWWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#3
-7.4
Net rating
+8.0
108.3
Offensive rating
114.0
115.8
Defensive rating
106.0
55.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.9%
3-point %
33.9%
49.6%
Assist %
68.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 114.0Defence115.8 · 106.0Shooting55.0% · 54.0%3-point %35.9% · 33.9%Ball care18.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Lavrio   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lavrio wins
7
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24AEK Athens v Lavrio97-86
14/04/24AEK Athens v Lavrio100-67
30/12/23Lavrio v AEK Athens75-90
07/10/23AEK Athens v Lavrio93-98
11/02/23AEK Athens v Lavrio81-95
05/11/22Lavrio v AEK Athens67-84
10/04/22AEK Athens v Lavrio90-75
20/11/21Lavrio v AEK Athens81-82
26/09/21Lavrio v AEK Athens67-86
03/04/21AEK Athens v Lavrio94-97 OT
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25AAris65-82
03/03/25HAS Karditsas82-89
09/02/25HMaroussi94-92
01/02/25APAOK74-69
27/01/25APanionios80-86
18/01/25HPeristeri64-69
13/01/25AKolossos Rhodes100-83
04/01/25HPromitheas78-92
29/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
21/12/24AAEK Athens86-97
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71
01/03/25APanionios80-75
13/02/25APAOK65-84
08/02/25HPromitheas91-71
04/02/25HTortona93-86
01/02/25AKolossos Rhodes86-85
29/01/25HPromitheas97-76
26/01/25AOlympiacos70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game80.580.880.2
Allowed / game84.283.784.8
Point differential-3.8-2.9-4.6
Avg total164.8164.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game83.889.178.6
Allowed / game81.079.182.8
Point differential+2.9+10.0-4.2
Avg total164.8168.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%70%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos20200100%94.276.6+17.6
2 Olympiacos2018290%88.373.2+15.1
3 AEK Athens2012860%83.881.0+2.9
4 AS Karditsas21111052%76.578.2-1.7
5 PAOK21101148%78.882.2-3.4
6 Panionios2091145%77.077.2-0.2
7 Promitheas2091145%80.282.6-2.5
8 Aris2081240%77.284.0-6.8
9 Lavrio2071335%80.584.2-3.8
10 Peristeri2071335%76.182.2-6.0
11 Kolossos Rhodes2051525%77.881.5-3.8
12 Maroussi2051525%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio211493579
AEK Athens2624152590
← all games of the day
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