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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-76
14-14 29-18 27-16 19-28
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#6
Record10-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.3
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
93avg 79
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 79
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 79
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 79
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 79
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 79
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 79
A26/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
25-12
24-17
25-19
18-23
14-18
19-20
14-23
28-16
23-13
14-20
15-26
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
157.5Avg total
82.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.081.0166.0+4.164%
Season at home (11)90.579.5169.9+11.082%
Season away (11)79.682.5162.1-2.845%
Last 10 (10)82.974.6157.5+8.380%
Last 5 (5)84.075.6159.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.796.0171.7-20.30%
vs Similar (4)86.882.2169.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.977.0162.9+8.977%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#27
W
84-65
84
65
+19
82avg 74
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
67avg 74
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
65avg 74
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-14
20-19
23-14
17-13
18-31
20-22
20-28
24-17
15-19
16-13
20-14
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
155.5Avg total
78.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.082.3161.3-3.345%
Season at home (11)82.779.3162.0+3.564%
Season away (11)75.385.3160.5-10.027%
Last 10 (10)78.676.9155.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.879.6162.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.987.9165.8-10.027%
vs Similar (15)82.477.6160.0+4.867%
vs Weaker (3)77.379.7157.0-2.333%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.783.0+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.639.584.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.039.981.9+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.981.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.082.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.746.388.0-4.70%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.338.682.9+5.773%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#27
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
75.4Avg total
38.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.879.3-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.538.879.2+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.4-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.675.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.643.981.5-6.327%-
vs Similar (15)42.337.679.9+4.767%-
vs Weaker (3)32.338.070.3-5.733%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.6
54.3%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.4
35.1%
34.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.816.7
70.2%
73.3%16.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.7
53.2%
53.5%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
73.3%13.8
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLWWWWWLW
PAOK
WLLWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#6
+11.1
Net rating
+6.8
110.0
Offensive rating
108.2
98.9
Defensive rating
101.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.1%
3-point %
34.9%
70.0%
Assist %
66.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 108.2Defence98.9 · 101.4Shooting53.7% · 52.8%3-point %35.1% · 34.9%Ball care16.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71
01/03/25APanionios80-75
13/02/25APAOK65-84
08/02/25HPromitheas91-71
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
01/03/25HAris75-63
14/02/25HOlympiacos75-94
13/02/25HAEK Athens84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%82%45%
Points / game85.090.579.6
Allowed / game81.079.582.5
Point differential+4.1+11.0-2.8
Avg total166.0169.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%73%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game79.082.775.3
Allowed / game82.379.385.3
Point differential-3.3+3.5-10.0
Avg total161.3162.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos22220100%93.976.1+17.7
2 Olympiacos2220291%89.373.5+15.8
3 AEK Athens2214864%85.081.0+4.1
4 Promitheas22111150%81.482.5-1.1
5 AS Karditsas22111150%76.578.4-1.9
6 PAOK22101245%79.082.3-3.3
7 Panionios23101343%77.779.0-1.3
8 Peristeri24101442%77.181.9-4.8
9 Aris2491538%77.383.9-6.6
10 Lavrio2371630%79.885.3-5.5
11 Kolossos Rhodes2261627%78.281.7-3.5
12 Maroussi2251723%77.585.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1429271989
PAOK1418162876
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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