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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 118-103
26-30 34-23 33-26 25-24
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game65.0
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
AEL
Cyprus
Position#6
Record7-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.2
CyprusDivision ARound 11
Other2022-23
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v AEL
02 Jan 2027
ALA v AEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
ALA78
AEL71
11 Oct 2025
ALA88
AEL72
01 Dec 2024
ALA89
AEL70
20 Mar 2024
ALA93
AEL81
21 Dec 2022
ALA118
AEL103
05 Mar 2022
ALA84
AEL65
23 Dec 2020
ALA87
AEL58
25 Oct 2019
ALA84
AEL77
20 Mar 2019
ALA93
AEL57
03 Nov 2018
ALA82
AEL76
13 Feb 2015
ALA20
AEL0
06 Dec 2014
ALA20
AEL0
24 Jan 2014
ALA100
AEL52
06 Dec 2013
ALA93
AEL48
25 Jan 2013
ALA86
AEL38
23 Dec 2012
ALA81
AEL67
27 Nov 2011
ALA88
AEL82
22 Jan 2011
ALA92
AEL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#28
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#8
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H16/10
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A23/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H30/10
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A02/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H20/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A27/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
60-58 OT
60
58
+2
A11/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
15-16
16-19
20-24
28-11
27-12
23-17
10-24
20-12
16-13
24-18
16-9
29-10
25-15
14-19
21-19
8-18
19-13
15-8
23-8
20-19
11-17
18-19
18-16
22-22
22-31
14-23
30-18
25-20
7-16
25-18
17-23
24-25
25-12
22-7
11-15
15-13
5-5
19-15
12-18
141.0Avg total
74.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.665.0141.6+11.667%
Season at home (4)77.863.0140.8+14.875%
Season away (5)75.666.6142.2+9.060%
Last 10 (10)74.966.1141.0+8.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.8146.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)62.561.5124.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.167.4149.5+14.774%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/04
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H15/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A23/10
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H30/10
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H20/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
94-111
94
111
-17
A25/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H02/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
82-103
82
103
-21
A07/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A11/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H16/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
11-15
19-22
19-27
22-7
24-7
17-23
12-21
30-18
22-7
29-25
22-20
27-16
20-21
24-22
21-17
29-13
14-20
26-13
12-20
30-28
16-29
23-26
25-28
22-15
17-12
26-14
29-23
14-24
30-20
18-24
20-35
27-14
16-27
20-20
21-17
21-19
18-26
30-14
23-19
164.9Avg total
86.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.678.2166.8+10.378%
Season at home (5)86.868.4155.2+18.4100%
Season away (4)90.890.5181.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.478.5164.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)89.286.8176.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.990.0165.9-14.120%
vs Similar (7)89.478.7168.1+10.771%
vs Weaker (8)86.574.0160.5+12.588%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
AEK LarnacaAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#28
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H28/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#8
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A09/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H16/10
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A23/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H30/10
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H04/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
W
20-18
20
18
+2
A11/12
Division A
68.9Avg total
37.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.273.6+7.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.433.274.6+8.271%-
Last 30 away (13)39.233.172.3+6.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.768.9+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)25.532.057.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.433.174.6+8.367%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H21/04
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
W
46-14
46
14
+32
H15/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
52-25
52
25
+27
A23/10
Division A
Omonia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/10
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H02/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/12
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Division A
78.3Avg total
42.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.180.2-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.036.376.3+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.084.1-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.578.3+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.744.080.7-7.327%-
vs Similar (7)46.338.384.6+8.071%-
vs Weaker (8)40.934.575.4+6.462%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
33.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws2.00.0
0.0%
71.9%0.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
AEL wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
08/11/20AEL v AEK Larnaca60-73
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
25/10/19AEK Larnaca v AEL84-77
20/03/19AEK Larnaca v AEL93-57
22/12/18AEL v AEK Larnaca80-81
03/11/18AEK Larnaca v AEL82-76 OT
13/02/15AEK Larnaca v AEL20-0
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AParalimni60-58 OT
04/12/22HETHA Engomi82-59
27/11/22AAchilleas K.74-77
20/11/22HApoel BC88-94
02/11/22AApollon67-71
30/10/22HKeravnos65-47
23/10/22AOmonia89-63
16/10/22HAnorthosis76-52
09/10/22AApop Paphou88-64
28/09/22HAntwerp Giants60-76
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/22HParalimni92-78
11/12/22AETHA Engomi84-78
07/12/22AKeravnos82-103
02/12/22HAchilleas K.94-64
25/11/22AApoel BC94-111
20/11/22HApollon81-66
30/10/22HOmonia92-76
23/10/22AAnorthosis103-70
15/10/22HApop Paphou75-58
21/04/22HApoel BC67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game76.677.875.6
Allowed / game65.063.066.6
Point differential+11.6+14.8+9.0
Avg total141.6140.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
AEL
Division A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game88.686.890.8
Allowed / game78.268.490.5
Point differential+10.3+18.4+0.2
Avg total166.8155.2181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC98189%90.476.1+14.3
2 Keravnos87188%83.567.9+15.6
3 AEL97278%88.678.2+10.3
4 AEK Larnaca96367%76.665.0+11.6
5 Apollon95456%73.072.3+0.7
6 Anorthosis95456%72.678.7-6.1
7 ETHA Engomi84450%76.279.8-3.5
8 Achilleas K.93633%68.779.3-10.7
9 Apop Paphou82625%61.076.6-15.6
10 Paralimni91811%67.875.6-7.8
11 Omonia9090%64.273.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca26343325118
AEL30232624103
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