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AEK Athens vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 93-73
25-16 19-22 25-11 24-24
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game87.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panionios
12 Oct 2025
AAT93
PAN73
30 Nov 2024
AAT75
PAN71
24 Apr 2021
AAT v PAN
upcoming
02 Nov 2019
AAT91
PAN61
29 Dec 2018
AAT73
PAN62
18 Nov 2017
AAT83
PAN73
19 Oct 2014
AAT77
PAN64
20 Apr 2011
AAT76
PAN68
06 Feb 2010
AAT89
PAN56
26 Oct 2008
AAT73
PAN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 78
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 78
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 78
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
48avg 78
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 78
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 78
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 78
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
69-53
69
53
+16
67avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
11-21
17-18
18-16
31-18
19-27
20-15
11-21
14-27
26-20
23-15
21-12
21-20
14-24
23-18
18-19
15-23
22-18
23-26
23-16
19-25
26-12
15-12
16-16
12-13
156.5Avg total
80.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.176.4156.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)76.275.8152.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.585.5159.0-12.017%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.973.8158.8+11.189%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
84avg 72
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-95
64
95
-31
57avg 72
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
85avg 72
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
67-106
67
106
-39
54avg 72
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 72
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
101avg 72
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
63avg 72
A07/05
Basket League
Chemnitz
#12
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
74avg 72
H01/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
L
61-87
61
87
-26
49avg 72
H04/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
L
96-103
96
103
-7
95avg 72
A07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
20-18
23-22
19-16
9-22
16-26
20-20
19-27
17-11
26-18
28-27
21-22
17-22
28-20
8-32
14-32
18-28
22-16
17-28
28-19
30-22
17-22
32-24
23-25
23-22
20-23
14-28
21-21
30-13
19-32
8-21
20-11
21-18
18-22
2-16
20-31
22-28
25-24
24-25
25-26
176.1Avg total
82.7Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season at home (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.793.4176.1-10.730%
Last 5 (5)85.292.6177.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.989.9165.8-14.09%
vs Similar (17)80.377.9158.2+2.459%
vs Weaker (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
AEK AthensPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
Champions League
76.8Avg total
40.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.779.9+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.681.6+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.978.1+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.776.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.543.380.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.236.579.7+6.779%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H16/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A23/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H29/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/05
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/05
Basket League
Chemnitz
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
86.1Avg total
42.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.779.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.579.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.443.380.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.886.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.290.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.544.181.5-6.627%-
vs Similar (17)40.138.578.6+1.647%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.081.5-0.550%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.0
50.3%
54.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.219.2
79.3%
74.4%19.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.3
52.9%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
74.4%14.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLWLWLLWW
Panionios
LLWLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#13
+5.8
Net rating
-13.6
107.1
Offensive rating
106.4
101.3
Defensive rating
120.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
33.2%
69.0%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 106.4Defence101.3 · 120.0Shooting51.2% · 51.6%3-point %35.1% · 33.2%Ball care17.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds24.4% · 32.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEK Athens wins
2
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Panionios v AEK Athens75-80
30/11/24AEK Athens v Panionios75-71 OT
16/02/23Panionios v AEK Athens88-93 OT
29/02/20Panionios v AEK Athens96-101 OT
02/11/19AEK Athens v Panionios91-61
13/04/19Panionios v AEK Athens78-74
29/12/18AEK Athens v Panionios73-62
18/03/18Panionios v AEK Athens71-69
18/11/17AEK Athens v Panionios83-73
07/02/15Panionios v AEK Athens78-94
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25AVEF Riga69-53
04/10/25AKolossos Rhodes87-85
26/09/25HPromitheas70-84
19/05/25HPromitheas91-67
15/05/25HOlympiacos64-90
11/05/25ATenerife77-73
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25AUlm96-103
04/10/25HPeristeri61-87
01/10/25HChemnitz89-86 OT
07/05/25APAOK78-94
03/05/25HPeristeri102-93
13/04/25HOlympiacos85-91
06/04/25AOlympiacos67-106
29/03/25HAris92-78
23/03/25AOlympiacos64-95
16/03/25HPromitheas93-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total172.0-172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Panionios
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game61.061.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-26.0-26.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Peristeri110100%87.061.0+26.0
2 Olympiacos110100%100.081.0+19.0
3 AS Karditsas110100%91.077.0+14.0
4 Panathinaikos110100%93.083.0+10.0
5 AEK Athens110100%87.085.0+2.0
6 Iraklis21150%86.081.5+4.5
7 Kolossos Rhodes21150%79.076.0+3.0
8 Promitheas21150%86.089.0-3.0
9 PAOK21150%83.587.5-4.0
10 Aris2020%71.082.0-11.0
11 Maroussi2020%84.596.5-12.0
12 Panionios1010%61.087.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2519252493
Panionios1622112473
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