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Panionios vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-80
16-28 13-23 20-14 26-15
Position#8
Record9-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#3
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19· DAK Glyfada M. Liugas
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Panionios v AEK Athens
19 Apr 2026
PAN57
AAT71
01 Mar 2025
PAN75
AAT80
16 Feb 2023
PAN88
AAT93
09 Jan 2021
PAN v AAT
upcoming
29 Feb 2020
PAN96
AAT101
13 Apr 2019
PAN78
AAT74
18 Mar 2018
PAN71
AAT69
07 Feb 2015
PAN78
AAT94
16 Jan 2011
PAN78
AAT75
31 Oct 2009
PAN91
AAT46
31 Jan 2009
PAN88
AAT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 71
H08/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 71
H15/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
90avg 71
A21/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 71
A28/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 71
H04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
97avg 71
A11/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
60avg 71
A18/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 71
H27/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 71
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 71
A08/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-27
21-18
20-23
16-20
19-20
18-16
25-28
19-29
26-18
16-17
26-21
13-22
14-21
12-16
28-24
19-8
30-29
20-18
14-18
29-25
15-19
23-18
19-24
21-14
12-21
18-14
13-16
20-23
21-20
24-21
21-16
17-17
22-12
20-17
23-23
20-24
18-13
11-24
23-19
160.9Avg total
80.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.775.9153.6+1.850%
Season at home (9)79.771.3151.0+8.378%
Season away (9)75.780.4156.1-4.822%
Last 10 (10)80.780.2160.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.381.3158.7-4.00%
vs Similar (15)78.675.3153.9+3.360%
vs Weaker (12)75.369.0144.3+6.375%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 79
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 79
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 79
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
88avg 79
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 79
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 79
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 79
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 79
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
93avg 79
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 79
A13/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
22-32
23-18
15-26
20-27
27-17
19-15
25-20
20-16
24-17
15-27
21-21
10-24
23-25
24-19
25-12
25-20
18-22
24-14
20-28
24-21
27-20
15-24
23-19
28-23
17-23
25-12
24-17
25-19
18-23
14-18
19-20
14-23
169.4Avg total
85.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.482.1165.4+1.356%
Season at home (9)88.380.4168.8+7.978%
Season away (9)78.483.7162.1-5.233%
Last 10 (10)85.883.6169.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.480.4166.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.095.7169.7-21.70%
vs Similar (4)86.081.8167.8+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.277.6162.8+7.668%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
PanioniosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A28/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H04/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
Basket League
79.2Avg total
39.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.775.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.934.174.9+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.375.8-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.979.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.676.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.737.774.3-1.033%-
vs Similar (15)39.837.977.7+1.953%-
vs Weaker (12)37.834.872.7+3.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/02
Greek Cup
85.5Avg total
43.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.182.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.384.0+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.980.4-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.685.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.546.385.8-6.817%-
vs Similar (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.238.181.3+5.168%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
73.3%13.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.9
55.3%
53.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.8
36.4%
34.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws25.319.0
75.1%
73.3%19.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panionios
LWWLWWLWLL
AEK Athens
LWWWWLWLLW
#8
League position
#3
+0.4
Net rating
+3.5
109.7
Offensive rating
115.2
109.3
Defensive rating
111.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.6%
3-point %
36.4%
56.8%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 115.2Defence109.3 · 111.7Shooting54.7% · 55.1%3-point %37.6% · 36.4%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Panionios   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panionios wins
8
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24AEK Athens v Panionios75-71 OT
16/02/23Panionios v AEK Athens88-93 OT
29/02/20Panionios v AEK Athens96-101 OT
02/11/19AEK Athens v Panionios91-61
13/04/19Panionios v AEK Athens78-74
29/12/18AEK Athens v Panionios73-62
18/03/18Panionios v AEK Athens71-69
18/11/17AEK Athens v Panionios83-73
07/02/15Panionios v AEK Athens78-94
19/10/14AEK Athens v Panionios77-64
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AAris72-80
02/02/25HAS Karditsas82-69
27/01/25HLavrio86-80
18/01/25AMaroussi64-65
11/01/25APAOK105-98 OT
04/01/25HPeristeri83-73
28/12/24AKolossos Rhodes67-83
21/12/24APromitheas87-85
15/12/24HOlympiacos78-84
08/12/24HPanathinaikos83-85
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25APAOK65-84
08/02/25HPromitheas91-71
04/02/25HTortona93-86
01/02/25AKolossos Rhodes86-85
29/01/25HPromitheas97-76
26/01/25AOlympiacos70-89
19/01/25HPAOK91-68
12/01/25HPanathinaikos80-103
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panionios
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayWLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%78%22%
Points / game77.779.775.7
Allowed / game75.971.380.4
Point differential+1.8+8.3-4.8
Avg total153.6151.0156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %17%0%33%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game83.488.378.4
Allowed / game82.180.483.7
Point differential+1.3+7.9-5.2
Avg total165.4168.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%67%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos18180100%93.676.2+17.4
2 Olympiacos1816289%88.373.3+14.9
3 AEK Athens1810856%83.482.1+1.3
4 Panionios189950%77.775.9+1.8
5 AS Karditsas189950%76.579.1-2.6
6 Promitheas1881044%79.582.6-3.1
7 PAOK1881044%79.684.2-4.6
8 Lavrio1871139%81.384.1-2.8
9 Peristeri1871139%77.081.4-4.4
10 Aris1871139%77.785.6-7.8
11 Maroussi1851328%76.283.1-6.9
12 Kolossos Rhodes1841422%77.280.6-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panionios1613202675
AEK Athens2823141580
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