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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-69
27-17 14-16 30-18 23-18
Position#6
Record10-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.6
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#3
Record15-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.7
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
67avg 74
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
65avg 74
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
18-31
20-22
20-28
24-17
15-19
16-13
20-14
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
157.1Avg total
77.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.982.6161.4-3.743%
Season at home (11)82.779.3162.0+3.564%
Season away (12)75.385.6160.9-10.225%
Last 10 (10)77.879.3157.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)81.682.2163.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.888.0165.8-10.225%
vs Similar (15)82.477.6160.0+4.867%
vs Weaker (2)80.571.5152.0+9.050%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 79
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 79
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 79
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 79
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 79
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 79
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 79
H09/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
23-13
14-20
15-26
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
157.4Avg total
83.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.280.7166.0+4.565%
Season at home (12)90.379.2169.5+11.283%
Season away (11)79.682.5162.1-2.845%
Last 10 (10)83.873.6157.4+10.290%
Last 5 (5)82.273.4155.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.796.0171.7-20.30%
vs Similar (4)86.882.2169.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.076.5162.5+9.582%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
75.6Avg total
37.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.6-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.538.879.2+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.041.180.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.775.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.243.881.0-6.725%-
vs Similar (15)42.337.679.9+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
82.0Avg total
43.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.439.283.5+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)41.839.881.7+2.054%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.682.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.079.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.746.388.0-4.70%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.238.282.5+6.073%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.915.9
53.2%
53.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
73.3%13.6
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.6
55.5%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
73.3%16.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLLWWLLWL
AEK Athens
WWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#3
+1.7
Net rating
+14.0
106.9
Offensive rating
111.8
105.2
Defensive rating
97.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.9%
3-point %
36.5%
65.8%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 111.8Defence105.2 · 97.7Shooting51.4% · 55.2%3-point %32.9% · 36.5%Ball care18.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 25.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
PAOK wins
5
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-76
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
01/03/25HAris75-63
14/02/25HOlympiacos75-94
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71
01/03/25APanionios80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%64%25%
Points / game78.982.775.3
Allowed / game82.679.385.6
Point differential-3.7+3.5-10.2
Avg total161.4162.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%83%45%
Points / game85.290.379.6
Allowed / game80.779.282.5
Point differential+4.5+11.2-2.8
Avg total166.0169.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%75%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos23230100%93.675.8+17.8
2 Olympiacos2321291%90.073.2+16.8
3 AEK Athens2315865%85.280.7+4.5
4 Promitheas23121152%81.382.2-0.9
5 AS Karditsas23111248%76.578.5-2.0
6 PAOK23101343%78.982.6-3.7
7 Panionios24101442%77.380.1-2.8
8 Peristeri25101540%76.782.1-5.4
9 Aris25101540%77.883.6-5.8
10 Kolossos Rhodes2371630%79.181.4-2.3
11 Lavrio2471729%79.685.5-5.9
12 Maroussi2351822%77.386.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2714302394
AEK Athens1716181869
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