AEK Athens vs Maroussi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 91-70

18-12 28-22 18-16 27-20

Position#10

Record-

FormWLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

AEK Athens 🏆

Maroussi

Position#11

Record-

FormLLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Basket LeagueRound 1· SUNEL Arena

Domestic2026-27

Meetings · AEK Athens v Maroussi

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Maroussi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAthens

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

72-67

66avg 80

H15/04

Champions League

Panionios

#13

71-57

+14

72avg 80

A19/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

84-94

-10

77avg 80

H25/04

Basket League

Unicaja

78-65

+13

79avg 80

A07/05

Champions League

Rytas

86-92 OT

-6

71avg 80

H09/05

Champions League

Aris

87-81

94avg 80

H14/05

Basket League

Aris

81-90

-9

80avg 80

A17/05

Basket League

Aris

102-99

102

102avg 80

H25/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

77-94

-17

71avg 80

A28/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

68-95

-27

54avg 80

H30/05

Basket League

20-18

14-22

16-15

22-12

21-7

17-22

21-13

12-15

21-22

19-24

24-22

20-26

14-9

23-12

19-22

22-22

25-15

17-10

21-20

17-35

17-17

29-23

20-14

21-27

23-25

26-27

19-19

13-19

32-25

20-21

24-22

26-31

19-26

19-20

19-25

20-23

10-20

20-24

16-22

22-29

164.0Avg total

80.6Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.6	83.4	164.0	-2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	91.8	174.8	-8.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.0	90.2	167.2	-13.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	82.6	82.5	165.1	+0.2	62%
vs Weaker (12)	90.2	76.8	166.9	+13.4	100%

This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maroussi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMaroussi

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

81-92

-11

76avg 79

A25/01

Basket League

Panionios

#13

97-105

105

-8

91avg 79

H01/02

Basket League

AEK Athens

74-83

-9

64avg 79

A07/02

Basket League

AS Karditsas

#11

78-77

83avg 79

H14/02

Basket League

Aris

76-102

102

-26

70avg 79

A07/03

Basket League

Peristeri

61-84

-23

55avg 79

H14/03

Basket League

Mykonos

94-103

103

-9

84avg 79

H21/03

Basket League

Iraklis

91-72

+19

86avg 79

A29/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

108-93

108

+15

100avg 79

H18/04

Basket League

PAOK

85-101

101

-16

72avg 79

A25/04

Basket League

25-19

15-29

21-23

20-21

29-26

18-22

29-28

21-29

15-23

26-14

18-17

15-29

25-27

24-15

16-19

13-16

16-25

27-24

15-23

18-30

12-18

19-19

11-28

19-19

29-21

23-25

16-31

26-26

21-26

27-21

21-12

22-13

25-23

29-17

29-27

25-26

20-28

26-26

24-26

15-21

175.7Avg total

84.5Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.5	91.2	175.7	-6.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	90.6	178.4	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	81.8	94.4	176.1	-12.6	14%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	90.9	88.2	179.1	+2.7	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensMaroussi

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	92%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	23.6	46.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.7	43.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.6	45.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.0	24.6	44.6	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.7	42.7	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.2	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.3	22.4	44.7	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.1	20.9	42.9	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

34-40

-6

H15/04

Champions League

Panionios

#13

38-29

A19/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

40-46

-6

H25/04

Basket League

Unicaja

37-21

+16

A07/05

Champions League

Rytas

42-25

+17

H09/05

Champions League

Aris

46-40

H14/05

Basket League

Aris

49-52

-3

A17/05

Basket League

Aris

52-46

H25/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

38-46

-8

A28/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

30-44

-14

H30/05

Basket League

79.5Avg total

40.6Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	41.9	83.3	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	41.2	84.4	+1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	45.6	88.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.2	41.9	82.2	-1.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.4	40.9	86.3	+4.5	58%	-

This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

40-48

-8

A25/01

Basket League

Panionios

#13

47-48

-1

H01/02

Basket League

AEK Athens

41-37

A07/02

Basket League

AS Karditsas

#11

49-42

H14/02

Basket League

Aris

43-49

-6

A07/03

Basket League

Peristeri

31-37

-6

H14/03

Basket League

Mykonos

52-46

H21/03

Basket League

Iraklis

48-47

A29/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

54-40

+14

H18/04

Basket League

PAOK

46-54

-8

A25/04

Basket League

89.9Avg total

45.1Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	44.8	88.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	44.0	89.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	45.5	87.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	44.8	89.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	44.8	91.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	42.3	47.0	89.3	-4.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	44.8	42.8	87.6	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	19.4	40.6	+1.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.8	24.6	44.4	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.7	20.2	43.9	+3.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	24.8	43.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	19.2	39.5	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.8	16.7	39.5	+6.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.1	22.0	46.1	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.7	80.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.5	37.6	74.2	-1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	43.3	82.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	46.2	86.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	47.8	85.4	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.8	38.9	79.8	+1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	45.2	87.1	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	45.4	86.9	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	44.9	87.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	46.4	85.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	45.8	87.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.7	45.9	83.6	-8.2	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	45.6	44.5	90.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game

46%

34%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.8	53.8%	50.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.4	37.0%	34.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.5	72.1%	71.8%	15.5

They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 84.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game

46%

34%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.2	54.1%	50.6%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.3	33.6%	34.4%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	18.2	80.5%	71.8%	18.2

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.6	53.0%	50.6%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	9.5	32.6%	34.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.7	76.2%	71.8%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	20.7	58.5%	50.6%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.6	37.8%	34.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	28.4	20.7	72.9%	71.8%	20.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.2	54.1%	50.6%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.6	37.8%	34.4%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.8	74.8%	71.8%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.6	54.0%	50.6%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.7%	34.4%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.1	75.9%	71.8%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.1	53.4%	50.6%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.5	32.9%	34.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.9	75.7%	71.8%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	21.2	55.9%	50.6%	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.5	37.1%	34.4%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	24.9	18.2	73.0%	71.8%	18.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Athens

LLWLWLWLWW

Maroussi

LWWLLLWLLL

#10

League position

#11

-3.7

Net rating

-7.5

95.9

Offensive rating

98.8

99.6

Defensive rating

106.3

54.5%

Effective FG%

52.5%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

57.7%

14.6%

Turnover %

14.9%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.36

37.0%

3-point %

33.6%

70.2%

Assist %

62.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ AEK Athens ■ Maroussi

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Maroussi wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/26	AEK Athens v Maroussi	83-74
15/11/25	Maroussi v AEK Athens	82-103
23/03/25	AEK Athens v Maroussi	104-83
14/12/24	Maroussi v AEK Athens	81-83
01/04/24	AEK Athens v Maroussi	88-85
16/03/24	Maroussi v AEK Athens	82-90
09/12/23	AEK Athens v Maroussi	91-89
16/04/11	Maroussi v AEK Athens	78-69
19/01/11	AEK Athens v Maroussi	78-82
27/03/10	AEK Athens v Maroussi	66-73

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/05/26	H	Olympiacos	68-95
28/05/26	A	Olympiacos	77-94
25/05/26	H	Aris	102-99
17/05/26	A	Aris	81-90
14/05/26	H	Aris	87-81
09/05/26	H	Rytas	86-92 OT
07/05/26	A	Unicaja	78-65
25/04/26	H	Olympiacos	84-94
19/04/26	A	Panionios	71-57
15/04/26	H	Joventut Badalona	72-67

Maroussilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/26	A	PAOK	85-101
18/04/26	H	Kolossos Rhodes	108-93
29/03/26	A	Iraklis	91-72
21/03/26	H	Mykonos	94-103
14/03/26	H	Peristeri	61-84
07/03/26	A	Aris	76-102
14/02/26	H	AS Karditsas	78-77
07/02/26	A	AEK Athens	74-83
01/02/26	H	Panionios	97-105
25/01/26	A	Panathinaikos	81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Maroussi

Basket League 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	PAOK	1	1	0	100%	88.0	85.0	+3.0
2	Mykonos	1	0	1	0%	85.0	88.0	-3.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	18	28	18	27	91
Maroussi	12	22	16	20	70

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Maroussi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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