PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-77
31-25 28-18 17-17 15-17
Position#1
Record17-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#6
Record8-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.8
CyprusDivision ARound 19· Kition Athletic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon
09 Jan 2027
ALA v APOL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ALA91
APOL77
13 Feb 2026
ALA85
APOL74
25 Jan 2025
ALA115
APOL61
01 Apr 2024
ALA118
APOL73
18 Nov 2023
ALA77
APOL67
21 Jan 2023
ALA73
APOL58
18 Oct 2021
ALA86
APOL53
03 Mar 2021
ALA86
APOL62
09 Jan 2021
ALA88
APOL62
29 Feb 2020
ALA94
APOL77
11 Jan 2020
ALA94
APOL85
27 Feb 2019
ALA84
APOL64
17 Nov 2018
ALA66
APOL56
22 Mar 2018
ALA82
APOL61
14 Jan 2018
ALA87
APOL61
15 Jan 2017
ALA88
APOL57
19 Nov 2016
ALA96
APOL44
12 Apr 2016
ALA97
APOL53
05 Apr 2016
ALA83
APOL76
19 Mar 2016
ALA88
APOL65
02 Jan 2016
ALA76
APOL63
07 Mar 2015
ALA110
APOL49
18 Jan 2015
ALA89
APOL68
22 Feb 2014
ALA76
APOL68
15 Feb 2014
ALA68
APOL61
29 Jan 2014
ALA76
APOL68
16 Nov 2013
ALA87
APOL60
02 Feb 2013
ALA100
APOL93
02 Nov 2012
ALA78
APOL70
28 Dec 2011
ALA80
APOL78
17 Dec 2010
ALA85
APOL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
82avg 83
H12/12
Division A
AEL
#3
W
87-62
87
62
+25
86avg 83
A19/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-54
80
54
+26
73avg 83
H05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
99avg 83
A11/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H17/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 83
A23/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
81avg 83
H31/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 83
A06/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 83
H13/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 83
A08/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
23-12
18-19
21-19
20-12
21-18
25-14
21-18
21-15
19-13
19-18
21-8
27-22
29-19
27-12
19-26
26-20
17-14
23-26
25-12
24-16
19-19
18-17
17-18
21-25
22-10
19-16
19-13
24-20
24-20
29-23
15-27
25-16
24-18
21-17
15-23
22-18
17-16
19-24
13-17
155.7Avg total
85.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.771.8159.5+15.894%
Season at home (9)86.369.1155.4+17.2100%
Season away (9)89.074.6163.6+14.489%
Last 10 (10)85.270.5155.7+14.790%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.889.2165.0-13.525%
vs Similar (7)86.779.4166.1+7.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.271.8160.9+17.4100%
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormApollon
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
69-107
69
107
-38
54avg 72
A12/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
70avg 72
A20/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
121-90
121
90
+31
119avg 72
H04/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
72avg 72
A10/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H16/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 72
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-73
82
73
+9
81avg 72
H01/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
65-101
65
101
-36
48avg 72
H07/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 72
A13/02
Division A
AEL
#3
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 72
H06/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
13-23
19-26
15-29
21-23
26-21
16-17
21-25
29-20
32-23
32-29
28-18
18-17
16-20
30-24
22-19
21-25
17-21
23-20
31-22
20-27
19-17
28-22
28-32
20-18
16-16
26-15
20-24
12-27
12-21
27-21
14-32
16-25
18-24
17-21
23-15
20-24
12-18
17-15
36-19
173.7Avg total
85.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.785.8170.4-1.144%
Season at home (9)89.684.6174.1+5.067%
Season away (9)79.887.0166.8-7.222%
Last 10 (10)85.388.4173.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)80.286.6166.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.599.1175.6-22.60%
vs Similar (8)85.285.0170.2+0.238%
vs Weaker (8)91.479.8171.1+11.688%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
AEK LarnacaApollon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H12/12
Division A
AEL
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A19/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H17/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A23/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H31/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A06/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H13/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
Division A
78.6Avg total
44.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.382.6+5.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.136.780.7+7.487%-
Last 30 away (15)44.440.084.4+4.480%-
Last 10 (10)44.833.878.6+11.0100%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.680.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.542.075.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (7)47.741.088.7+6.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.735.981.7+9.889%-
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H04/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A10/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H07/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A13/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H06/03
Division A
81.9Avg total
38.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.785.8-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.644.384.9-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.286.7-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.981.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.043.476.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.352.089.3-14.77%-
vs Similar (8)38.441.680.0-3.225%-
vs Weaker (8)46.638.985.5+7.875%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.1
53.1%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
71.5%12.9
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.5
47.3%
51.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.6
39.6%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
71.5%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LWWWWWWWWW
Apollon
WLLWLWWWLL
#1
League position
#6
+18.3
Net rating
-7.2
107.3
Offensive rating
99.4
89.0
Defensive rating
106.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.6%
3-point %
39.6%
67.2%
Assist %
61.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 99.4Defence89.0 · 106.6Shooting51.9% · 52.4%3-point %33.6% · 39.6%Ball care12.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds38.1% · 24.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Apollon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Apollon wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26AEK Larnaca v Apollon85-74
08/12/25Apollon v AEK Larnaca80-96
01/04/25Apollon v AEK Larnaca76-85
25/01/25AEK Larnaca v Apollon115-61
09/12/24Apollon v AEK Larnaca80-92
01/04/24AEK Larnaca v Apollon118-73
03/02/24Apollon v AEK Larnaca77-98
18/11/23AEK Larnaca v Apollon77-67
21/01/23AEK Larnaca v Apollon73-58
02/11/22Apollon v AEK Larnaca71-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AKeravnos71-75
13/02/26HApollon85-74
06/02/26AAchilleas K.92-90
31/01/26HAnorthosis81-64
23/01/26AParalimni78-70
17/01/26HMorphou91-72
11/01/26AETHA Engomi102-79
05/01/26HApoel BC80-54
19/12/25AAEL87-62
12/12/25HAchilleas K.85-65
Apollonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HAEL85-76
13/02/26AAEK Larnaca74-85
07/02/26HKeravnos65-101
01/02/26HAchilleas K.82-73
26/01/26AAnorthosis95-98
16/01/26HParalimni92-88
10/01/26AMorphou86-80
04/01/26HETHA Engomi121-90
20/12/25AApoel BC84-86
12/12/25AKeravnos69-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game87.786.389.0
Allowed / game71.869.174.6
Point differential+15.8+17.2+14.4
Avg total159.5155.4163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%78%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game84.789.679.8
Allowed / game85.884.687.0
Point differential-1.1+5.0-7.2
Avg total170.4174.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1817194%89.971.7+18.2
2 AEK Larnaca1817194%87.771.8+15.8
3 AEL1812667%81.780.1+1.6
4 Apoel BC1810856%80.683.2-2.6
5 Paralimni1881044%82.980.7+2.3
6 Apollon1881044%84.785.8-1.1
7 Anorthosis1871139%75.179.2-4.2
8 Morphou1861233%78.185.4-7.3
9 ETHA Engomi1831517%82.394.0-11.7
10 Achilleas K.1821611%71.882.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca3128171591
Apollon2518171777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.