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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-82
19-24 29-25 17-12 22-21
Position#6
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.3
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
57avg 69
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
86avg 69
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 69
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
62avg 69
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 69
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 69
H12/10
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
55avg 69
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
82-66
82
66
+16
84avg 69
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
13-20
16-18
22-29
27-15
18-17
22-28
19-24
25-21
22-25
15-10
22-12
8-17
23-21
16-29
18-20
28-17
23-18
11-17
21-21
14-21
14-16
25-12
22-21
20-23
28-20
23-32
26-18
20-21
22-24
21-7
20-15
11-19
19-20
12-19
24-19
17-13
21-8
20-26
158.1Avg total
79.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.380.3158.7-2.033%
Season at home (1)93.096.0189.0-3.00%
Season away (2)71.072.5143.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)79.278.9158.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.075.0155.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.287.3162.5-12.215%
vs Similar (12)76.077.8153.8-1.842%
vs Weaker (4)82.567.2149.8+15.2100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 78
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 78
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 78
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 78
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 78
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 78
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 78
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 78
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 78
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
72avg 78
A21/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
17-26
19-13
23-20
15-34
19-23
10-26
11-23
34-22
162.8Avg total
81.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.072.7152.7+7.367%
Season at home (1)96.065.0161.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)72.076.5148.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.581.3162.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.876.4155.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.893.7173.4-13.90%
vs Similar (9)85.086.3171.3-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.180.1165.2+5.064%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/10
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.3Avg total
40.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.578.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.937.877.7+2.271%-
Last 30 away (13)36.841.778.5-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.279.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.243.981.1-6.815%-
vs Similar (12)39.136.475.5+2.767%-
vs Weaker (4)40.836.877.5+4.075%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/10
Basket League
80.6Avg total
41.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.382.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.483.1+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.082.2-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.380.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.476.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.147.987.0-8.811%-
vs Similar (9)41.139.480.6+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.740.382.0+1.545%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.0
48.1%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.3
36.2%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
73.3%14.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
73.3%12.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WLWLWWLWLL
AEK Athens
LLWWWLLLWW
#6
League position
#3
+0.1
Net rating
-0.3
105.4
Offensive rating
106.4
105.3
Defensive rating
106.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
34.4%
66.3%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 106.4Defence105.3 · 106.6Shooting50.6% · 53.1%3-point %36.2% · 34.4%Ball care17.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
PAOK wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj82-66
19/10/24APanionios62-73
16/10/24HFC Porto89-70
12/10/24HPanathinaikos93-96
09/10/24ALimburg74-70
05/10/24APeristeri80-72
21/09/24HPetkim Spor69-79
19/09/24HCSM Oradea81-80
18/05/24HPanathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24APanathinaikos66-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/24APanathinaikos74-94
15/10/24ABonn74-93
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game78.393.071.0
Allowed / game80.396.072.5
Point differential-2.0-3.0-1.5
Avg total158.7189.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.096.072.0
Allowed / game72.765.076.5
Point differential+7.3+31.0-4.5
Avg total152.7161.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos330100%90.769.3+21.3
2 Panathinaikos330100%90.077.7+12.3
3 AEK Athens32167%80.072.7+7.3
4 Peristeri32167%77.775.0+2.7
5 Panionios32167%70.769.7+1.0
6 Promitheas32167%84.083.3+0.7
7 Kolossos Rhodes31233%71.370.3+1.0
8 PAOK31233%78.380.3-2.0
9 Maroussi31233%74.376.7-2.3
10 Aris31233%72.382.3-10.0
11 Lavrio3030%77.789.3-11.7
12 AS Karditsas3030%64.084.3-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1929172287
AEK Athens2425122182
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