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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 77-96
16-26 25-19 15-19 21-32
Position#3
Record2-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game71.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 79
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 79
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 79
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 79
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 79
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 79
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 79
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
72avg 79
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 79
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 79
A29/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
17-26
19-13
23-20
15-34
19-23
10-26
11-23
34-22
24-19
25-29
12-17
21-22
18-19
19-14
27-21
16-15
158.9Avg total
77.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.576.2156.8+4.250%
Season at home (1)96.065.0161.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)75.380.0155.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.881.1158.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)81.281.6162.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.893.9173.6-14.10%
vs Similar (9)85.086.3171.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (12)84.080.2164.2+3.858%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
96avg 80
A07/10
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
74-68
74
68
+6
77avg 80
H11/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
102-72
102
72
+30
106avg 80
H13/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
89-68
89
68
+21
88avg 80
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
86avg 80
A18/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
77-61
77
61
+16
76avg 80
A21/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
54avg 80
A25/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 80
H27/10
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 80
H29/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
95-74
95
74
+21
92avg 80
H31/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-21
29-21
24-11
21-6
14-18
17-19
22-25
35-12
22-19
19-18
26-23
23-17
16-10
24-21
26-20
23-11
21-30
26-24
19-26
19-14
27-14
16-18
15-15
19-20
24-12
18-27
19-25
23-23
15-25
17-14
16-16
17-21
19-13
20-25
23-10
21-17
23-19
21-14
30-24
158.9Avg total
84.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.871.5157.2+14.275%
Season at home (2)86.575.0161.5+11.550%
Season away (2)85.068.0153.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.974.0158.9+10.970%
Last 5 (5)80.473.2153.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)80.979.1160.1+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.570.9159.5+17.691%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/10
Champions League
80.4Avg total
40.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.182.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.840.882.7+1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)39.443.182.4-3.741%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.480.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.147.886.9-8.612%-
vs Similar (9)41.139.480.6+1.767%-
vs Weaker (12)41.740.682.2+1.150%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/10
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H11/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H13/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A18/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A21/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/10
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H31/10
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
42.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.579.5+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.735.878.5+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.180.4+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.476.6+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.677.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)40.739.079.7+1.763%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.335.079.3+9.382%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.9
52.1%
53.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
34.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
73.3%14.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.8
57.4%
53.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.816.9
74.1%
73.3%16.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLLWWWLLL
Olympiacos
WWLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
-4.9
Net rating
+15.8
101.8
Offensive rating
118.0
106.7
Defensive rating
102.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
35.4%
64.3%
Assist %
78.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 118.0Defence106.7 · 102.1Shooting51.1% · 55.5%3-point %33.2% · 35.4%Ball care19.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24AVEF Riga80-69
26/10/24APAOK82-87
21/10/24APanathinaikos74-94
15/10/24ABonn74-93
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24HBarcelona95-74
29/10/24HReal Madrid79-69
27/10/24HPanathinaikos71-78
25/10/24ABayern80-84
21/10/24AAS Karditsas77-61
18/10/24AAnadolu Efes89-91
15/10/24HOlimpia Milano89-68
13/10/24HAris102-72
11/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas74-68
07/10/24ALavrio93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game80.596.075.3
Allowed / game76.265.080.0
Point differential+4.2+31.0-4.7
Avg total156.8161.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game85.886.585.0
Allowed / game71.575.068.0
Point differential+14.2+11.5+17.0
Avg total157.2161.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%87.076.0+11.0
2 Olympiacos43175%85.871.5+14.2
3 Panionios43175%74.567.8+6.8
4 Promitheas43175%87.082.2+4.8
5 Peristeri53260%77.676.8+0.8
6 PAOK53260%80.680.6+0.0
7 Aris53260%75.880.4-4.6
8 AEK Athens42250%80.576.2+4.2
9 Kolossos Rhodes51420%74.278.8-4.6
10 Maroussi51420%73.079.4-6.4
11 AS Karditsas51420%73.884.4-10.6
12 Lavrio4040%78.888.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1625152177
Olympiacos2619193296
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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