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AEK Athens vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-71 (OT)
15-17 14-16 20-15 15-16 11-7
Position#3
Record3-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panionios
12 Oct 2025
AAT93
PAN73
30 Nov 2024
AAT75
PAN71
24 Apr 2021
AAT v PAN
upcoming
02 Nov 2019
AAT91
PAN61
29 Dec 2018
AAT73
PAN62
18 Nov 2017
AAT83
PAN73
19 Oct 2014
AAT77
PAN64
20 Apr 2011
AAT76
PAN68
06 Feb 2010
AAT89
PAN56
26 Oct 2008
AAT73
PAN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 77
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 77
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 77
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
72avg 77
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 77
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 77
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 77
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 77
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 77
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 77
A16/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
17-26
19-13
23-20
15-34
19-23
10-26
11-23
34-22
24-19
25-29
12-17
21-22
18-19
19-14
27-21
16-15
16-26
25-19
15-19
21-32
26-21
21-17
17-16
22-21
19-23
24-13
19-20
18-14
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
158.7Avg total
79.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.180.0160.1+0.143%
Season at home (3)86.378.7165.0+7.767%
Season away (4)75.581.0156.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)79.579.2158.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.878.8158.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.494.1173.6-14.70%
vs Similar (7)83.784.7168.4-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.879.5163.3+4.462%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Papagou
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
A21/04
A2
Milon Aons
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H17/05
A2
Iraklis
#3
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A19/05
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
67-65
67
65
+2
52avg 61
H06/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 61
A13/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
73-62
73
62
+11
65avg 61
H19/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
78avg 61
H26/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
72avg 61
A04/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 61
A11/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
79-62
79
62
+17
73avg 61
H16/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
23-25
20-16
12-20
22-14
19-24
19-21
19-28
18-22
26-14
11-20
20-14
13-20
12-17
22-14
20-14
16-33
24-20
22-8
10-21
15-20
19-11
20-19
19-12
21-16
30-10
20-13
15-23
17-17
23-22
19-17
13-16
19-18
16-24
17-18
11-12
18-16
26-11
15-15
20-20
146.8Avg total
74.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.369.9144.1+4.457%
Season at home (4)76.262.8139.0+13.5100%
Season away (3)71.779.3151.0-7.70%
Last 10 (10)74.971.9146.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)76.268.4144.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)57.075.5132.5-18.550%
vs Similar (9)75.669.1144.7+6.467%
vs Weaker (19)75.968.0143.9+7.968%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
AEK AthensPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
78.0Avg total
39.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.582.7+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.581.2-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.578.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.478.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.347.486.8-8.111%-
vs Similar (7)40.438.378.7+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.039.381.3+2.762%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Papagou
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A21/04
A2
Milon Aons
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/05
A2
Iraklis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/05
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H06/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A13/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H26/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H16/11
Basket League
76.3Avg total
39.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.474.3+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.230.471.6+10.979%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.976.6-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.676.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.542.578.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (9)39.635.875.3+3.867%-
vs Weaker (19)38.834.573.4+4.347%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.2
51.8%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.6
37.1%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
73.3%14.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.4%
53.5%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.8
25.3%
34.8%17.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
72.1%
73.3%12.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWLWLLLWW
Panionios
WLLWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#8
+0.4
Net rating
-1.5
106.3
Offensive rating
95.0
105.9
Defensive rating
96.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
25.3%
67.3%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 95.0Defence105.9 · 96.6Shooting53.2% · 47.0%3-point %37.1% · 25.3%Ball care18.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEK Athens wins
2
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
16/02/23Panionios v AEK Athens88-93 OT
29/02/20Panionios v AEK Athens96-101 OT
02/11/19AEK Athens v Panionios91-61
13/04/19Panionios v AEK Athens78-74
29/12/18AEK Athens v Panionios73-62
18/03/18Panionios v AEK Athens71-69
18/11/17AEK Athens v Panionios83-73
07/02/15Panionios v AEK Athens78-94
19/10/14AEK Athens v Panionios77-64
20/04/11AEK Athens v Panionios76-68
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
13/11/24HVEF Riga80-70
09/11/24HKolossos Rhodes86-75
03/11/24HOlympiacos77-96
29/10/24AVEF Riga80-69
26/10/24APAOK82-87
21/10/24APanathinaikos74-94
15/10/24ABonn74-93
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HAris79-62
11/11/24AAS Karditsas63-72
04/11/24ALavrio80-84 OT
26/10/24HMaroussi86-62
19/10/24HPAOK73-62
13/10/24APeristeri72-82
06/10/24HKolossos Rhodes67-65
19/05/24AIraklis75-70
17/05/24HMilon Aons79-87
21/04/24APapagou75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.186.375.5
Allowed / game80.078.781.0
Point differential+0.1+7.7-5.5
Avg total160.1165.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panionios
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game74.376.271.7
Allowed / game69.962.879.3
Point differential+4.4+13.5-7.7
Avg total144.1139.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos770100%90.774.7+16.0
2 Olympiacos76186%90.769.9+20.9
3 Panionios74357%74.369.9+4.4
4 Promitheas74357%80.786.1-5.4
5 AEK Athens73443%80.180.0+0.1
6 Lavrio73443%82.783.3-0.6
7 AS Karditsas73443%74.179.4-5.3
8 Peristeri73443%75.380.9-5.6
9 Aris73443%73.379.3-6.0
10 PAOK73443%76.384.1-7.9
11 Maroussi72529%74.179.0-4.9
12 Kolossos Rhodes71614%75.781.6-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEK Athens151420151175
Panionios17161516771
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