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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 87-85
24-25 24-18 20-15 19-27
Position#2
Record22-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#3
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game81.4
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 84
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 84
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
106-67
106
67
+39
108avg 84
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
99-93
99
93
+6
99avg 84
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 84
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 84
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
66avg 84
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
70avg 84
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 84
A01/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
23-23
13-21
18-23
15-23
22-12
23-23
17-22
36-17
25-29
19-27
20-19
22-17
20-28
32-8
32-14
31-28
20-20
19-22
29-23
28-18
16-22
28-17
19-28
27-14
20-15
17-22
20-21
15-25
23-13
19-16
20-17
21-28
23-10
12-20
16-22
16-21
26-26
26-18
18-19
166.7Avg total
86.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.173.7163.8+16.492%
Season at home (12)93.372.8166.2+20.592%
Season away (12)86.874.6161.4+12.292%
Last 10 (10)86.280.5166.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.078.4160.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)81.180.0161.1+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.375.8167.1+15.593%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 78
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 78
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 78
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 78
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 78
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 78
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
160.9Avg total
83.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.781.4166.2+3.364%
Season at home (13)90.279.6169.8+10.685%
Season away (12)78.883.4162.2-4.742%
Last 10 (10)83.377.6160.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.096.0171.0-21.00%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (24)86.277.5163.7+8.879%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A04/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/04
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H23/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A01/05
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
44.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.480.0+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.377.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.138.582.7+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.384.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.481.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (13)40.638.178.7+2.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.538.083.5+7.573%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
77.6Avg total
40.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.081.8+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.782.1+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.481.4+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.477.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.075.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (24)43.637.981.5+5.867%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.4
58.5%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
73.3%16.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.8%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.9
36.0%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
73.3%15.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWWWWLL
AEK Athens
WWLLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#3
+7.1
Net rating
+8.0
116.3
Offensive rating
112.5
109.2
Defensive rating
104.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
36.0%
71.0%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 112.5Defence109.2 · 104.5Shooting54.1% · 53.9%3-point %32.5% · 36.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25AReal Madrid86-84
29/04/25AReal Madrid72-80
25/04/25HReal Madrid77-71
23/04/25HReal Madrid84-72
13/04/25APanionios91-85
10/04/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-93
06/04/25HPanionios106-67
04/04/25AAlba Berlin100-92
27/03/25HMonaco77-80
25/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne70-81
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game90.193.386.8
Allowed / game73.772.874.6
Point differential+16.4+20.5+12.2
Avg total163.8166.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game84.790.278.8
Allowed / game81.479.683.4
Point differential+3.3+10.6-4.7
Avg total166.2169.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%69%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos24240100%93.876.0+17.7
2 Olympiacos2422292%90.173.7+16.4
3 AEK Athens2516964%84.781.4+3.3
4 Promitheas25131252%81.281.2-0.1
5 AS Karditsas26131350%76.578.5-2.0
6 Panionios26111542%78.581.0-2.5
7 PAOK26111542%79.682.6-3.0
8 Aris28111739%77.783.1-5.4
9 Peristeri27101737%77.583.4-5.9
10 Kolossos Rhodes2691735%79.381.2-1.8
11 Maroussi2681831%78.585.1-6.6
12 Lavrio2772026%78.985.3-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2424201987
AEK Athens2518152785
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