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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 94-74
23-19 26-10 23-11 22-34
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game62.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 3· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 80
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 80
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 80
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 80
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 80
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
84avg 80
A06/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
96-93
96
93
+3
92avg 80
A12/10
Basket League
Paris
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
77avg 80
A15/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 80
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
27-29
20-13
24-21
20-22
28-17
17-25
22-18
20-20
24-10
22-16
15-22
16-21
22-24
24-18
23-23
26-17
19-19
17-21
25-20
21-14
21-17
17-19
21-16
25-16
22-18
19-24
28-21
21-22
23-20
20-28
32-23
19-21
20-24
20-24
21-15
19-28
19-15
20-27
28-20
167.4Avg total
86.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.079.5167.5+8.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)88.079.5167.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.481.0167.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)87.282.4169.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)84.081.1165.1+2.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.278.1165.3+9.289%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 79
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 79
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 79
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 79
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 79
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 79
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 79
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 79
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 79
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 79
A15/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
17-26
19-13
23-20
15-34
162.8Avg total
82.0Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)96.065.0161.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)70.059.0129.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.080.8162.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.293.1173.3-12.90%
vs Similar (9)85.086.3171.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (11)85.180.1165.2+5.064%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A06/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/10
Basket League
Paris
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A17/10
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
42.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.481.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.337.981.2+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.182.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.682.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.042.283.2-1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.237.880.9+5.474%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/10
Champions League
82.0Avg total
42.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.082.6-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.483.1+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.582.1-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.847.086.8-7.211%-
vs Similar (9)41.139.480.6+1.767%-
vs Weaker (11)41.740.382.0+1.545%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.7
55.8%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.5
37.0%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
73.3%16.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
34.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
73.3%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLWWWWLWWW
AEK Athens
LWWWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+7.1
Net rating
+0.8
120.6
Offensive rating
106.5
113.5
Defensive rating
105.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.0%
3-point %
33.6%
55.0%
Assist %
65.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.6 · 106.5Defence113.5 · 105.7Shooting55.7% · 52.2%3-point %37.0% · 33.6%Ball care15.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds35.8% · 25.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AReal Madrid86-90
15/10/24AParis80-84
12/10/24APAOK96-93
10/10/24HBayern94-79
06/10/24AAS Karditsas80-66
03/10/24AAlba Berlin87-77
29/09/24HOlympiacos85-86
28/09/24HAris81-68
14/06/24HOlympiacos87-82
12/06/24AOlympiacos88-85
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24ABonn74-93
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game79.5-79.5
Point differential+8.5-+8.5
Avg total167.5-167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.096.070.0
Allowed / game62.065.059.0
Point differential+21.0+31.0+11.0
Avg total145.0161.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos330100%90.769.3+21.3
2 AEK Athens220100%83.062.0+21.0
3 Panathinaikos220100%88.079.5+8.5
4 Peristeri32167%77.775.0+2.7
5 Panionios32167%70.769.7+1.0
6 Promitheas32167%84.083.3+0.7
7 Kolossos Rhodes31233%71.370.3+1.0
8 PAOK31233%78.380.3-2.0
9 Maroussi31233%74.376.7-2.3
10 Aris31233%72.382.3-10.0
11 Lavrio3030%77.789.3-11.7
12 AS Karditsas3030%64.084.3-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2326232294
AEK Athens1910113474
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